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Classically, Fisher information is the relevant object in defining optimal experimental designs. However, for models that lack certain regularity, the Fisher information does not exist and, hence, there is no notion of design optimality…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-04 Yi Lin , Ryan Martin , Min Yang

We consider the parameter estimation problem of a probabilistic generative model prescribed using a natural exponential family of distributions. For this problem, the typical maximum likelihood estimator usually overfits under limited…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-13 Viet Anh Nguyen , Xuhui Zhang , Jose Blanchet , Angelos Georghiou

To characterize the Kullback-Leibler divergence and Fisher information in general parametrized hidden Markov models, in this paper, we first show that the log likelihood and its derivatives can be represented as an additive functional of a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-03-15 Cheng-Der Fuh , Chu-Lan Michael Kao , Tianxiao Pang

A high-ranking goal of interdisciplinary modeling approaches in the natural sciences are quantitative prediction of system dynamics and model based optimization. For this purpose, mathematical modeling, numerical simulation and scientific…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Dominik Skanda , Dirk Lebiedz

In this paper, we propose some estimators for the parameters of a statistical model based on Kullback-Leibler divergence of the survival function in continuous setting. We prove that the proposed estimators are subclass of "generalized…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-07-01 Yaser Mehrali , Majid Asadi

Selecting an optimal subset of features or instances under an information theoretic criterion has become an effective preprocessing strategy for reducing data complexity while preserving essential information. This study investigates two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-08-25 Taotao He , Jun Luo , Junkai Zhao

An efficient algorithm for the determination of Bayesian optimal discriminating designs for competing regression models is developed, where the main focus is on models with general distributional assumptions beyond the "classical" case of…

Computation · Statistics 2015-08-04 Holger Dette , Roman Guchenko , Viatcheslav B. Melas

We consider model selection in generalized linear models (GLM) for high-dimensional data and propose a wide class of model selection criteria based on penalized maximum likelihood with a complexity penalty on the model size. We derive a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-03-31 Felix Abramovich , Vadim Grinshtein

Maximum Likelihood Estimators (MLE) has many good properties. For example, the asymptotic variance of MLE solution attains equality of the asymptotic Cram{\'e}r-Rao lower bound (efficiency bound), which is the minimum possible variance for…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-11-05 Song Liu , Takafumi Kanamori , Wittawat Jitkrittum , Yu Chen

Proper scoring rules evaluate the quality of probabilistic predictions, playing an essential role in the pursuit of accurate and well-calibrated models. Every proper score decomposes into two fundamental components -- proper calibration…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-12-15 Teodora Popordanoska , Sebastian G. Gruber , Aleksei Tiulpin , Florian Buettner , Matthew B. Blaschko

The selection of optimal designs for generalized linear mixed models is complicated by the fact that the Fisher information matrix, on which most optimality criteria depend, is computationally expensive to evaluate. Our focus is on the…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-09-22 Timothy W. Waite , David C. Woods

Optimal dimensionality reduction methods are proposed for the Bayesian inference of a Gaussian linear model with additive noise in presence of overabundant data. Three different optimal projections of the observations are proposed based on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-02-13 Loïc Giraldi , Olivier P. Le Maître , Ibrahim Hoteit , Omar M. Knio

Good robust estimators can be tuned to combine a high breakdown point and a specified asymptotic efficiency at a central model. This happens in regression with MM- and tau-estimators among others. However, the finite-sample efficiency of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2013-11-21 Ricardo Maronna , Víctor Yohai

Experimental designs for a generalized linear model (GLM) often depend on the specification of the model, including the link function, the predictors, and unknown parameters, such as the regression coefficients. To deal with uncertainties…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-12 Yiou Li , Lulu Kang , Xinwei Deng

We propose new model selection criteria based on generalized ridge estimators dominating the maximum likelihood estimator under the squared risk and the Kullback-Leibler risk in multivariate linear regression. Our model selection criteria…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-04-08 Yuichi Mori , Taiji Suzuki

We derive independence tests by means of dependence measures thresholding in a semiparametric context. Precisely, estimates of phi-mutual informations, associated to phi-divergences between a joint distribution and the product distribution…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-20 Amor Keziou , Philippe Regnault

In nonlinear regression models the Fisher information depends on the parameters of the model. Consequently, optimal designs maximizing some functional of the information matrix cannot be implemented directly but require some preliminary…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-05 Ina Burghaus , Holger Dette

This paper applies the recently axiomatized Optimum Information Principle (minimize the Kullback-Leibler information subject to all relevant information) to nonparametric density estimation, which provides a theoretical foundation as well…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-28 Alexis Akira Toda

The maximum likelihood method is the best-known method for estimating the probabilities behind the data. However, the conventional method obtains the probability model closest to the empirical distribution, resulting in overfitting. Then…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-10-03 Akihisa Ichiki

In data assimilation, the model may be subject to uncertainties and errors. The weak-constraint data assimilation framework enables incorporating model uncertainty in the dynamics of the governing equations. We propose a new framework for…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-12-23 Alen Alexanderian , Hugo Díaz , Vishwas Rao , Arvind K. Saibaba
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