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Line-intensity mapping (LIM) is an emerging cosmological technique that traces large-scale structure through the integrated spectral-line emission of unresolved sources. Reconstructing unbiased sky maps requires careful joint treatment of…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2026-03-25 Zheng Zhang , Philip Bull , Mario G. Santos , Ainulnabilah Nasirudin

Bayesian nonparametric (BNP) models provide elegant methods for discovering underlying latent features within a data set, but inference in such models can be slow. We exploit the fact that completely random measures, which commonly used…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-17 Avinava Dubey , Michael Minyi Zhang , Eric P. Xing , Sinead A. Williamson

Identification of model parameters in computer simulations is an important topic in computer experiments. We propose a new method, called the projected kernel calibration method, to estimate these model parameters. The proposed method is…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-05-10 Rui Tuo

We develop a Bayesian graphical modeling framework for functional data for correlated multivariate random variables observed over a continuous domain. Our method leads to graphical Markov models for functional data which allows the graphs…

In this study, we focus on developing efficient calibration methods via Bayesian decision-making for the family of compartmental epidemiological models. The existing calibration methods usually assume that the compartmental model is cheap…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-12-11 Puhua Niu , Byung-Jun Yoon , Xiaoning Qian

This paper is concerned with a lesser-studied problem in the context of model-based, uncertainty quantification (UQ), that of optimization/design/control under uncertainty. The solution of such problems is hindered not only by the usual…

Computation · Statistics 2016-02-17 Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Bayesian Generalized Nonlinear Models (BGNLM) offer a flexible nonlinear alternative to GLM while still providing better interpretability than machine learning techniques such as neural networks. In BGNLM, the methods of Bayesian Variable…

Computation · Statistics 2023-12-29 Jon Lachmann , Aliaksandr Hubin

The accuracy of the underlying model predictions is crucial for the success of model predictive control (MPC) applications. If the model is unable to accurately analyze the dynamics of the controlled system, the performance and stability…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-04-16 Qi Zhang , Lei Wang , Weihua Xu , Hongye Su , Lei Xie

Machine learning methods for computational imaging require uncertainty estimation to be reliable in real settings. While Bayesian models offer a computationally tractable way of recovering uncertainty, they need large data volumes to be…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-24 Francesco Tonolini , Jack Radford , Alex Turpin , Daniele Faccio , Roderick Murray-Smith

Over the last decade, big data have poured into econometrics, demanding new statistical methods for analysing high-dimensional data and complex non-linear relationships. A common approach for addressing dimensionality issues relies on the…

Econometrics · Economics 2019-06-06 Matteo Iacopini , Luca Rossini

Approximate Bayesian computation (ABC) methods perform inference on model-specific parameters of mechanistically motivated parametric statistical models when evaluating likelihoods is difficult. Central to the success of ABC methods is…

Computation · Statistics 2013-01-29 Erkan O. Buzbas , Noah A. Rosenberg

Recommending items to users has long been a fundamental task, and studies have tried to improve it ever since. Most well-known models commonly employ representation learning to map users and items into a unified embedding space for matching…

Information Retrieval · Computer Science 2025-04-16 Radin Cheraghi , Amir Mohammad Mahfoozi , Sepehr Zolfaghari , Mohammadshayan Shabani , Maryam Ramezani , Hamid R. Rabiee

The implementation of computational sensing strategies often faces calibration problems typically solved by means of multiple, accurately chosen training signals, an approach that can be resource-consuming and cumbersome. Conversely, blind…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2017-02-17 Valerio Cambareri , Laurent Jacques

Inferring the infinitesimal rates of continuous-time Markov chains (CTMCs) is a central challenge in many scientific domains. This task is hindered by three factors: quadratic growth in the number of rates as the CTMC state space expands,…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-09 Filippo Monti , Xiang Ji , Marc A. Suchard

Bayesian optimization is an effective methodology for the global optimization of functions with expensive evaluations. It relies on querying a distribution over functions defined by a relatively cheap surrogate model. An accurate model for…

Estimation of model parameters of computer simulators, also known as calibration, is an important topic in many engineering applications. In this paper, we consider the calibration of computer model parameters with the help of engineering…

Applications · Statistics 2020-01-01 Yan Wang , Xiaowei Yue , Rui Tuo , Jeffrey H. Hunt , Jianjun Shi

Accurate uncertainty estimates are important in sequential model-based decision-making tasks such as Bayesian optimization. However, these estimates can be imperfect if the data violates assumptions made by the model (e.g., Gaussianity).…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-06-27 Shachi Deshpande , Charles Marx , Volodymyr Kuleshov

Microsimulation models (MSMs) are used to predict population-level effects of health care policies by simulating individual-level outcomes. Simulated outcomes are governed by unknown parameters that are chosen so that the model accurately…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-14 Carolyn Rutter , Jonathan Ozik , Maria DeYoreo , Nicholson Collier

Bayesian method is capable of capturing real world uncertainties/incompleteness and properly addressing the over-fitting issue faced by deep neural networks. In recent years, Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) have drawn tremendous attentions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-05-11 Xiaotao Jia , Jianlei Yang , Runze Liu , Xueyan Wang , Sorin Dan Cotofana , Weisheng Zhao

Bayesian methods are developed for the multivariate nonparametric regression problem where the domain is taken to be a compact Riemannian manifold. In terms of the latter, the underlying geometry of the manifold induces certain symmetries…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Jean-François Angers , Peter T. Kim
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