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The Beta kernel estimator offers a theoretically superior alternative to the Gaussian kernel for unit interval data, eliminating boundary bias without requiring reflection or transformation. However, its adoption remains limited by the lack…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Johan Hallberg Szabadváry

We consider a high-probability non-asymptotic confidence estimation in the $\ell^2$-regularized non-linear least-squares setting with fixed design. In particular, we study confidence estimation for local minimizers of the regularized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-06-12 Ilja Kuzborskij , Yasin Abbasi Yadkori

We propose a kernel mixture of polynomials prior for Bayesian nonparametric regression. The regression function is modeled by local averages of polynomials with kernel mixture weights. We obtain the minimax-optimal rate of contraction of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-09-17 Fangzheng Xie , Yanxun Xu

In this paper we propose a new method of joint nonparametric estimation of probability density and its support. As is well known, nonparametric kernel density estimator has "boundary bias problem" when the support of the population density…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-07-19 Taku Moriyama

Models of weak-scale supersymmetry offer viable dark matter (DM) candidates. Their parameter spaces are however rather large and complex, such that pinning down the actual parameter values from experimental data can depend strongly on the…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2011-07-14 Yashar Akrami , Christopher Savage , Pat Scott , Jan Conrad , Joakim Edsjö

Conformal Prediction methods have finite-sample distribution-free marginal coverage guarantees. However, they generally do not offer conditional coverage guarantees, which can be important for high-stakes decisions. In this paper, we…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-09-27 Ruijiang Gao , Mingzhang Yin , James McInerney , Nathan Kallus

Markov chain Monte Carlo samplers produce dependent streams of variates drawn from the limiting distribution of the Markov chain. With this as motivation, we introduce novel univariate kernel density estimators which are appropriate for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-29 Hang J. Kim , Steven N. MacEachern , Yoonsuh Jung

This paper investigates the use of bootstrap-based bias correction of semi-parametric estimators of the long memory parameter in fractionally integrated processes. The re-sampling method involves the application of the sieve bootstrap to…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-02-28 D. S. Poskitt , Gael M. Martin , Simone D. Grose

One explanation for the strong generalization ability of neural networks is implicit bias. Yet, the definition and mechanism of implicit bias in non-linear contexts remains little understood. In this work, we propose to characterize…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-08-14 Jingwei Li , Jing Xu , Zifan Wang , Huishuai Zhang , Jingzhao Zhang

Accurate approximation of the sampling distribution of nonparametric kernel density estimators is crucial for many statistical inference problems. Since these estimators have complex asymptotic distributions, bootstrap methods are often…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-09-09 Todd A. Kuffner , Stephen M. -S. Lee , G. Alastair Young

Kernel density estimation is a well known method involving a smoothing parameter (the bandwidth) that needs to be tuned by the user. Although this method has been widely used the bandwidth selection remains a challenging issue in terms of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-05 Suzanne Varet , Claire Lacour , Pascal Massart , Vincent Rivoirard

It is a common practice to evaluate probability density function or matter spatial density function from statistical samples. Kernel density estimation is a frequently used method, but to select an optimal bandwidth of kernel estimation,…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-04-27 Zhen-Wei Li , Ping He

In this paper we study the problem of pointwise density estimation from observations with multiplicative measurement errors. We elucidate the main feature of this problem: the influence of the estimation point on the estimation accuracy. In…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-07-13 Denis Belomestny , Alexander Goldenshluger

A variance reduction technique in nonparametric smoothing is proposed: at each point of estimation, form a linear combination of a preliminary estimator evaluated at nearby points with the coefficients specified so that the asymptotic bias…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Ming-Yen Cheng , Liang Peng , Jyh-Shyang Wu

In this paper, we deal with the data-driven selection of multidimensional and possibly anisotropic bandwidths in the general framework of kernel empirical risk minimization. We propose a universal selection rule, which leads to optimal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Michaël Chichignoud , Sébastien Loustau

In this paper, we are interested in the problem of smoothing parameter selection in nonparametric curve estimation under dependent errors. We focus on kernel estimation and the case when the errors form a general stationary sequence of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-04-14 Karim Benhenni , Didier Girard , Sana Louhichi

New bandwidth selectors for kernel density estimation with directional data are presented in this work. These selectors are based on asymptotic and exact error expressions for the kernel density estimator combined with mixtures of von Mises…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-09-22 Eduardo García-Portugués

Bayesian density deconvolution using nonparametric prior distributions is a useful alternative to the frequentist kernel based deconvolution estimators due to its potentially wide range of applicability, straightforward uncertainty…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-09-10 Abhra Sarkar , Debdeep Pati , Bani K. Mallick , Raymond J. Carroll

Depth measures are powerful tools for defining level sets in emerging, non--standard, and complex random objects such as high-dimensional multivariate data, functional data, and random graphs. Despite their favorable theoretical properties,…

Conformal prediction is a popular framework of uncertainty quantification that constructs prediction sets with coverage guarantees. To uphold the exchangeability assumption, many conformal prediction methods necessitate an additional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Hao Zeng , Kangdao Liu , Bingyi Jing , Hongxin Wei