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In the following we revisit the frequency interpretation of probability of Richard von Mises, in order to bring the essential implicit notions in focus. Following von Mises, we argue that probability can only be defined for events that can…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-11-30 Louis Vervoort

This paper studies a new and more general axiomatization than one presented previously for preference on likelihood gambles. Likelihood gambles describe actions in a situation where a decision maker knows multiple probabilistic models and a…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Phan H. Giang

One of quantum theory's salient features is its apparent indeterminism, i.e. measurement outcomes are typically probabilistic. We formally define and address whether this uncertainty is unavoidable or whether post-quantum theories can offer…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-11-15 Johannes Fankhauser

While probability theory is normally applied to external environments, there has been some recent interest in probabilistic modeling of the outputs of computations that are too expensive to run. Since mathematical logic is a powerful tool…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2016-10-10 Scott Garrabrant , Benya Fallenstein , Abram Demski , Nate Soares

There has not been an established mathematical measure of evidence. Some Bayesians have argued that probability can be an objectively correct measure of ``rational degrees of belief,'' which we do not distinguish from evidence. However,…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-09-10 Christopher D. Fiorillo , Min Sheo Choi , Jaime Gomez-Ramirez

In this article we demonstrate how algorithmic probability theory is applied to situations that involve uncertainty. When people are unsure of their model of reality, then the outcome they observe will cause them to update their beliefs. We…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-05-26 Phil Maguire , Philippe Moser , Rebecca Maguire , Mark Keane

In this paper we formulate the problem of inference under incomplete information in very general terms. This includes modelling the process responsible for the incompleteness, which we call the incompleteness process. We allow the process…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2014-01-16 Marco Zaffalon , Enrique Miranda

Fuzziness and randomicity widespread exist in natural science, engineering, technology and social science. The purpose of this paper is to present a new logic - uncertain propositional logic which can deal with both fuzziness by taking…

Logic · Mathematics 2015-06-11 Maokang Luo , Wei He

The quantum theory of decoherence plays an important role in a pragmatist interpretation of quantum theory. It governs the descriptive content of claims about values of physical magnitudes and offers advice on when to use quantum…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2012-07-30 Richard Healey

This paper presents an advance in the direction of working with probabilities in a paracomplete setting using Logics of Formal Undeterminedness (LFUs). The undeterminedness is interpreted here as missing evidence. A theorem of total…

Logic · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Sankha S. Basu , Esha Jain

These lectures deal with the problem of inductive inference, that is, the problem of reasoning under conditions of incomplete information. Is there a general method for handling uncertainty? Or, at least, are there rules that could in…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2016-09-08 Ariel Caticha

An example shows that weak decoherence is more restrictive than the minimal logical decoherence structure that allows probabilities to be used consistently for quantum histories. The probabilities in the sum rules that define minimal…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2010-10-11 Thomas F. Jordan , Eric D. Chisolm

Kolmogorov's first axiom of probability is probability takes values between 0 and 1; however, in Cox's derivation of probability having a maximum value of unity is arbitrary since he derives probability as a tool to rank degrees of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-12-05 Kevin Vanslette

Probabilities may be subjective or objective; we are concerned with both kinds of probability, and the relationship between them. The fundamental theory of objective probability is quantum mechanics: it is argued that neither Bohr's…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2015-06-26 Simon Saunders

In R.D. Sorkin's framework for logic in physics a clear separation is made between the collection of unasserted propositions about the physical world and the affirmation or denial of these propositions by the physical world. The unasserted…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2018-02-16 Kate Clements , Fay Dowker , Petros Wallden

We present a comparative study between classical probability and quantum probability from the Bayesian viewpoint, where probability is construed as our rational degree of belief on whether a given statement is true. From this viewpoint,…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2025-05-05 Tsubasa Ichikawa

Simple representations of documents based on the occurrences of terms are ubiquitous in areas like Information Retrieval, and also frequent in Natural Language Processing. In this work we propose a logical-probabilistic approach to the…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2011-06-03 Alvaro Francisco Huertas-Rosero , C. J. van Rijsbergen

The law of likelihood underlies a general framework, known as the likelihood paradigm, for representing and interpreting statistical evidence. As stated, the law applies only to simple hypotheses, and there have been reservations about…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2009-01-06 Zhiwei Zhang

In [12], Nilsson proposed the probabilistic logic in which the truth values of logical propositions are probability values between 0 and 1. It is applicable to any logical system for which the consistency of a finite set of propositions can…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-04-12 Su-shing Chen

The stability rule for belief, advocated by Leitgeb [Annals of Pure and Applied Logic 164, 2013], is a rule for rational acceptance that captures categorical belief in terms of $\textit{probabilistically stable propositions}$: propositions…

Logic in Computer Science · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Krzysztof Mierzewski
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