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We introduce a new class of estimators for the linear response of steady states of stochastic dynamics. We generalize the likelihood ratio approach and formulate the linear response as a product of two martingales, hence the name…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-12-02 Petr Plechac , Gabriel Stoltz , Ting Wang

In the setting of stochastic Volterra equations, and in particular rough volatility models, we show that conditional expectations are the unique classical solutions to path-dependent PDEs. The latter arise from the functional It\^o formula…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-05-27 Ofelia Bonesini , Antoine Jacquier , Alexandre Pannier

We refine stochastic calculus for symmetric Markov processes without using time reverse operators. Under some conditions on the jump functions of locally square integrable martingale additive functionals, we extend Nakao's divergence-like…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-11-09 Kazuhiro Kuwae

We prove change of variables formulas [It\^o formulas] for functions of both arithmetic and geometric averages of geometric fractional Brownian motion. They are valid for all convex functions, not only for smooth ones. These change of…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-09-02 Heikki Tikanmäki

We identify the linear space spanned by the real-valued excessive functions of a Markov process with the set of those functions which are quasimartingales when we compose them with the process. Applications to semi-Dirichlet forms are…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-09-07 Iulian Cîmpean , Lucian Beznea

Motivated by extending the functional stochastic calculus, to important functionals to which it does not apply, a notion of functional derivative along a curve is introduced. This new setting is developed by incorporating path-dependent…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Christian Houdré , Jorge Víquez

We propose a model selection approach for covariance estimation of a multi-dimensional stochastic process. Under very general assumptions, observing i.i.d replications of the process at fixed observation points, we construct an estimator of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Jérémie Bigot , Rolando Biscay , Jean-Michel Loubes , Lilian Muniz Alvarez

This paper introduces the path derivatives, in the spirit of Dupire's functional It\^o calculus, for the controlled paths in the rough path theory with possibly non-geometric rough paths. The theory allows us to deal with rough integration…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-12-24 Christian Keller , Jianfeng Zhang

The integral representation theorem for martingales has been widely used in probability theory. In this work, we propose and prove a general representation theorem for a class of set-valued submartingales. We also extend the stochastic…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-01-08 Luc Tri Tuyen , Vu Thai Luan

The density hypothesis on random times becomes now a standard in modeling of risks. One of the basic reasons to introduce the density hypothesis is the desire to have a computable credit risk model. However, recent work shows that merely an…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-02-04 Shiqi Song

Instrumental variable methods are often used for parameter estimation in the presence of confounding. They can also be applied in stochastic processes. Instrumental variable analysis exploits moment equations to obtain estimators for causal…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-02-22 Søren Wengel Mogensen

Recently, functional It\=o calculus has been introduced and developed in finite dimension for functionals of continuous semimartingales. With different techniques, we develop a functional It\=o calculus for functionals of Hilbert…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-06-22 Mauro Rosestolato

The paper develops a calculus for a class of real-valued functions having a quadratic variation. The main result is a solution of the representation problem for a class of evolutions having a quadratic variation. The result is applied to…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Rimas Norvaisa

We introduce a variational theory for processes adapted to the multi-dimensional Brownian motion filtration that provides a differential structure allowing to describe infinitesimal evolution of Wiener functionals at very small scales. The…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-01 Dorival Leão , Alberto Ohashi , Alexandre B. Simas

In the present paper, we obtain an explicit product formula for products of multiple integrals w.r.t. a random measure associated with a L\'evy process. As a building block, we use a representation formula for products of martingales from a…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-09-21 Paolo Di Tella , Christel Geiss , Alexander Steinicke

In this work, we establish pathwise functional It\^o formulas for non-smooth functionals of real-valued continuous semimartingales. Under finite $(p,q)$-variation regularity assumptions in the sense of two-dimensional Young integration…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-19 Alberto Ohashi , Evelina Shamarova , Nikolai N. Shamarov

We establish effective mean-value estimates for a wide class of multiplicative arithmetic functions, thereby providing (essentially optimal) quantitative versions of Wirsing's classical estimates and extending those of Hal\'asz. Several…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2025-07-23 Gérald Tenenbaum

An analogue of the Fourier transform will be introduced for all square integrable continuous martingale processes whose quadratic variation is deterministic. Using this transform we will formulate and prove a stochastic Heisenberg…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-02-18 C. Mueller , A. Stan

We introduce a variational theory for processes adapted to the multi-dimensional Brownian motion filtration. The theory provides a differential structure which describes the infinitesimal evolution of Wiener functionals at very small…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-07-13 Alberto Ohashi , Dorival Leão , Alexandre B. Simas

In an M-type 2 Banach space, firstly we explore some properties of the set-valued stochastic integral associated with the stationary Poisson point process. By using the Hahn decomposition theorem and bounded linear functional, we obtain the…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-01-10 Jinping Zhang , Itaru Mitoma , Yoshiaki Okazaki