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The reduced Markov branching process is a stochastic model for the genealogy of an unstructured biological population. Its limit behavior in the critical case is well studied for the Zolotarev-Slack regularity parameter $\alpha\in(0,1]$. We…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-10-16 Andreas N. Lagerås , Serik Sagitov

We give a realization of the stable L\'evy forest of a given size conditioned by its mass from the path of the unconditioned forest. Then, we prove an invariance principle for this conditioned forest by considering $k$ independent…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-06-19 Loic Chaumont , Juan Carlos Pardo Millan

We study the evolution of the population genealogy in the classic neutral Moran Model of finite size and in discrete time. The stochastic transformations that shape a Moran population can be realized directly on its genealogy and give rise…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-02-08 Johannes Wirtz , Thomas Wiehe

We consider the time evolution of the lattice subcritical Galton-Watson model with immigration. We prove Carleman type estimation for the cumulants in the simple case (binary splitting) and show the existence of a steady state. We also…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-21 Elena Chernousova , Yaqin Feng , Stanislav Molchanov , Joseph Whitmeyer

We give sufficient conditions on the initial, offspring and immigration distributions under which the distribution of a not necessarily stationary Galton--Watson process with immigration is regularly varying at any fixed time.

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-08 Matyas Barczy , Zsuzsanna Bősze , Gyula Pap

A multitype Dawson-Watanabe process is conditioned, in subcritical and critical cases, on non-extinction in the remote future. On every finite time interval, its distribution is absolutely continuous with respect to the law of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-05 Nicolas Champagnat , Sylvie Roelly

We consider a single genetic locus with two alleles $A_1$ and $A_2$ in a large haploid population. The locus is subject to selection and two-way, or recurrent, mutation. Assuming the allele frequencies follow a Wright-Fisher diffusion and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-29 Wai-Tong Louis Fan , John Wakeley

Branching processes in a random environment are natural generalisations of Galton-Watson processes. In this paper we analyse the asymptotic decay of the survival probability for a sequence of slightly supercritical branching processes in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-12-23 Florin Boenkost , Götz Kersting

We consider Galton-Watson branching processes with countable typeset $\mathcal{X}$. We study the vectors ${\bf q}(A)=(q_x(A))_{x\in\mathcal{X}}$ recording the conditional probabilities of extinction in subsets of types $A\subseteq…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-23 Daniela Bertacchi , Peter Braunsteins , Sophie Hautphenne , Fabio Zucca

We compute exact values respectively bounds of "distances" - in the sense of (transforms of) power divergences and relative entropy - between two discrete-time Galton-Watson branching processes with immigration GWI for which the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-10-21 Niels B. Kammerer , Wolfgang Stummer

A Galton-Watson process in a varying environment is a discrete time branching process where the offspring distributions vary among generations. It is known that in the critical case, these processes have a Yaglom limit, that is, a suitable…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-10-03 Natalia Cardona-Tobón , Arturo Jaramillo , Sandra Palau

We consider the time evolution of the supercritical Galton-Watson model of branching particles with extra parameter (mass). In the moment of the division the mass of the particle (which is growing linearly after the birth) is divided in…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-08-20 Gregory Derfel , Yaqin Feng , Stanislav Molchanov

A curious connection exists between the theory of optimal stopping for independent random variables, and branching processes. In particular, for the branching process $Z_n$ with offspring distribution $Y$, there exists a random variable $X$…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 David Assaf , Larry Goldstein , Ester Samuel-Cahn

We consider stochastic dynamics of a population which starts from a small colony on a habitat with large but limited carrying capacity. A common heuristics suggests that such population grows initially as a Galton-Watson branching process…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-03-22 N. Bauman , P. Chigansky , F. Klebaner

We prove a scaling limit theorem for two-type Galton-Waston branching processes with interaction. The limit theorem gives rise to a class of mixed state branching processes with interaction using to simulate the evolution for cell division…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-21 Shukai Chen , Lina Ji , Jie Xiong

A second-order Galton-Watson process with immigration can be represented as a coordinate process of a 2-type Galton-Watson process with immigration. Sufficient conditions are derived on the offspring and immigration distributions of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-10-13 Matyas Barczy , Zsuzsanna Bősze , Gyula Pap

We show that an infinite Galton-Watson tree, conditioned on its martingale limit being smaller than $\eps$, converges as $\eps\downarrow 0$ in law to the regular $\mu$-ary tree, where $\mu$ is the essential minimum of the offspring…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-04-17 Nathanael Berestycki , Peter Morters , Nadia Sidorova

We consider a continuous-time symmetric branching random walk on the $d$-dimensional lattice, $d\ge 1$, and assume that at the initial moment there is one particle at every lattice point. Moreover, we assume that the underlying random walk…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-03-07 Daria Balashova , Stanislav Molchanov , Elena Yarovaya

We consider a fragmentation of discrete trees where the internal vertices are deleted independently at a rate proportional to their degree. Informally, the associated cut-tree represents the genealogy of the nested connected components…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-08-11 Daphné Dieuleveut

We consider critical percolation on a supercritical Galton-Watson tree. We show that, when the offspring distribution is in the domain of attraction of an $\alpha$-stable law for some $\alpha \in (1,2)$, or has finite variance, several…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-07-24 Eleanor Archer , Quirin Vogel
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