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The proposed stochastic model for pedestrian dynamics is based on existing approaches using cellular automata, combined with substantial extensions, to compensate the deficiencies resulting of the discrete grid structure. This agent motion…

Physics and Society · Physics 2021-04-01 Michael Schultz

Latent variable models have been playing a central role in psychometrics and related fields. In many modern applications, the inference based on latent variable models involves one or several of the following features: (1) the presence of…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-01-08 Siliang Zhang , Yunxiao Chen

We consider the following learning problem: Given sample pairs of input and output signals generated by an unknown nonlinear system (which is not assumed to be causal or time-invariant), we wish to find a continuous-time recurrent neural…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-11-18 Joshua Hanson , Maxim Raginsky , Eduardo Sontag

Temporal networks allow representing connections between objects while incorporating the temporal dimension. While static network models can capture unchanging topological regularities, they often fail to model the effects associated with…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-11 Mathilde Perez , Raphaël Romero , Bo Kang , Tijl De Bie , Jefrey Lijffijt , Charlotte Laclau

This paper describes recent development and test implementation of a continuous time recurrent neural network that has been configured to predict rates of change in securities. It presents outcomes in the context of popular technical…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-06-05 Christopher S Kirk

We present novel analytical results about ecosystem species diversity that stem from a proposed coarse grained neutral model based on birth-death processes. The relevance of the problem lies in the urgency for understanding and synthesizing…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2015-06-05 Samir Suweis , Andrea Rinaldo , Amos Maritan

Motivated by the celebrated discrete-time model of nervous activity outlined by McCulloch and Pitts in 1943, we propose a novel continuous-time model, the McCulloch-Pitts network (MPN), for sequence learning in spiking neural networks. Our…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2022-01-28 Zuozhu Liu , Thiparat Chotibut , Christopher Hillar , Shaowei Lin

A central task in many applications is reasoning about processes that change in a continuous time. The mathematical framework of Continuous Time Markov Processes provides the basic foundations for modeling such systems. Recently, Nodelman…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2012-07-02 Tal El-Hay , Nir Friedman , Daphne Koller , Raz Kupferman

Temporal networks are essential for modeling and understanding systems whose behavior varies in time, from social interactions to biological systems. Often, however, real-world data are prohibitively expensive to collect in a large scale or…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-08-23 Antonio Longa , Giulia Cencetti , Sune Lehmann , Andrea Passerini , Bruno Lepri

In this paper, the prediction capabilities of recurrent neural networks are assessed in the low-order model of near-wall turbulence by Moehlis {\it et al.} (New J. Phys. {\bf 6}, 56, 2004). Our results show that it is possible to obtain…

In this paper, we propose a chance constrained stochastic model predictive control scheme for reference tracking of distributed linear time-invariant systems with additive stochastic uncertainty. The chance constraints are reformulated…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-03-07 Christoph Mark , Steven Liu

Latent stochastic block models are flexible statistical models that are widely used in social network analysis. In recent years, efforts have been made to extend these models to temporal dynamic networks, whereby the connections between…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-23 Riccardo Rastelli , Pierre Latouche , Nial Friel

Although static networks have been extensively studied in machine learning, data mining, and AI communities for many decades, the study of dynamic networks has recently taken center stage due to the prominence of social media and its…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2020-12-21 Tony Gracious , Shubham Gupta , Arun Kanthali , Rui M. Castro , Ambedkar Dukkipati

Ever since the last two decades of the past century pioneering studies in the field of statistical physics had focused their efforts on developing models of neural networks that could display memory storage and retrieval. Though many…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2023-05-16 Enrico Ventura

Time-discrete dynamical systems on a finite state space have been used with great success to model natural and engineered systems such as biological networks, social networks, and engineered control systems. They have the advantage of being…

Combinatorics · Mathematics 2015-03-17 Alan Veliz-Cuba , Reinhard Laubenbacher

Recent innovations in diffusion probabilistic models have paved the way for significant progress in image, text and audio generation, leading to their applications in generative time series forecasting. However, leveraging such abilities to…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-11-07 Yuansan Liu , Sudanthi Wijewickrema , Dongting Hu , Christofer Bester , Stephen O'Leary , James Bailey

A pervasive challenge in neuroscience is testing whether neuronal connectivity changes over time due to specific causes, such as stimuli, events, or clinical interventions. Recent hardware innovations and falling data storage costs enable…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2024-01-05 Johan Medrano , Karl J. Friston , Peter Zeidman

Significant efforts have gone into the development of statistical models for analyzing data in the form of networks, such as social networks. Most existing work has focused on modeling static networks, which represent either a single time…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2013-04-23 Kevin S. Xu , Alfred O. Hero

General results from statistical learning theory suggest to understand not only brain computations, but also brain plasticity as probabilistic inference. But a model for that has been missing. We propose that inherently stochastic features…

Neural and Evolutionary Computing · Computer Science 2016-02-17 David Kappel , Stefan Habenschuss , Robert Legenstein , Wolfgang Maass

Linear dynamical systems are canonical models for learning-based control of plants with uncertain dynamics. The setting consists of a stochastic differential equation that captures the state evolution of the plant understudy, while the true…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-01-03 Mohamad Kazem Shirani Faradonbeh , Mohamad Sadegh Shirani Faradonbeh