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Time series prediction is a widespread and well studied problem with applications in many domains (medical, geoscience, network analysis, finance, econometry etc.). In the case of multivariate time series, the key to good performances is to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-02-09 Darko Drakulic , Jean-Marc Andreoli

We propose a method for detecting significant interactions in very large multivariate spatial point patterns. This methodology develops high dimensional data understanding in the point process setting. The method is based on modelling the…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-10-25 Tuomas Rajala , David Murrell , Sofia Olhede

We summarize properties of the spatial sign covariance matrix and especially look at the relationship between its eigenvalues and those of the shape matrix of an elliptical distribution. The explicit relationship known in the bivariate case…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-06-08 Alexander Dürre , Roland Fried , Daniel Vogel

We consider an intersection of past and future property of multivariate stationary processes which is the key to deriving various representation theorems for their linear predictor coefficient matrices. We extend useful spectral…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-26 Akihiko Inoue , Yukio Kasahara , Mohsen Pourahmadi

The second-order, small-scale dependence structure of a stochastic process defined in the space-time domain is key to prediction (or kriging). While great efforts have been dedicated to developing models for cases in which the spatial…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-01 Jun Tang , Dale Zimmerman

We consider situations where data have been collected such that the sampling depends on the outcome of interest and possibly further covariates, as for instance in case-control studies. Graphical models represent assumptions about the…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-01-06 Vanessa Didelez , Svend Kreiner , Niels Keiding

This paper introduces a linear state-space model with time-varying dynamics. The time dependency is obtained by forming the state dynamics matrix as a time-varying linear combination of a set of matrices. The time dependency of the weights…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-10-06 Jaakko Luttinen , Tapani Raiko , Alexander Ilin

In this paper, we propose a Spatial Robust Mixture Regression model to investigate the relationship between a response variable and a set of explanatory variables over the spatial domain, assuming that the relationships may exhibit complex…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-09-30 Wennan Chang , Pengtao Dang , Changlin Wan , Xiaoyu Lu , Yue Fang , Tong Zhao , Yong Zang , Bo Li , Chi Zhang , Sha Cao

Sustainability and resilience of urban systems are multifaceted concepts, requiring information about multiple system attributes to adequately evaluate and characterize. However, despite the scientific consensus on the multivariate nature…

Applications · Statistics 2019-05-16 Renee Obringer , Roshanak Nateghi

Prediction of the future trajectory of a disease is an important challenge for personalized medicine and population health management. However, many complex chronic diseases exhibit large degrees of heterogeneity, and furthermore there is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-08-17 Joseph Futoma , Mark Sendak , C. Blake Cameron , Katherine Heller

We introduce a method for decomposition of trend, cycle and seasonal components in spatio-temporal models and apply it to investigate the existence of climate changes in temperature and rainfall series. The method incorporates critical…

Applications · Statistics 2017-03-21 Marcio Poletti Laurini

Traffic prediction has drawn increasing attention in AI research field due to the increasing availability of large-scale traffic data and its importance in the real world. For example, an accurate taxi demand prediction can assist taxi…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-11-06 Huaxiu Yao , Xianfeng Tang , Hua Wei , Guanjie Zheng , Zhenhui Li

Nowadays, multiscale modelling is recognized as the most suitable way to study biological processes. Indeed, almost every phenomenon in nature exhibits a multiscale behaviour, i.e., it is the outcome of interactions that occur at different…

Formal Languages and Automata Theory · Computer Science 2011-08-18 Federico Buti , Massimo Callisto De Donato , Flavio Corradini , Emanuela Merelli , Luca Tesei

While short-range dependence is widely assumed in the literature for its simplicity, long-range dependence is a feature that has been observed in data from finance, hydrology, geophysics and economics. In this paper, we extend a…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-05-20 Michele Nguyen , Almut E. D. Veraart

Multivariate time series forecasting focuses on predicting future values based on historical context. State-of-the-art sequence-to-sequence models rely on neural attention between timesteps, which allows for temporal learning but fails to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-03-21 Jake Grigsby , Zhe Wang , Nam Nguyen , Yanjun Qi

Species sampling processes have long served as the fundamental framework for modeling random discrete distributions and exchangeable sequences. However, data arising from distinct but related sources require a broader notion of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-03 Beatrice Franzolini , Antonio Lijoi , Igor Prünster , Giovanni Rebaudo

Multi-agent imitation learning aims to train multiple agents to perform tasks from demonstrations by learning a mapping between observations and actions, which is essential for understanding physical, social, and team-play systems. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Hongwei Wang , Lantao Yu , Zhangjie Cao , Stefano Ermon

The most widely used method for finding relationships between several quantities is multiple regression. This however is restricted to a single dependent variable. We present a more general method which allows models to be constructed with…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-09-06 Chris Tofallis

We describe a statistical model to estimate the covariance matrix of matter tracer two-point correlation functions with cosmological simulations. Assuming a fixed number of cosmological simulation runs, we describe how to build a…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2015-06-15 Christopher B. Morrison , Michael D. Schneider

Modeling extreme precipitation and temperature is vital for understanding the impacts of climate change, as hazards like intense rainfall and record-breaking temperatures can result in severe consequences, including floods, droughts, and…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-01-13 Remy MacDonald , Benjamin Seiyon Lee , John Foley , Justin Lee