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We present a perfect simulation algorithm for measures that are absolutely continuous with respect to some Poisson process and can be obtained as invariant measures of birth-and-death processes. Examples include area- and…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Roberto Fernandez , Pablo A. Ferrari , Nancy Garcia

Autoregressive feedback is considered a necessity for successful unconditional text generation using stochastic sequence models. However, such feedback is known to introduce systematic biases into the training process and it obscures a…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-10-30 Florian Schmidt , Thomas Hofmann

Stochastic systems with memory naturally appear in life science, economy, and finance. We take the modelling point of view of stochastic functional delay equations and we study these structures when the driving noises admit jumps. Our…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-01 D. R. Baños , F. Cordoni , G. Di Nunno , L. Di Persio , E. E. Røse

Gaussian Process state-space models capture complex temporal dependencies in a principled manner by placing a Gaussian Process prior on the transition function. These models have a natural interpretation as discretized stochastic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-24 Krista Longi , Jakob Lindinger , Olaf Duennbier , Melih Kandemir , Arto Klami , Barbara Rakitsch

A model is presented for the quantum memory, the content of which is a pure quantum state. In this model, the fundamental operations of writing on, reading, and resetting the memory are performed through scattering from the memory. The…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 Tai Tsun Wu , Ming Lun Yu

In the study of stochastic systems, the committor function describes the probability that a system starting from an initial configuration $x$ will reach a set $B$ before a set $A$. This paper introduces an efficient and interpretable…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-08-13 D. Aristoff , M. Johnson , G. Simpson , R. J. Webber

Stochastic kinetic models describe systems across biology, chemistry, and physics where discrete events and small populations render deterministic approximations inadequate. Parameter inference and inverse design in these systems require…

Computational Physics · Physics 2026-03-06 Francesco Mottes , Qian-Ze Zhu , Michael P. Brenner

In this article, we aim to further clarify certain subtle aspects of processes that exhibit long memory in the second-order sense. We construct a long-memory stochastic sequence, in the sense that the series of absolute autocovariances…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-20 Valentin Vidril

We present a unified view of likelihood based Gaussian progress regression for simulation experiments exhibiting input-dependent noise. Replication plays an important role in that context, however previous methods leveraging replicates have…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-18 Mickael Binois , Robert B. Gramacy , Michael Ludkovski

In this short letter we present the construction of a bi-stochastic kernel p for an arbitrary data set X that is derived from an asymmetric affinity function {\alpha}. The affinity function {\alpha} measures the similarity between points in…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2013-07-15 Ronald R. Coifman , Matthew J. Hirn

How can we efficiently propagate uncertainty in a latent state representation with recurrent neural networks? This paper introduces stochastic recurrent neural networks which glue a deterministic recurrent neural network and a state space…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-15 Marco Fraccaro , Søren Kaae Sønderby , Ulrich Paquet , Ole Winther

We define a new variant of exclusion processes in discrete time that has jump probabilities that depend on the last jump performed. In a particular limit for the jump probabilities and in suitable scaling limits for space and time, we…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-04-01 Bryan Debin , Etienne Granet

We consider Markov models of stochastic processes where the next-step conditional distribution is defined by a kernel density estimator (KDE), similar to Markov forecast densities and certain time-series bootstrap schemes. The KDE Markov…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-31 Gustav Eje Henter , Arne Leijon , W. Bastiaan Kleijn

We consider stochastic and open quantum systems with a finite number of states, where a stochastic transition between two specific states is monitored by a detector. The long-time counting statistics of the observed realizations of the…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2014-03-27 M. Bruderer , L. D. Contreras-Pulido , M. Thaller , L. Sironi , D. Obreschkow , M. B. Plenio

This work proposes a Stochastic Variational Deep Kernel Learning method for the data-driven discovery of low-dimensional dynamical models from high-dimensional noisy data. The framework is composed of an encoder that compresses…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-06-28 Nicolò Botteghi , Mengwu Guo , Christoph Brune

This paper introduces several new classes of mathematical structures that have close connections with physics and with the theory of dynamical systems. The most general of these structures, called indivisible stochastic processes,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2026-02-09 Jacob A. Barandes

Stochastic transitions between discrete microscopic states play an important role in many physical and biological systems. Often, these transitions lead to fluctuations on a macroscopic scale. A classic example from neuroscience is the…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2024-02-20 Lukas Ramlow , Benjamin Lindner

Encoding temporal information from the recent past as spatially distributed activations is essential in order for the entire recent past to be simultaneously accessible. Any biological or synthetic agent that relies on the past to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2015-01-05 Karthik H. Shankar

We propose a constructive approach to building temporal point processes that incorporate dependence on their history. The dependence is modeled through the conditional density of the duration, i.e., the interval between successive event…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-31 Xiaotian Zheng , Athanasios Kottas , Bruno Sansó

In this paper, we study the problem of identifying the impulse response of a linear time invariant (LTI) dynamical system from the knowledge of the input signal and a finite set of noisy output observations. We adopt an approach based on…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2015-03-20 Francesco Dinuzzo