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For ${1/2}<\alpha<1$, we propose the MDP analysis for family $$ S^\alpha_n=\frac{1}{n^\alpha}\sum_{i=1}^nH(X_{i-1}), n\ge 1, $$ where $(X_n)_{n\ge 0}$ be a homogeneous ergodic Markov chain, $X_n\in \mathbb{R}^d$, when the spectrum of…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 B. Delyon , A. Juditsky , R. Liptser

We derive and prove the path-kernel formula for the linear response (parameter-derivative of averaged statistics) of SDEs. The parameter may affect the drift coefficient, the diffusion coefficient, and the initial condition. The formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-01 Angxiu Ni

We consider control systems of the type $\dot x = A x +\alpha(t)bu$, where $u\in\R$, $(A,b)$ is a controllable pair and $\alpha$ is an unknown time-varying signal with values in $[0,1]$ satisfying a persistent excitation condition i.e.,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2009-05-18 Yacine Chitour , Mario Sigalotti

We study the onset of spatial instabilities in reaction networks where the spatially homogeneous system admits a steady state parameterization. We formulate a sufficient condition -- based on the signs of the constant and leading…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2026-05-18 Carsten Conradi , Maya Mincheva , Hannes Uecker

This paper presents a new anytime algorithm for the marginal MAP problem in graphical models. The algorithm is described in detail, its complexity and convergence rate are studied, and relations to previous theoretical results for the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-12-21 Denis Maua , Cassio De Campos

We study the family of quadratic maps f_a(x) = 1 - ax^2 on the interval [-1,1] with a between 0 and 2. When small holes are introduced into the system, we prove the existence of an absolutely continuous conditionally invariant measure using…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Mark F. Demers

We consider deterministic fast-slow dynamical systems on $\mathbb{R}^m\times Y$ of the form \[ \begin{cases} x_{k+1}^{(n)} = x_k^{(n)} + n^{-1} a(x_k^{(n)}) + n^{-1/\alpha} b(x_k^{(n)}) v(y_k)\;,\quad y_{k+1} = f(y_k)\;, \end{cases} \]…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2020-10-30 Ilya Chevyrev , Peter K. Friz , Alexey Korepanov , Ian Melbourne

We utilize Gaussian measure preserving systems to prove the existence and genericity of Lebesgue measure preserving transformations $T:[0,1]\rightarrow [0,1]$ which exhibit both mixing and rigidity behavior along families of asymptotically…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-07-26 Rigoberto Zelada

We examine a periodic mixed spin chain with spin magnitudes 1/2 and 1 which are arrayed as 1/2-1/2-1-1. The three independent parameters are ratios of the four exchange couplings. We determine phase boundaries in the parameter space by…

Strongly Correlated Electrons · Physics 2009-10-31 Ken'ichi Takano

We study linear recurrence and weak mixing of a two-parameter family of interval translation maps $T_{\alpha,\beta}$ for the subset of parameter space where $T_{\alpha,\beta}$ has a Cantor attractor. For this class, there is a procedure…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2023-12-19 Henk Bruin , Silvia Radinger

For ${1/2}<\alpha<1$, we propose the MDP analysis for family $$ S^\alpha_n=\frac{1}{n^\alpha}\sum_{i=1}^nH(X_{i-1}), n\ge 1, $$ where $(X_n)_{n\ge 0}$ be a homogeneous ergodic Markov chain, $X_n\in \mathbb{R}^d$, when the spectrum of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-09-07 B. Delyon , A. Juditsky , R. Liptser

The literature on statistical learning for time series assumes the asymptotic independence or ``mixing' of the data-generating process. These mixing assumptions are never tested, nor are there methods for estimating mixing rates from data.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-03-18 Daniel J. McDonald , Cosma Rohilla Shalizi , Mark Schervish

Parametric derivatives of statistics are highly desired quantities in prediction, design optimization and uncertainty quantification. In the presence of chaos, the rigorous computation of these quantities is certainly possible, but…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-05-10 Adam A. Sliwiak , Qiqi Wang

We reconsider the theory of the linear response of non-equilibrium steady states to perturbations. We first show that by using a general functional decomposition for space-time dependent forcings, we can define elementary susceptibilities…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2015-05-28 Valerio Lucarini , Tobias Kuna , Jeroen Wouters , Davide Faranda

This paper proposes a semiparametric sieve approach to estimate impulse response functions of nonlinear time series within a general class of structural autoregressive models. We prove that a two-step procedure can flexibly accommodate…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-06-19 Giovanni Ballarin

In this work we study a class of stochastic processes $\{X_t\}_{t\in\N}$, where $X_t = (\phi \circ T_s^t)(X_0)$ is obtained from the iterations of the transformation T_s, invariant for an ergodic probability \mu_s on [0,1] and a continuous…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-07-12 B. P. Olbermann , Silvia R. C. Lopes , Artur O. Lopes

We prove that every geometric Lorenz attractor has superpolynomial decay of correlations with respect to the unique SRB measure. Moreover, we prove the Central Limit Theorem and Almost Sure Invariance Principle for the time-1 map of the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2016-11-24 V. Araujo , I. Melbourne , P. Varandas

We prove explicit finite-$N$ lower bounds for $\mathbb P(\bigcup_{k=1}^N A_k)$ when the $\sigma$-algebras generated by an event sequence satisfy quantitative $\varphi$- or $\alpha$-mixing bounds. The main $\varphi$-mixing estimate is…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Chatchawan Panraksa

We consider the family of one-dimensional maps arising from the contracting Lorenz attractors studied by Rovella. Benedicks-Carleson techniques were used by Rovella to prove that there is a one-parameter family of maps whose derivatives…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2015-06-05 Jose F. Alves , Mohammad Soufi

The t-statistic is a widely-used scale-invariant statistic for testing the null hypothesis that the mean is zero. Martingale methods enable sequential testing with the t-statistic at every sample size, while controlling the probability of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-02-10 Peter D. Grünwald , Wouter M. Koolen