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Particle Markov Chain Monte Carlo methods are used to carry out inference in non-linear and non-Gaussian state space models, where the posterior density of the states is approximated using particles. Current approaches usually perform…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-30 Eduardo F. Mendes , Christopher K. Carter , David Gunawan , Robert Kohn

ParaMonte::Python (standing for Parallel Monte Carlo in Python) is a serial and MPI-parallelized library of (Markov Chain) Monte Carlo (MCMC) routines for sampling mathematical objective functions, in particular, the posterior distributions…

Mathematical Software · Computer Science 2020-10-05 Amir Shahmoradi , Fatemeh Bagheri , Joshua Alexander Osborne

Probabilistic programming is a powerful abstraction for statistical machine learning. Applying static analysis methods to probabilistic programs could serve to optimize the learning process, automatically verify properties of models, and…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-09-12 Ryan Bernstein

Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) is arguably the dominant statistical inference algorithm used in most popular "first-order differentiable" Probabilistic Programming Languages (PPLs). However, the fact that HMC uses derivative information…

Computation · Statistics 2019-05-31 Bradley Gram-Hansen , Yuan Zhou , Tobias Kohn , Tom Rainforth , Hongseok Yang , Frank Wood

bayesian_pyhf is a Python package that allows for the parallel Bayesian and frequentist evaluation of multi-channel binned statistical models. The Python library pyhf is used to build such models according to the HistFactory framework and…

Computation · Statistics 2023-12-13 Matthew Feickert , Lukas Heinrich , Malin Horstmann

We present pomegranate, an open source machine learning package for probabilistic modeling in Python. Probabilistic modeling encompasses a wide range of methods that explicitly describe uncertainty using probability distributions. Three…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2018-03-01 Jacob Schreiber

Spreadsheet workbook contents are simple programs. Because of this, probabilistic programming techniques can be used to perform Bayesian inversion of spreadsheet computations. What is more, existing execution engines in spreadsheet…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-06-15 Mike Wu , Yura Perov , Frank Wood , Hongseok Yang

Data cleaning is naturally framed as probabilistic inference in a generative model of ground-truth data and likely errors, but the diversity of real-world error patterns and the hardness of inference make Bayesian approaches difficult to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-11-22 Alexander K. Lew , Monica Agrawal , David Sontag , Vikash K. Mansinghka

pocoMC is a Python package for accelerated Bayesian inference in astronomy and cosmology. The code is designed to sample efficiently from posterior distributions with non-trivial geometry, including strong multimodality and non-linearity.…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-13 Minas Karamanis , David Nabergoj , Florian Beutler , John A. Peacock , Uros Seljak

Probabilistic programming makes it easy to represent a probabilistic model as a program. Building an individual model, however, is only one step of probabilistic modeling. The broader challenge of probabilistic modeling is in understanding…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2022-08-15 Ryan Bernstein

Bayesian inference provides a methodology for parameter estimation and uncertainty quantification in machine learning and deep learning methods. Variational inference and Markov Chain Monte-Carlo (MCMC) sampling methods are used to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-08-27 Rohitash Chandra , Joshua Simmons

Probabilistic numerical methods (PNMs) solve numerical problems via probabilistic inference. They have been developed for linear algebra, optimization, integration and differential equation simulation. PNMs naturally incorporate prior…

Probabilistic techniques are central to data analysis, but different approaches can be difficult to apply, combine, and compare. This paper introduces composable generative population models (CGPMs), a computational abstraction that extends…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-08-19 Feras Saad , Vikash Mansinghka

There are many different probabilistic programming languages that are specialized to specific kinds of probabilistic programs. From a usability and scalability perspective, this is undesirable: today, probabilistic programmers are forced…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2025-02-28 Sam Stites , John M. Li , Steven Holtzen

Piecewise-deterministic Markov process (PDMP) samplers constitute a state-of-the-art Markov chain Monte Carlo paradigm in Bayesian computation, with examples including the zig-zag and bouncy particle sampler (bps). Recent work on the…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-10 Andrew Chin , Akihiko Nishimura

High-dimensional state trajectories of state-space models pose challenges for Bayesian inference. Particle Gibbs (PG) methods have been widely used to sample from the posterior of a state space model. Basically, particle Gibbs is a Particle…

Computation · Statistics 2020-08-18 Niharika Gauraha

A major trend in academia and data science is the rapid adoption of Bayesian statistics for data analysis and modeling, leading to the development of probabilistic programming languages (PPL). A PPL provides a framework that allows users to…

Instrumentation and Methods for Astrophysics · Physics 2021-02-15 James. W. Nightingale , Richard G. Hayes , Matthew Griffiths

Probabilistic programming is perfectly suited to reliable and transparent data science, as it allows the user to specify their models in a high-level language without worrying about the complexities of how to fit the models. Static analysis…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Ryan Bernstein , Matthijs Vákár , Jeannette Wing

Probabilistic Programming Languages (PPLs) are a powerful tool in machine learning, allowing highly expressive generative models to be expressed succinctly. They couple complex inference algorithms, implemented by the language, with an…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2020-10-19 Alexander Collins , Vinod Grover

We present new techniques for automatically constructing probabilistic programs for data analysis, interpretation, and prediction. These techniques work with probabilistic domain-specific data modeling languages that capture key properties…

Programming Languages · Computer Science 2019-07-16 Feras A. Saad , Marco F. Cusumano-Towner , Ulrich Schaechtle , Martin C. Rinard , Vikash K. Mansinghka