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Simulation models of critical systems often have parameters that need to be calibrated using observed data. For expensive simulation models, calibration is done using an emulator of the simulation model built on simulation output at…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-08-24 Özge Sürer , Matthew Plumlee , Stefan M. Wild

Within the framework of complex system design, it is often necessary to solve mixed variable optimization problems, in which the objective and constraint functions can depend simultaneously on continuous and discrete variables.…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-03-10 Julien Pelamatti , Loic Brevault , Mathieu Balesdent , El-Ghazali Talbi , Yannick Guerin

Bayesian models often involve a small set of hyperparameters determined by maximizing the marginal likelihood. Bayesian optimization is a popular iterative method where a Gaussian process posterior of the underlying function is sequentially…

Computation · Statistics 2022-08-18 Oskar Gustafsson , Mattias Villani , Pär Stockhammar

Bayesian inverse problems use observed data to update a prior probability distribution for an unknown state or parameter of a scientific system to a posterior distribution conditioned on the data. In many applications, the unknown parameter…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-05-12 Josie König , Elizabeth Qian , Melina A. Freitag

An efficient algorithm is proposed for Bayesian model calibration, which is commonly used to estimate the model parameters of non-linear, computationally expensive models using measurement data. The approach is based on Bayesian statistics:…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2019-11-06 L. M. M. van den Bos , B. Sanderse , W. A. A. M. Bierbooms , G. J. W. van Bussel

From a systems biology perspective the majority of cancer models, although interesting and providing a qualitative explanation of some problems, have a major disadvantage in that they usually miss a genuine connection with experimental…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-05-25 Zuzanna Szymańska , Jakub Skrzeczkowski , Błażej Miasojedow , Piotr Gwiazda

We develop a Bayesian approach for selecting the model which is the most supported by the data within a class of marginal models for categorical variables formulated through equality and/or inequality constraints on generalised logits…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2012-02-21 Francesco Bartolucci , Luisa Scaccia , Alessio Farcomeni

Active policy search combines the trial-and-error methodology from policy search with Bayesian optimization to actively find the optimal policy. First, policy search is a type of reinforcement learning which has become very popular for…

Robotics · Computer Science 2024-02-13 Ruben Martinez-Cantin

Bayesian optimisation (BO) is a standard approach for sample-efficient global optimisation of expensive black-box functions, yet its scalability to high dimensions remains challenging. Here, we investigate nonlinear dimensionality reduction…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-20 Luo Long , Coralia Cartis , Paz Fink Shustin

We consider a class of colored graphical Gaussian models obtained by placing symmetry constraints on the precision matrix in a Bayesian framework. The prior distribution on the precision matrix is the colored $G$-Wishart prior which is the…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-04-03 Qiong Li , Xin Gao , Helene Massam

This paper presents a unified treatment of Gaussian process models that extends to data from the exponential dispersion family and to survival data. Our specific interest is in the analysis of data sets with predictors that have an a priori…

Methodology · Statistics 2011-06-17 Terrance Savitsky , Marina Vannucci , Naijun Sha

Many papers on high-dimensional statistics have proposed methods for variable selection and inference in linear regression models by relying explicitly or implicitly on the assumption that all regressors are exogenous. However, applications…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-01-11 Gautam Sabnis , Yves Atchadé , Prosper Dovonon

Bayesian hierarchical models have been demonstrated to provide efficient algorithms for finding sparse solutions to ill-posed inverse problems. The models comprise typically a conditionally Gaussian prior model for the unknown, augmented by…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2023-03-31 Daniela Calvetti , Erkki Somersalo

Bayesian methods are a popular choice for statistical inference in small-data regimes due to the regularization effect induced by the prior. In the context of density estimation, the standard nonparametric Bayesian approach is to target the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2023-02-21 Sahra Ghalebikesabi , Chris Holmes , Edwin Fong , Brieuc Lehmann

Bayesian model selection methods provide a self-consistent probabilistic framework to test the validity of competing scenarios given a set of data. We present a case study application to strong gravitational lens parametric models. Our goal…

Cosmology and Nongalactic Astrophysics · Physics 2013-04-22 Irène Balmès , Pier-Stefano Corasaniti

Purpose: Machine learning is broadly used for clinical data analysis. Before training a model, a machine learning algorithm must be selected. Also, the values of one or more model parameters termed hyper-parameters must be set. Selecting…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-12-10 Xueqiang Zeng , Gang Luo

Augmenting a smooth cost function with an $\ell_1$ penalty allows analysts to efficiently conduct estimation and variable selection simultaneously in sophisticated models and can be efficiently implemented using proximal gradient methods.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-12-10 Nathan Wycoff , Lisa O. Singh , Ali Arab , Katharine M. Donato

We propose an iterative variable selection method for the accelerated failure time model using high-dimensional survival data. Our method pioneers the use of the recently proposed structured screen-and-select framework for survival…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-03-04 Nilotpal Sanyal

This work introduces a Bayesian methodology for fitting large discrete graphical models with spike-and-slab priors to encode sparsity. We consider a quasi-likelihood approach that enables node-wise parallel computation resulting in reduced…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-21 Anwesha Bhattacharyya , Yves Atchade

In this article, we propose new Bayesian methods for selecting and estimating a sparse coefficient vector for skewed heteroscedastic response. Our novel Bayesian procedures effectively estimate the median and other quantile functions,…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-04 Libo Wang , Yuanyuan Tang , Debajyoti Sinha , Debdeep Pati , Stuart Lipsitz
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