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Within the framework of maximum entropy principle we show that the finite-size long-range Ising model is the adequate model for the description of homogeneous credit portfolios and the computation of credit risk when default correlations…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2016-08-31 Jordi Molins , Eduard Vives

This paper proposes a linear categorical random coefficient model, in which the random coefficients follow parametric categorical distributions. The distributional parameters are identified based on a linear recurrence structure of moments…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-03-01 Zhan Gao , M. Hashem Pesaran

We assume that the forecast error follows a probability distribution which is symmetric and monotonically non-increasing on non-negative real numbers, and if there is a mismatch between observed and predicted value, then we suffer a loss.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-07-06 Naoya Yamaguchi , Yuka Yamaguchi , Maiya Hori

We prove a weak iterated invariance principle for a large class of non-uniformly expanding random dynamical systems. In addition, we give a quenched homogenization result for fast-slow systems in the case when the fast component corresponds…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-02-11 Davor Dragicevic , Yeor Hafouta

Considering some parameters and by means of an inequality of Hadamard, we derive general half-discrete Hilbert-type inequalities. Then we highlight some special cases.

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2016-01-06 Waleed Abuelela

We study a multidimensional renewal risk model, with common counting process and cadlag returns. Considering that the claim vectors have common distribution from some multivariate distribution class with heavy tail, are mutually weakly…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-18 Dimitrios G. Konstantinides , Charalampos D. Passalidis

We consider a time-homogeneous Markov chain $X_n$, $n\ge0$, valued in ${\bf R}$. Suppose that this chain is transient, that is, $X_n$ generates a $\sigma$-finite renewal measure. We prove the key renewal theorem under condition that this…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-11-15 Dmitry Korshunov

This paper focuses on recursive estimation of time varying autoregressive processes in a nonparametric setting. The stability of the model is revisited and uniform results are provided when the time-varying autoregressive parameters belong…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Eric Moulines , Pierre Priouret , François Roueff

We prove weak laws of large numbers and central limit theorems of Lindeberg type for empirical centres of mass (empirical Fr\'echet means) of independent non-identically distributed random variables taking values in Riemannian manifolds. In…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-06-29 Wilfrid S. Kendall , Huiling Le

We show that moment inequalities in a wide variety of economic applications have a particular linear conditional structure. We use this structure to construct uniformly valid confidence sets that remain computationally tractable even in…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-12-20 Isaiah Andrews , Jonathan Roth , Ariel Pakes

We consider parameter estimation, hypothesis testing and variable selection for partially time-varying coefficient models. Our asymptotic theory has the useful feature that it can allow dependent, nonstationary error and covariate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-08-20 Ting Zhang , Wei Biao Wu

We develop and analyze a random field model for the reconstruction of turbulent velocity fluctuations from inhomogeneous characteristic flow quantities provided by RANS simulations that is accessible to both a rigorous analytical validation…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Markus Antoni , Quinten Kürpick , Felix Lindner , Nicole Marheineke , Raimund Wegener

In this paper we define the class of matrix Mittag-Leffler distributions and study some of its properties. We show that it can be interpreted as a particular case of an inhomogeneous phase-type distribution with random scaling factor, and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-28 Hansjoerg Albrecher , Martin Bladt , Mogens Bladt

In this note, we present a version of Hoeffding's inequality in a continuous-time setting, where the data stream comes from a uniformly ergodic diffusion process. Similar to the well-studied case of Hoeffding's inequality for discrete-time…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-26 Michael C. H. Choi , Evelyn Li

Continuous-time random walks are generalisations of random walks frequently used to account for the consistent observations that many molecules in living cells undergo anomalous diffusion, i.e. subdiffusion. Here, we describe the…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2015-03-31 Hugues Berry , Thomas Lepoutre , Álvaro Mateos González

This paper addresses the task of modeling severity losses using segmentation when the data distribution does not fall into the usual regression frameworks. This situation is not uncommon in lines of business such as third-party liability…

Applications · Statistics 2021-11-29 Martin Bladt

We prove a central limit theorem for a sequence of random variables whose means are ambiguous and vary in an unstructured way. Their joint distribution is described by a set of measures. The limit is (not the normal distribution and is)…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-07-01 Zengjing Chen , Larry G. Epstein

We derive formulas for the moments of the ruin time in a L\'evy risk model and use these to determine the asymptotic behavior of the moments of the ruin time as the initial capital tends to infinity. In the special case of the perturbed…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-08-02 Philipp Lukas Strietzel , Anita Behme

Systemic risk is receiving increasing attention in the insurance industry. In this paper, we propose a multi-dimensional L\'{e}vy process-based renewal risk model with heterogeneous insurance claims, where every dimension indicates a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-17 Bingzhen Geng , Yang Liu , Hongfu Wan

We introduce a generic class of dynamic nonlinear heterogeneous parameter models that incorporate individual and time fixed effects in both the intercept and slope. These models are subject to the incidental parameter problem, in that the…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-27 Xuan Leng , Jiaming Mao , Yutao Sun
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