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We investigate the large deviation properties of the maximum likelihood estimators for the Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with shift. We estimate simultaneously the drift and shift parameters. On the one hand, we establish a large deviation…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-09-05 Bernard Bercu , Adrien Richou

Mixture distributions with dynamic weights are an efficient way of modeling loss data characterized by heavy tails. However, maximum likelihood estimation of this family of models is difficult, mostly because of the need to evaluate…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-11 Marco Bee

Graphical models with bi-directed edges (<->) represent marginal independence: the absence of an edge between two vertices indicates that the corresponding variables are marginally independent. In this paper, we consider maximum likelihood…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-12-12 Mathias Drton , Thomas S. Richardson

We consider discrete default intensity based and logit type reduced form models for conditional default probabilities for corporate loans where we develop simple closed form approximations to the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) when the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-01-01 Anand Deo , Sandeep Juneja

We propose a new method for the Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) of nonlinear mixed effects models when the variance matrix of Gaussian random effects has a prescribed pattern of zeros (PPZ). The method consists in coupling the recently…

Methodology · Statistics 2009-02-11 Djalil Chafai , Didier Concordet

We consider a stochastic process model with time trend and measurement error. We establish consistency and derive the limiting distributions of the maximum likelihood (ML) estimators of the covariance function parameters under a general…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-09-29 Chih-Hao Chang , Hsin-Cheng Huang , Ching-Kang Ing

In this paper, we mainly focus on the penalized maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of the high-dimensional approximate factor model. Since the current estimation procedure can not guarantee the positive definiteness of the error covariance…

Computation · Statistics 2019-01-18 Shaoxin Wang , Hu Yang , Chaoli Yao

We provide a polyhedral description of the conditions for the existence of the maximum likelihood estimate (MLE) for a hierarchical log-linear model. The MLE exists if and only if the observed margins lie in the relative interior of the…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Nicholas Eriksson , Stephen E. Fienberg , Alessandro Rinaldo , Seth Sullivant

The behavior of maximum likelihood estimates (MLEs) and the likelihood ratio statistic in a family of problems involving pointwise nonparametric estimation of a monotone function is studied. This class of problems differs radically from the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Moulinath Banerjee

We study multivariate Gaussian models that are described by linear conditions on the concentration matrix. We compute the maximum likelihood (ML) degrees of these models. That is, we count the critical points of the likelihood function over…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Carlos Améndola , Lukas Gustafsson , Kathlén Kohn , Orlando Marigliano , Anna Seigal

Hawkes Processes have undergone increasing popularity as default tools for modeling self- and mutually exciting interactions of discrete events in continuous-time event streams. A Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) unconstrained…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-05-11 Rafael Lima

As the maximum likelihood method is the most commonly used method for parameters estimation being unbiased, consistent, efficient, and asymptotically normal, MLE is used to fit the new distribution (MBUW). But in small to moderate sample…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-17 Iman Mohammed Attia

We consider the problem of estimating the parameters of a multivariate Bernoulli process with auto-regressive feedback in the high-dimensional setting where the number of samples available is much less than the number of parameters. This…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-03-25 Parthe Pandit , Mojtaba Sahraee-Ardakan , Arash A. Amini , Sundeep Rangan , Alyson K. Fletcher

Mixture of autoregressions (MoAR) models provide a model-based approach to the clustering of time series data. The maximum likelihood (ML) estimation of MoAR models requires the evaluation of products of large numbers of densities of normal…

Computation · Statistics 2016-10-19 Hien D Nguyen , Geoffrey J McLachlan , Pierre Orban , Pierre Bellec , Andrew L Janke

This paper studies an approximation method for the log-likelihood function of a nonlinear diffusion process using the bridge of the diffusion. The main result (Theorem \refthm:approx) shows that this approximation converges uniformly to the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-01-11 Aleksandar Mijatović , Paul Schneider

We study nonparametric estimation for current status data with competing risks. Our main interest is in the nonparametric maximum likelihood estimator (MLE), and for comparison we also consider a simpler ``naive estimator.'' Groeneboom,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2008-06-20 Piet Groeneboom , Marloes H. Maathuis , Jon A. Wellner

The methods of statistical physics are widely used for modelling complex networks. Building on the recently proposed Equilibrium Expectation approach, we derive a simple and efficient algorithm for maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) of…

Computation · Statistics 2020-02-12 Alexander Borisenko , Maksym Byshkin , Alessandro Lomi

Suppose we are given observations, where each observation is drawn independently from one of $k$ known distributions. The goal is to match each observation to the distribution from which it was drawn. We observe that the maximum likelihood…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2019-10-01 Sinho Chewi , Forest Yang , Avishek Ghosh , Abhay Parekh , Kannan Ramchandran

The Rasch model, a classical model in the item response theory, is widely used in psychometrics to model the relationship between individuals' latent traits and their binary responses to assessments or questionnaires. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-10-31 Yuepeng Yang , Cong Ma

Marginal maximum likelihood estimation (MMLE) in item response theory (IRT) is highly sensitive to aberrant responses, such as careless answering and random guessing, which can reduce estimation accuracy. To address this issue, this study…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-02-18 Yuki Itaya , Kenichi Hayashi