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We develop a Bayesian spatio-temporal framework for extreme-value analysis that augments a hierarchical copula model with an autoregressive factor to capture residual temporal dependence in threshold exceedances. The factor can be specified…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-06 Carlos A. Pasquier , Luis A. Barboza

This paper deals with Bayesian estimations of scale parameter of the exponential distribution based on upper record range (Rn). This has been done in two steps; point and interval. In the first step the quadratic, squared error and absolute…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-06-26 P. Nasiri , S. Hosseini , M. Yarmohammadi , F. Hatami

We study the convergence rates of empirical Bayes posterior distributions for nonparametric and high-dimensional inference. We show that as long as the hyperparameter set is discrete, the empirical Bayes posterior distribution induced by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-09-10 Fengshuo Zhang , Chao Gao

In this paper, we modify the Bayes risk for the expectile, the so-called variantile risk measure, to better capture extreme risks. The modified risk measure is called the adjusted standard-deviatile. First, we derive the asymptotic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-12 Haoyu Chen , Tiantian Mao , Fan Yang

The aim of this paper is to discuss both higher-order asymptotic expansions and skewed approximations for the Bayesian Discrepancy Measure for testing precise statistical hypotheses. In particular, we derive results on third-order…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-05-02 Elena Bortolato , Francesco Bertolino , Monica Musio , Laura Ventura

The normality assumption on data set is very restrictive approach for modelling. The generalized form of normal distribution, named as an exponential power (EP) distribution, and its scale mixture form have been considered extensively to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-07-20 Mehmet Niyazi Cankaya , Olcay Arslan

We define a four-parameter extended Rayleigh distribution, and obtain several mathematical properties including a stochastic representation. We construct a regression from the new distribution. The estimation is done by maximum likelihood.…

In this paper we consider the parameter estimation problem associated to partially-observed time changed SDEs, with observations that are given at discrete times. In particular we consider both likelihood and Bayesian estimation. We develop…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Ke Zhao , Ajay Jasra

In this work, we investigate the estimation of a parameter $f$ in PDEs using Bayesian procedures, and focus on posterior distributions constructed using Gaussian process priors, and its variational approximation. We establish contraction…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-27 Yuxin Fan , Bangti Jin

In this paper, we consider objective Bayesian inference of the generalized exponential distribution using the independence Jeffreys prior and validate the propriety of the posterior distribution under a family of structured priors. We…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-09-26 Aojun Li , Keying Ye , Min Wang

Flexibility in shape and scale of Burr XII distribution can make close approximation of numerous well-known probability density functions. Due to these capabilities, the usages of Burr XII distribution are applied in risk analysis, lifetime…

Applications · Statistics 2019-01-29 Saviz Saei , Mohsen Mohammadi , Mahsa Fekriseri , Kouroush Jenab

We study empirical Bayes (EB) predictive density estimation in linear mixed models (LMMs) with large number of units, which induce a high dimensional random effects space. Focusing on Kullback Leibler (KL) risk minimization, we develop a…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-03-31 Abir Sarkar , Gourab Mukherjee , Keisuke Yano

Reinforcement learning can learn amortised design policies for designing sequences of experiments. However, current amortised methods rely on estimators of expected information gain (EIG) that require an exponential number of samples on the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-06 Tom Blau , Iadine Chades , Amir Dezfouli , Daniel Steinberg , Edwin V. Bonilla

In various applied areas such as reliability engineering, molecular biology, finance, etc., the measure of uncertainty of a probability distribution plays an important role. In the present work, we consider the estimation of a function of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-09 Lakshmi Kanta Patra , Shrajal Bajpai , Neeraj Misra

In Smyl et al. [Local and global trend Bayesian exponential smoothing models. International Journal of Forecasting, 2024.], a generalised exponential smoothing model was proposed that is able to capture strong trends and volatility in time…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-07-02 Xueying Long , Daniel F. Schmidt , Christoph Bergmeir , Slawek Smyl

Many geophysical problems can be cast as inverse problems that estimate a set of parameter values from observed data. Within a Bayesian framework, solutions to such problems are described probabilistically by the so-called posterior…

Geophysics · Physics 2025-07-23 Xuebin Zhao , Andrew Curtis

In this paper we propose a new lifetime model, called the odd generalized exponential gompertz distribution, We obtain some of its mathematical properties. Some structural properties of the new distribution are studied. The method of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-10-28 M. A. El-Damcese , Abdelfattah Mustafa , B. S. El-Desouky , M. E. Mustafa

We propose a new approach to mixed-frequency regressions in a high-dimensional environment that resorts to Group Lasso penalization and Bayesian techniques for estimation and inference. In particular, to improve the prediction properties of…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-06-12 Matteo Mogliani , Anna Simoni

The analysis of a truncated sample can be hindered by censoring. Survival information may be lost to follow-up or the birthdate may be missing. The data can still be modeled as a truncated point process and it is close to a Poisson process,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-08-12 Fiete Sieg , Anne-Marie Toparkus , Rafael Weissbach

Modified estimators for the contribution rates of population eigenvalues are given under an elliptically contoured distribution. These estimators decrease the bias of the classical estimator, i.e. the sample contribution rates. The…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-03-22 Yo Sheena
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