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Biological fitness is not an observable quantity and must be inferred from population dynamics. Bayesian inference applied to the Moran process and variants yields a robust inference method that can infer fitness in populations evolving via…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2013-10-24 Marc Harper

To quantify how well theoretical predictions of structural ensembles agree with experimental measurements, we depend on the accuracy of forward models. These models are computational frameworks that generate observable quantities from…

Biological Physics · Physics 2025-11-04 Robert M. Raddi , Tim Marshall , Vincent A. Voelz

The fitness landscape defines the relationship between genotypes and fitness in a given environment, and underlies fundamental quantities such as the distribution of selection coefficient, or the magnitude and type of epistasis. A better…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-05-18 François Blanquart , Thomas Bataillon

Confirmatory factor analysis (CFA) is a statistical method for identifying and confirming the presence of latent factors among observed variables through the analysis of their covariance structure. Compared to alternative factor models, CFA…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-10-08 Yifan Yang , Tianzhou Ma , Chuan Bi , Shuo Chen

A population-level analysis is proposed to address data sparsity when building predictive models for engineering infrastructure. Utilising an interpretable hierarchical Bayesian approach and operational fleet data, domain expertise is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-05-15 L. A. Bull , D. Di Francesco , M. Dhada , O. Steinert , T. Lindgren , A. K. Parlikad , A. B. Duncan , M. Girolami

Hierarchical models are increasingly used in many applications. Along with this increased use comes a desire to investigate whether the model is compatible with the observed data. Bayesian methods are well suited to eliminate the many…

Methodology · Statistics 2008-02-08 M. J. Bayarri , M. E. Castellanos

Due to the rapid development of high-throughput experimental techniques and fast-dropping prices, many transcriptomic datasets have been generated and accumulated in the public domain. Meta-analysis combining multiple transcriptomic studies…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-17 Zhiguang Huo , Chi Song , George Tseng

Complex interactions between genes or proteins contribute a substantial part to phenotypic evolution. Here we develop an evolutionarily grounded method for the cross-species analysis of interaction networks by {\em alignment}, which maps…

Molecular Networks · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Johannes Berg , Michael Lässig

Variation in a sample of molecular sequence data informs about the past evolutionary history of the sample's population. Traditionally, Bayesian modeling coupled with the standard coalescent, is used to infer the sample's bifurcating…

Applications · Statistics 2024-10-22 Julie Zhang , Julia A. Palacios

We consider a population evolving due to mutation, selection and recombination, where selection includes single-locus terms (additive fitness) and two-loci terms (pairwise epistatic fitness). We further consider the problem of inferring…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2021-09-01 Hong-Li Zeng , Eugenio Mauri , Vito Dichio , Simona Cocco , Remi Monasson , Erik Aurell

The processes taking place inside the living cell are now understood to the point where predictive computational models can be used to gain detailed understanding of important biological phenomena. A key challenge is to extrapolate this…

Tissues and Organs · Quantitative Biology 2018-10-26 Stefan Engblom Daniel B. Wilson , Ruth E. Baker

This paper proposes a hierarchical Bayesian multitask learning model that is applicable to the general multi-task binary classification learning problem where the model assumes a shared sparsity structure across different tasks. We derive a…

While machine learning is rapidly being developed and deployed in health settings such as influenza prediction, there are critical challenges in using data from one environment in another due to variability in features; even within disease…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-03-10 Vishwali Mhasawade , Nabeel Abdur Rehman , Rumi Chunara

Co-evolution is a powerful problem-solving approach. However, fitness evaluation in co-evolutionary algorithms can be computationally expensive, as the quality of an individual in one population is defined by its interactions with many (or…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2024-04-11 Jack Garbus , Thomas Willkens , Alexander Lalejini , Jordan Pollack

The features in high dimensional biomedical prediction problems are often well described with lower dimensional manifolds. An example is genes that are organised in smaller functional networks. The outcome can then be described with the…

Gene-gene and gene-environment interactions are widely believed to play significant roles in explaining the variability of complex traits. While substantial research exists in this area, a comprehensive statistical framework that addresses…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-18 Durba Bhattacharya , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Meta-analysis is widely used to integrate results from multiple experiments to obtain generalized insights. Since meta-analysis datasets are often heteroscedastic due to varying subgroups and temporal heterogeneity arising from experiments…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-19 Kohsuke Kubota , Shonosuke Sugasawa , Keiichi Ochiai , Takahiro Hoshino

Identifying undocumented or potential future interactions among species is a challenge facing modern ecologists. Recent link prediction methods rely on trait data, however large species interaction databases are typically sparse and…

Applications · Statistics 2019-09-23 Mohamad Elmasri , Maxwell J. Farrell , T. Jonathan Davies , David A. Stephens

We propose VarFA, a variational inference factor analysis framework that extends existing factor analysis models for educational data mining to efficiently output uncertainty estimation in the model's estimated factors. Such uncertainty…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-08-18 Zichao Wang , Yi Gu , Andrew Lan , Richard Baraniuk

Bayesian experimental design is a technique that allows to efficiently select measurements to characterize a physical system by maximizing the expected information gain. Recent developments in deep neural networks and normalizing flows…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2023-06-27 Leopoldo Sarra , Florian Marquardt