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A Bayesian method of moments/instrumental variable (BMOM/IV) approach is developed and applied in the analysis of the important mean and multiple regression models. Given a single set of data, it is shown how to obtain posterior and…

bayes-an · Physics 2008-02-03 Arnold Zellner

A nonparametric method to predict non-Markovian time series of partially observed dynamics is developed. The prediction problem we consider is a supervised learning task of finding a regression function that takes a delay embedded…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-01-14 Faheem Gilani , Dimitrios Giannakis , John Harlim

We prove an invariance principle for Brownian motion in Gaussian or Poissonian random scenery by the method of characteristic functions. Annealed asymptotic limits are derived in all dimensions, with a focus on the case of dimension $d=2$,…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-03 Yu Gu , Guillaume Bal

We propose a new estimator for nonparametric binary choice models that does not impose a parametric structure on either the systematic function of covariates or the distribution of the error term. A key advantage of our approach is its…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-01-13 Guo Yan

This paper proposes a new formulation of functional Gaussian Process regression in manifolds, based on an Empirical Bayes approach, in the spatiotemporal random field context. We apply the machinery of tight Gaussian measures in separable…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 MD Ruiz-Medina , AE Madrid , A Torres-Signes , JM Angulo

Distribution regression has recently attracted much interest as a generic solution to the problem of supervised learning where labels are available at the group level, rather than at the individual level. Current approaches, however, do not…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-01-18 Ho Chung Leon Law , Danica J. Sutherland , Dino Sejdinovic , Seth Flaxman

We consider nonparametric prediction with multiple covariates, in particular categorical or functional predictors, or a mixture of both. The method proposed bases on an extension of the Nadaraya-Watson estimator where a kernel function is…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-05 Leonie Selk , Jan Gertheiss

In the context of time-subordinated Brownian motion models, Fourier theory and methodology are proposed to modelling the stochastic distribution of time increments. Gaussian Variance-Mean mixtures and time-subordinated models are reviewed…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-10-21 Rohan Shenoy , Peter Kempthorne

We investigate an empirical Bayesian nonparametric approach to a family of linear inverse problems with Gaussian prior and Gaussian noise. We consider a class of Gaussian prior probability measures with covariance operator indexed by a…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-02-23 Junxiong Jia , Jigen Peng , Jinghuai Gao

We consider fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameters from (1/2,1). We found that the increment of a fractional Brownian motion can be represented as the sum of a two independent Gaussian processes one of which is smooth in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Nikolai Dokuchaev

To adopt neural networks in safety critical domains, knowing whether we can trust their predictions is crucial. Bayesian neural networks (BNNs) provide uncertainty estimates by averaging predictions with respect to the posterior weight…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-17 Jannik Schmitt , Stefan Roth

In this paper, we consider a partial deconvolution kernel estimator for nonparametric regression when some covariates are measured with error while others are observed without error. We focus on a general and realistic setting in which the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-29 Baba Thiam

This study introduces a debiasing method for regression estimators, including high-dimensional and nonparametric regression estimators. For example, nonparametric regression methods allow for the estimation of regression functions in a…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-11-27 Masahiro Kato

In this article, using kernel convolution of order based dependent Dirichlet process (Griffin and Steel (2006)) we construct a nonstationary, nonseparable, nonparametric space-time process, which, as we show, satisfies desirable properties,…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-05-04 Moumita Das , Sourabh Bhattacharya

Regression-based optimal fingerprinting techniques for climate change detection and attribution require the estimation of the forced signal as well as the internal variability covariance matrix in order to distinguish between their…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-08-08 Samuel Baugh , Karen McKinnon

An innovative extension of Geometric Brownian Motion model is developed by incorporating a weighting factor and a stochastic function modelled as a mixture of power and trigonometric functions. Simulations based on this Modified Brownian…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2015-07-09 Gurjeet Dhesi , Muhammad Bilal Shakeel , Ling Xiao

Gaussian processes that can be decomposed into a smooth mean function and a stationary autocorrelated noise process are considered and a fully automatic nonparametric method to simultaneous estimation of mean and auto-covariance functions…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-08-19 Tatyana Krivobokova , Paulo Serra , Francisco Rosales , Karolina Klockmann

Bayesian methods have been very successful in quantifying uncertainty in physics-based problems in parameter estimation and prediction. In these cases, physical measurements y are modeled as the best fit of a physics-based model…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2015-02-06 Dave Higdon , Jordan D. McDonnell , Nicolas Schunck , Jason Sarich , Stefan M. Wild

This paper develops a method to construct uniform confidence bands for a nonparametric regression function where a predictor variable is subject to a measurement error. We allow for the distribution of the measurement error to be unknown,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-17 Kengo Kato , Yuya Sasaki

The declining response rates in probability surveys along with the widespread availability of unstructured data has led to growing research into non-probability samples. Existing robust approaches are not well-developed for non-Gaussian…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-03-29 Ali Rafei , Michael R. Elliott , Carol A. C. Flannagan
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