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Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are established tools to model physical phenomena whose dynamics are affected by random noise. By estimating parameters of an SDE intrinsic randomness of a system around its drift can be identified…

Computation · Statistics 2012-05-03 Umberto Picchini , Susanne Ditlevsen

Models defined by stochastic differential equations (SDEs) allow for the representation of random variability in dynamical systems. The relevance of this class of models is growing in many applied research areas and is already a standard…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-08-06 Umberto Picchini

Stochastic differential equation mixed-effects models (SDEMEMs) are flexible hierarchical models that are able to account for random variability inherent in the underlying time-dynamics, as well as the variability between experimental units…

Computation · Statistics 2021-01-22 Samuel Wiqvist , Andrew Golightly , Ashleigh T. McLean , Umberto Picchini

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are popular tools to analyse time series data in many areas, such as mathematical finance, physics, and biology. They provide a mechanistic description of the phenomeon of interest, and their…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-02-01 Théo Michelot , Richard Glennie , Catriona Harris , Len Thomas

In this article, we introduce a system of stochastic differential equations (SDEs) consisting of time-dependent covariates and consider both fixed and random effects set-ups. We also allow the functional part associated with the drift…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-10-16 Trisha Maitra , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) describe dynamical systems where deterministic flows, governed by a drift function, are superimposed with random fluctuations, dictated by a diffusion function. The accurate estimation (or discovery)…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-22 Patrick Seifner , Kostadin Cvejoski , David Berghaus , Cesar Ojeda , Ramses J. Sanchez

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are of utmost importance in various scientific and industrial areas. They are the natural description of dynamical processes whose precise equations of motion are either not known or too expensive to…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-11-08 Philipp Frank , Theo Steininger , Torsten A. Enßlin

A systematic Bayesian framework is developed for physics constrained parameter inference ofstochastic differential equations (SDE) from partial observations. The physical constraints arederived for stochastic climate models but are…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-11-25 Daniel Peavoy , Christian L. E. Franzke , Gareth O. Roberts

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) provide a flexible framework for modeling temporal dynamics in partially observed systems. A central task is to calibrate such models from data, which requires inferring latent trajectories and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-08 Yu Wang , Arnab Ganguly

We propose a novel framework for adaptively learning the time-evolving solutions of stochastic partial differential equations (SPDEs) using score-based diffusion models within a recursive Bayesian inference setting. SPDEs play a central…

Computation · Statistics 2025-08-12 Toan Huynh , Ruth Lopez Fajardo , Guannan Zhang , Lili Ju , Feng Bao

The analysis of data from multiple experiments, such as observations of several individuals, is commonly approached using mixed-effects models, which account for variation between individuals through hierarchical representations. This makes…

Computation · Statistics 2026-03-05 Henrik Häggström , Sebastian Persson , Marija Cvijovic , Umberto Picchini

Clinical time series data from electronic health records and medical registries offer unprecedented opportunities to understand patient trajectories and inform medical decision-making. However, leveraging such data presents significant…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-21 Muhammad Aslanimoghanloo , Ahmed ElGazzar , Marcel van Gerven

This article develops a stochastic differential equation (SDE) for modeling the temporal evolution of queue length dynamics at signalized intersections. Inspired by the observed quasiperiodic and self-similar characteristics of the queue…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-18 Shakib Mustavee , Shaurya Agarwal , Arvind Singh

Non-uniform sampling arises when an experimenter does not have full control over the sampling characteristics of the process under investigation. Moreover, it is introduced intentionally in algorithms such as Bayesian optimization and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-07-03 Stijn de Waele

Stochastic differential equations (SDEs) are a ubiquitous modeling framework that finds applications in physics, biology, engineering, social science, and finance. Due to the availability of large-scale data sets, there is growing interest…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-03-04 Ziheng Guo , James Greene , Ming Zhong

Parameter inference for stochastic differential equation mixed effects models (SDEMEMs) is a challenging problem. Analytical solutions for these models are rarely available, which means that the likelihood is also intractable. In this case,…

Computation · Statistics 2019-09-30 Imke Botha , Robert Kohn , Christopher Drovandi

Although the governing equations of many systems, when derived from first principles, may be viewed as known, it is often too expensive to numerically simulate all the interactions they describe. Therefore researchers often seek simpler…

Computation · Statistics 2021-05-03 Tapio Schneider , Andrew M. Stuart , Jin-Long Wu

This paper introduces a new approach to generating sample paths of unknown Markovian stochastic differential equations (SDEs) using diffusion models, a class of generative AI methods commonly employed in image and video applications. Unlike…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2026-03-17 Xuefeng Gao , Jiale Zha , Xun Yu Zhou

We develop a novel approach towards causal inference. Rather than structural equations over a causal graph, we learn stochastic differential equations (SDEs) whose stationary densities model a system's behavior under interventions. These…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-03-19 Lars Lorch , Andreas Krause , Bernhard Schölkopf

I propose a novel framework that integrates stochastic differential equations (SDEs) with deep generative models to improve uncertainty quantification in machine learning applications involving structured and temporal data. This approach,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-01-09 James Rice
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