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This paper introduces a flexible time-varying network vector autoregressive model framework for large-scale time series. A latent group structure is imposed on the heterogeneous and node-specific time-varying momentum and network spillover…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-03-12 Degui Li , Bin Peng , Songqiao Tang , Weibiao Wu

We use a Monte Carlo bond-switching method to study systematically the thermodynamic properties of a "continuous random network" model, the canonical model for such amorphous systems as a-Si and a-SiO$_2$. Simulations show first-order…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 Yuhai Tu , J. Tersoff , G. Grinstein , David Vanderbilt

We present a novel adaptive online learning (AOL) framework to predict human movement trajectories in dynamic video scenes. Our framework learns and adapts to changes in the scene environment and generates best network weights for different…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2020-08-31 Manh Huynh , Gita Alaghband

We research adaptive maximum likelihood-type estimation for an ergodic diffusion process where the observation is contaminated by noise. This methodology leads to the asymptotic independence of the estimators for the variance of observation…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-12-05 Shogo H. Nakakita , Masayuki Uchida

We study the estimation of a stable Cox-Ingersoll-Ross model, which is a special subcritical continuous-state branching process with immigration. The process is characterized in terms of some stochastic equations. The exponential ergodicity…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-16 Zenghu Li , Chunhua Ma

Steerable networks, which process data with intrinsic symmetries, often use Fourier-based nonlinearities that require sampling from the entire group, leading to a need for discretization in continuous groups. As the number of samples…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-09-16 Berfin Inal , Gabriele Cesa

Accurate time series forecasting is critical for a wide range of problems with temporal data. Ensemble modeling is a well-established technique for leveraging multiple predictive models to increase accuracy and robustness, as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-11 Dimitris Bertsimas , Leonard Boussioux

Objective: This paper investigates the potential of ensemble learning for variants of adjustment methods used in analogy-based effort estimation. The number k of analogies to be used is also investigated. Method We perform a large scale…

Software Engineering · Computer Science 2017-03-20 Mohammad Azzeh , Ali Bou Nassif , Leandro L Minku

We demonstrate the modelling of opportunistic networks using the process algebra stochastic HYPE. Network traffic is modelled as continuous flows, contact between nodes in the network is modelled stochastically, and instantaneous decisions…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2012-07-05 Luca Bortolussi , Vashti Galpin , Jane Hillston

We present a simple model that enables us to analytically characterize a floppy to rigid transition and an associated self-adaptive intermediate phase in a random bond network. In this intermediate phase, the network adapts itself to lower…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 J. Barre' , A. R. Bishop , T. Lookman , A. Saxena

New methods for time-to-event prediction are proposed by extending the Cox proportional hazards model with neural networks. Building on methodology from nested case-control studies, we propose a loss function that scales well to large data…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-16 Håvard Kvamme , Ørnulf Borgan , Ida Scheel

Far beyond its relevance for commercial and political marketings, opinion formation and decision making processes are central for representative democracy, government functioning, and state organization. In the present report, a stochastic…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-10-11 Hugo P. Maia , Silvio C. Ferreira , Marcelo L. Martins

Structure learning in random fields has attracted considerable attention due to its difficulty and importance in areas such as remote sensing, computational biology, natural language processing, protein networks, and social network…

Other Statistics · Statistics 2011-11-03 Mihai Cucuringu , Jesus Puente , David Shue

The coefficient of normal restitution (COR) in an oblique impact is theoretically studied. Using a two-dimensional lattice models for an elastic disk and an elastic wall, we investigate the dependency of COR on an incident angle and…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-10 Hiroto Kuninaka , Hisao Hayakawa

We introduce a pliable lasso method for estimation of interaction effects in the Cox proportional hazards model framework. The pliable lasso is a linear model that includes interactions between covariates X and a set of modifying variables…

Applications · Statistics 2018-07-19 Wenfei Du , Rob Tibshirani

High fidelity behavior prediction of intelligent agents is critical in many applications. However, the prediction model trained on the training set may not generalize to the testing set due to domain shift and time variance. The challenge…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-04-29 Abulikemu Abuduweili , Changliu Liu

Exponential random graph models (ERGMs) are very flexible for modeling network formation but pose difficult estimation challenges due to their intractable normalizing constant. Existing methods, such as MCMC-MLE, rely on sequential…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-02-05 Angelo Mele

From an optimizer's perspective, achieving the global optimum for a general nonconvex problem is often provably NP-hard using the classical worst-case analysis. In the case of Cox's proportional hazards model, by taking its statistical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2021-07-07 Jianqing Fan , Wenyan Gong , Qiang Sun

Latent position models are widely used for the analysis of networks in a variety of research fields. In fact, these models possess a number of desirable theoretical properties, and are particularly easy to interpret. However, statistical…

Computation · Statistics 2023-03-08 Riccardo Rastelli , Florian Maire , Nial Friel

Recommendation systems represent an important tool for news distribution on the Internet. In this work we modify a recently proposed social recommendation model in order to deal with no explicit ratings of users on news. The model consists…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-05-27 Dong Wei , Tao Zhou , Giulio Cimini , Pei Wu , Weiping Liu , Yi-Cheng Zhang
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