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Most optimal routing problems focus on minimizing travel time or distance traveled. Oftentimes, a more useful objective is to maximize the probability of on-time arrival, which requires statistical distributions of travel times, rather than…

Travel time estimation is a critical task, useful to many urban applications at the individual citizen and the stakeholder level. This paper presents a novel hybrid algorithm for travel time estimation that leverages historical and sparse…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-01-16 Nikolaos Zygouras , Nikolaos Panagiotou , Yang Li , Dimitrios Gunopulos , Leonidas Guibas

In this paper, we consider the task of predicting travel times between two arbitrary points in an urban scenario. We view this problem from two temporal perspectives: long-term forecasting with a horizon of several days and short-term…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-05-25 He Huang , Martin Pouls , Anne Meyer , Markus Pauly

Estimating temporal patterns in travel times along road segments in urban settings is of central importance to traffic engineers and city planners. In this work, we propose a methodology to leverage coarse-grained and aggregated travel time…

Physics and Society · Physics 2020-01-17 Kelsey Maass , Arun V Sathanur , Arif Khan , Robert Rallo

In recent years, some traffic information prediction methods have been proposed to provide the precise information of travel time, vehicle speed, and traffic flow for highways. However, big errors may be obtained by these methods for urban…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-02 Chi-Hua Chen

In route selection problems, the driver's personal preferences will determine whether she prefers a route with a travel time that has a relatively low mean and high variance over one that has relatively high mean and low variance. In…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-05 Rens Kamphuis , Michel Mandjes , Paulo Serra

Recent statistical methods fitted on large-scale GPS data can provide accurate estimations of the expected travel time between two points. However, little is known about the distribution of travel time, which is key to decision-making…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-03-21 Mohamad Elmasri , Aurelie Labbe , Denis Larocque , Laurent Charlin

Travel time estimation is a fundamental problem in transportation science with extensive literature. The study of these techniques has intensified due to availability of many publicly available large trip datasets. Recently developed deep…

The rapid urbanization and increasing traffic have serious social, economic, and environmental impact on metropolitan areas worldwide. It is of a great importance to understand the complex interplay of road networks and traffic conditions.…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2018-10-31 Weizi Li , Meilei Jiang , Yaoyu Chen , Ming C. Lin

Because of the complexity of urban transportation networks and the temporal changes in traffic conditions, it is difficult to assess real-time traffic situations. However, the development of information terminals has made it easier to…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-06-02 Tatsuro Mukai , Yuichi Ikeda

Modern mobile applications such as navigation services and ride-sharing platforms rely heavily on geospatial technologies, most critically predictions of the time required for a vehicle to traverse a particular route, or the so-called…

Applications · Statistics 2023-12-04 Chiwei Yan , James Johndrow , Dawn Woodard , Yanwei Sun

Motion prediction of surrounding vehicles is one of the most important tasks handled by a self-driving vehicle, and represents a critical step in the autonomous system necessary to ensure safety for all the involved traffic actors. Recently…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-06-16 Sai Yalamanchi , Tzu-Kuo Huang , Galen Clark Haynes , Nemanja Djuric

Travel time prediction is central to transport geography and planning's accessibility analyses, sustainable transportation infrastructure provision, and active transportation interventions. However, calculating accurate travel times,…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-18 Geoff Boeing , Yuquan Zhou

Travel time on a route varies substantially by time of day and from day to day. It is critical to understand to what extent this variation is correlated with various factors, such as weather, incidents, events or travel demand level in the…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-17 Shuguan Yang , Sean Qian

Two-thirds of the people who buy a new car prefer to use a substitute instead of the built-in navigation system. However, for many applications, knowledge about a user's intended destination and route is crucial. For example, suggestions…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-17 Patrick Ebel , Ibrahim Emre Göl , Christoph Lingenfelder , Andreas Vogelsang

Recently, with the advancement of the GPS-enabled cellular technologies, the location-based services (LBS) have gained in popularity. Nowadays, an increasingly larger number of map-based applications enable users to ask a wider variety of…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2017-06-27 Radi Muhammad Reza , Mohammed Eunus Ali , Muhammad Aamir Cheema

Estimating Origin-Destination (OD) travel demand is vital for effective urban planning and traffic management. Developing universally applicable OD estimation methodologies is significantly challenged by the pervasive scarcity of…

Emerging Technologies · Computer Science 2025-07-02 Chao Zhang , Neha Arora , Christopher Bian , Yechen Li , Willa Ng , Andrew Tomkins , Bin Yan , Janny Zhang , Carolina Osorio

This report explores the use of machine learning techniques to accurately predict travel times in city streets and highways using floating car data (location information of user vehicles on a road network). The aim of this report is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2010-12-21 Raffi Sevlian , Ram Rajagopal

Predicting a trip's travel time is essential for route planning and navigation applications. The majority of research is based on international data that does not apply to Pakistan's road conditions. We designed a complete pipeline for…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-05-20 Muhammad Awais Amin , Jawad-Ur-Rehman Chughtai , Waqar Ahmad , Waqas Haider Bangyal , Irfan Ul Haq

Travel time or speed estimation are part of many intelligent transportation applications. Existing estimation approaches rely on either function fitting or aggregation and represent different trade-offs between generalizability and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-04-28 Tobias Skovgaard Jepsen , Christian S. Jensen , Thomas Dyhre Nielsen
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