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This paper details how to parameterize the posterior distribution of state-space systems to generate improved optimization problems for system identification using variational inference. Three different parameterizations of the assumed…

Applications · Statistics 2025-01-15 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

In this paper, we obtain a precise estimate of the probability that the sparse binomial random graph contains a large number of vertices in a triangle. The estimate of log of this probability is correct up to second order, and enables us to…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-21 Suman Chakraborty , Remco van der Hofstad , Frank den Hollander

Neural network design has utilized flexible nonlinear processes which can mimic biological systems, but has suffered from a lack of traceability in the resulting network. Graphical probabilistic models ground network design in probabilistic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2015-06-19 Kenric P. Nelson , Madalina Barbu , Brian J. Scannell

Multivariate regression model is a natural generalization of the classical univari- ate regression model for fitting multiple responses. In this paper, we propose a high- dimensional multivariate conditional regression model for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-26 Junhui Wang

A nonparanormal graphical model is a semiparametric generalization of a Gaussian graphical model for continuous variables in which it is assumed that the variables follow a Gaussian graphical model only after some unknown smooth monotone…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-23 Jami J. Mulgrave , Subhashis Ghosal

We consider the problem of estimating a sparse precision matrix of a multivariate Gaussian distribution, including the case where the dimension $p$ is large. Gaussian graphical models provide an important tool in describing conditional…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-04-08 Sayantan Banerjee , Subhashis Ghosal

We study the problem of estimating the mean of an identity covariance Gaussian in the truncated setting, in the regime when the truncation set comes from a low-complexity family $\mathcal{C}$ of sets. Specifically, for a fixed but unknown…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2024-03-05 Ilias Diakonikolas , Daniel M. Kane , Thanasis Pittas , Nikos Zarifis

Reduced-rank regression recognises the possibility of a rank-deficient matrix of coefficients. We propose a novel Bayesian model for estimating the rank of the coefficient matrix, which obviates the need for post-processing steps and allows…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-02-14 Maria F. Pintado , Matteo Iacopini , Luca Rossini , Alexander Y. Shestopaloff

Bayesian inference is a popular approach to calibrating uncertainties, but it can underpredict such uncertainties when model misspecification is present, impacting its reliability to inform decision making. Recently, the statistics and…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2026-01-09 Rebekah White , Rileigh Bandy , Teresa Portone

Contour maps are widely used to display estimates of spatial fields. Instead of showing the estimated field, a contour map only shows a fixed number of contour lines for different levels. However, despite the ubiquitous use of these maps,…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-11 David Bolin , Finn Lindgren

This paper introduces a multi-way tensor generalization of the Bigraphical Lasso (BiGLasso), which uses a two-way sparse Kronecker-sum multivariate-normal model for the precision matrix to parsimoniously model conditional dependence…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-09-24 Kristjan Greenewald , Shuheng Zhou , Alfred Hero

A standard approach for model reduction of linear input-output systems is balanced truncation, which is based on the controllability and observability properties of the underlying system. The related dominant subspace projection model…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-08-23 Peter Benner , Christian Himpe

Univariate and multivariate normal probability distributions are widely used when modeling decisions under uncertainty. Computing the performance of such models requires integrating these distributions over specific domains, which can vary…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-07-31 Abhranil Das , Wilson S Geisler

This paper presents a projection-based technique to mitigate the impact of modeling errors related to domain truncation, changes in the optode coupling coefficients, and misspecified optical parameters of different tissue types in diffuse…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-04-30 Aada Hakula , Pauliina Hirvi , Nuutti Hyvönen , Altti Jääskeläinen , Ville Kolehmainen

We develop a method to carry out MAP estimation for a class of Bayesian regression models in which coefficients are assigned with Gaussian-based spike and slab priors. The objective function in the corresponding optimization problem has a…

Methodology · Statistics 2012-11-26 Tso-Jung Yen

In many inverse problems, model parameters cannot be precisely determined from observational data. Bayesian inference provides a mechanism for capturing the resulting parameter uncertainty, but typically at a high computational cost. This…

Computation · Statistics 2019-03-28 Matthew Parno , Tarek Moselhy , Youssef Marzouk

In statistical applications, it is common to encounter parameters supported on a varying or unknown dimensional space. Examples include the fused lasso regression, the matrix recovery under an unknown low rank, etc. Despite the ease of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-10-04 Maoran Xu , Hua Zhou , Yujie Hu , Leo L. Duan

An inductive probabilistic classification rule must generally obey the principles of Bayesian predictive inference, such that all observed and unobserved stochastic quantities are jointly modeled and the parameter uncertainty is fully…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-03-25 Henrik Nyman , Jie Xiong , Johan Pensar , Jukka Corander

This paper describes a simple procedure to estimate the parameters of the univariate truncated normal and lognormal distributions by maximum likelihood. It starts from a reparameterization of the lognormal that was previously introduced by…

Computation · Statistics 2014-07-25 Salvador Pueyo

We consider chance constrained optimization where it is sought to optimize a function while complying with constraints, both of which are affected by uncertainties. The high computational cost of realistic simulations strongly limits the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-04-18 Julien Pelamatti , Rodolphe Le Riche , Céline Helbert , Christophette Blanchet-Scalliet