Related papers: Methods for estimating the upcrossings index: impr…
Advancements in Intelligent Traffic Systems (ITS) have made huge amounts of traffic data available through automatic data collection. A big part of this data is stored as trajectories of moving vehicles and road users. Automatic analysis of…
In this paper, we analyze the asymptotic behavior of the point process of exceedances in a spatio-temporal setting whose points are given by the rescaled occurrence times, the sites and the rescaled values of exceedances. Here, the…
In the regularly varying time series setting, a cluster of exceedances is a short period for which the supremum norm exceeds a high threshold. We propose to study a generalization of this notion considering short periods, or blocks, with…
We study the counting of level crossings for inertial random processes exposed to stochastic resetting events. We develop the general approach of stochastic resetting for inertial processes with sudden changes in the state characterized by…
The conditional value of a stationary random process, given the level-upcrossing of another dependent stationary random process, is considered. Assuming that both processes are weakly non-Gaussian, an analytical approximation for the…
We discuss on general grounds some local indicators of entanglement, that have been proposed recently for the study and classification of quantum phase transitions. In particular, we focus on the capability of entanglement in detecting…
In a low-order model of the general circulation of the atmosphere we examine the predictability of threshold exceedance events of certain observables. The likelihood of such binary events -- the cornerstone also for the categoric (as…
A key trait of stochastic optimizers is that multiple runs of the same optimizer in attempting to solve the same problem can produce different results. As a result, their performance is evaluated over several repeats, or runs, on the…
Results of extensive computations of moments of the Riemann zeta function on the critical line are presented. Calculated values are compared with predictions motivated by random matrix theory. The results can help in deciding between those…
Peak estimation bounds extreme values of a function of state along trajectories of a dynamical system. This paper focuses on extending peak estimation to continuous and discrete settings with time-independent and time-dependent uncertainty.…
When analysing extreme values, two alternative statistical approaches have historically been held in contention: the block maxima method (or annual maxima method, spurred by hydrological applications) and the peaks-over-threshold. Clamoured…
The multivariate extremal index function relates the asymptotic distribution of the vector of pointwise maxima of a multivariate stationary sequence to that of the independent sequence from the same stationary distribution. It also measures…
This paper studies the critical and near-critical regimes of the planar random-cluster model on $\mathbb Z^2$ with cluster-weight $q\in[1,4]$ using novel coupling techniques. More precisely, we derive the scaling relations between the…
In this paper we consider the estimation problem for high quantiles of a heavy-tailed distribution from block data when only a few largest values are observed within blocks. We propose estimators for high quantiles and prove that these…
A sufficient condition for the uniqueness of multinomial sequential unbiased estimators is provided generalizing a classical result for binomial samples. Unbiased estimators are applied to infer the parameters of multidimensional or…
Detecting anomalies in large sets of observations is crucial in various applications, such as epidemiological studies, gene expression studies, and systems monitoring. We consider settings where the units of interest result in multiple…
The asymptotics of the probability that the self-intersection local time of a random walk on $\Z^d$ exceeds its expectation by a large amount is a fascinating subject because of its relation to some models from Statistical Mechanics, to…
The literature on statistical learning for time series often assumes asymptotic independence or "mixing" of the data-generating process. These mixing assumptions are never tested, nor are there methods for estimating mixing coefficients…
A blocks method is used to define clusters of extreme values in stationary time series. The cluster starts at the first large value in the block and ends at the last one. The block cluster measure (the point measure at clusters) encodes…
The control and risk assessment in complex information systems require to take into account extremes arising from nodes with large node degrees. Various sampling techniques like a Page Rank random walk, a Metropolis-Hastings Markov chain…