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Related papers: Inference in Ising Models

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We describe how the couplings in an asynchronous kinetic Ising model can be inferred. We consider two cases, one in which we know both the spin history and the update times and one in which we only know the spin history. For the first case,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-06-11 Hong-Li Zeng , Mikko Alava , Erik Aurell , John Hertz , Yasser Roudi

In this paper, we consider the Ising model on random $d$-regular graphs (with $d\ge3$) and Erd\"os-R\'enyi graphs $G(n,d/n)$ (with $d>1$) at the critical temperature. We prove that the \textit{magnetization}, i.e.\ the sum of the spins of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-31 Kyprianos-Iason Prodromidis , Allan Sly

We consider 1-dimensional location estimation, where we estimate a parameter $\lambda$ from $n$ samples $\lambda + \eta_i$, with each $\eta_i$ drawn i.i.d. from a known distribution $f$. For fixed $f$ the maximum-likelihood estimate (MLE)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-07-20 Shivam Gupta , Jasper C. H. Lee , Eric Price , Paul Valiant

Using a field-theoretical representation of the Tanaka-Edwards integral we develop a method to systematically compute the number N_s of 1-spin-stable states (local energy minima) of a glassy Ising system with nearest-neighbor interactions…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2009-11-13 B. Waclaw , Z. Burda

We suggest an iterative approach to computing K-step maximum likelihood estimates (MLE) of the parametric components in semiparametric models based on their profile likelihoods. The higher order convergence rate of K-step MLE mainly depends…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-23 Guang Cheng

The scaling of fluctuations in the distribution of ground-state energies or costs with the system size N for Ising spin glasses is considered using an extensive set of simulations with the Extremal Optimization heuristic across a range of…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-05-20 Stefan Boettcher

We consider generalized quantum Ising models, including those which could describe disordered materials or quantum annealers, and we prove that for all temperatures above a system-size independent threshold the path integral Monte Carlo…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-07-16 Elizabeth Crosson , Samuel Slezak

The Wigner spiked model in a mismatched setting is studied with the finite temperature Statistical Mechanics approach through its representation as a Sherrington-Kirkpatrick model with added Mattis interaction. The exact solution of the…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-04-20 Francesco Camilli , Pierluigi Contucci , Emanuele Mingione

The Rasch model has been widely used to analyse item response data in psychometrics and educational assessments. When the number of individuals and items are large, it may be impractical to provide all possible responses. It is desirable to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-01-15 Pai Peng , Lianqiang Qu , Qiuping Wang , Shufang Wang , Ting Yan

The aim of this note is to state a couple of general results about the properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators (pMLE) and of the posterior distribution for parametric models in a non-asymptotic setup and for possibly large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

We study the maximum smoothed likelihood estimator (MSLE) for interval censoring, case 2, in the so-called separated case. Characterizations in terms of convex duality conditions are given and strong consistency is proved. Moreover, we show…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-10-16 Piet Groeneboom

In this Letter we propose a new method to infer the topology of the interaction network in pairwise models with Ising variables. By using the pseudolikelihood method (PLM) at high temperature, it is generally possible to distinguish between…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2014-02-25 Aurélien Decelle , Federico Ricci-Tersenghi

This paper deals with nonparametric maximum likelihood estimation for Gaussian locally stationary processes. Our nonparametric MLE is constructed by minimizing a frequency domain likelihood over a class of functions. The asymptotic behavior…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-11-10 Rainer Dahlhaus , Wolfgang Polonik

We study maximum likelihood estimation for the statistical model for undirected random graphs, known as the $\beta$-model, in which the degree sequences are minimal sufficient statistics. We derive necessary and sufficient conditions, based…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2013-06-19 Alessandro Rinaldo , Sonja Petrović , Stephen E. Fienberg

We propose the misclassified Ising Model; a framework for analyzing dependent binary data where the binary state is susceptible to error. We extend the theoretical results of the model selection method presented in Ravikumar et. al. (2010)…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-04-21 David G. Sinclair , Giles Hooker

We consider the estimation of the affine parameter (and power-law exponent) in the preferential attachment model with random initial degrees. We derive the likelihood, and show that the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) is asymptotically…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-03-09 Fengnan Gao , Aad van der Vaart

We consider two connected aspects of maximum likelihood estimation of the parameter for high-dimensional discrete graphical models: the existence of the maximum likelihood estimate (mle) and its computation. When the data is sparse, there…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-04-22 Helene Massam , Nanwei Wang

This paper develops a unified estimation framework, the Maximum Ideal Likelihood Estimation (MILE), for general parametric models with latent variables. Unlike traditional approaches relying on the marginal likelihood of the observed data,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-08 Yizhou Cai , Ting Fung Ma

We perform equilibrium parallel-tempering simulations of the 3D Ising Edwards-Anderson spin glass in a field. A traditional analysis shows no signs of a phase transition. Yet, we encounter dramatic fluctuations in the behaviour of the…

Lagrangian particle tracking is essential for characterizing turbulent flows, but inferring particle acceleration from inherently noisy position data remains a significant challenge. Fluid particles in turbulence experience extreme,…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2026-02-27 Griffin M Kearney , Kasey M Laurent , Makan Fardad
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