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Stable and efficient food markets are crucial for global food security, yet international staple food markets are increasingly exposed to complex risks, including intensified risk contagion and escalating external uncertainties. This paper…

Econometrics · Economics 2025-01-28 Yun-Shi Dai , Peng-Fei Dai , Stéphane Goutte , Duc Khuong Nguyen , Wei-Xing Zhou

In the age of globalization, it is natural that the stock market of each country is not independent form the other markets. In this case, collective behavior could be emerged form their dependency together. This article studies the…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2017-03-28 M. Saeedian , T. Jamali , M. Z. Kamali , H. Bayani , T. Yasseri , G. R. Jafari

Decisions taken in our everyday lives are based on a wide variety of information so it is generally very difficult to assess what are the strategies that guide us. Stock market therefore provides a rich environment to study how people take…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-28 Mario Gutiérrez-Roig , Carlota Segura , Jordi Duch , Josep Perelló

We investigate scaling and memory effects in return intervals between price volatilities above a certain threshold $q$ for the Japanese stock market using daily and intraday data sets. We find that the distribution of return intervals can…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-11-13 Woo-Sung Jung , Fengzhong Wang , Shlomo Havlin , Taisei Kaizoji , Hie-Tae Moon , H. Eugene Stanley

While market is a social field where information flows over the interacting agents, there have been not so many methods to observe the spreading information in the prices comprising the market. By incorporating the entropy transfer in…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2015-10-19 Hokky Situngkir

Using new annual data of 16 developed countries across bond, equity, and housing markets, I study the return predictability using the payout-price ratios, i.e., coupon price, dividend price, and rent price. None of the 48 country-asset…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-09-02 Yang Bai

Volatility clustering and spillovers are key features of real-world financial time series when there are a lot of cross-sectional financial assets. While network analysis helps connect stocks that are 'similar' or 'correlated', which is…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-22 Peiyi Zhou

We describe a new framework for causal inference and its application to return time series. In this system, causal relationships are represented as logical formulas, allowing us to test arbitrarily complex hypotheses in a computationally…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-06-14 Samantha Kleinberg , Petter N. Kolm , Bud Mishra

We study the time dependent cross correlations of stock returns, i.e. we measure the correlation as the function of the time shift between pairs of stock return time series using tick-by-tick data. We find a weak but significant effect…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-11-07 L. Kullmann , J. Kertesz , K. Kaski

Analyzing a comprehensive news dataset, we document that joint news coverage triggers attention contagion, causing temporarily inflated valuations for affected stocks. Tracing SEC EDGAR visits from unique IPs, we provide direct evidence of…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-16 Li Guo , Lin Peng , Yubo Tao , Jun Tu

This study evaluates the scale-dependent informational efficiency of stock markets using the Financial Chaos Index, a tensor-eigenvalue-based measure of realized volatility. Incorporating Granger causality and network-theoretic analysis…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-06 Masoud Ataei

Pearson correlation and mutual information based complex networks of the day-to-day returns of US S&P500 stocks between 1985 and 2015 have been constructed in order to investigate the mutual dependencies of the stocks and their nature. We…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-08 Alexander Haluszczynski , Ingo Laut , Heike Modest , Christoph Räth

Uncovering the risk transmitting path within economic sectors in China is crucial for understanding the stability of the Chinese economic system, especially under the current situation of the China-US trade conflicts. In this paper, we try…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2020-02-24 Ying-Ying Shen , Zhi-Qiang Jiang , Jun-Chao Ma , Gang-Jin Wang , Wei-Xing Zhou

We investigate the spatial and temporal structures of four financial markets in Greater China. In particular, we uncover different characteristics of the four markets by analyzing the sector and subsector structures which are detected…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-04-24 F. Y. Ouyang , B. Zheng , X. F. Jiang

Employee turnover is a critical challenge in financial markets, yet little is known about the role of professional networks in shaping career moves. Using the Hong Kong Securities and Futures Commission (SFC) public register (2007-2024), we…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2025-09-11 Abdulla AlKetbi , Patrick Yam , Gautier Marti , Raed Jaradat

We examine how the most prevalent stochastic properties of key financial time series have been affected during the recent financial crises. In particular we focus on changes associated with the remarkable economic events of the last two…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-28 Menelaos Karanasos , Alexandros Paraskevopoulos , Faek Menla Ali , Michail Karoglou , Stavroula Yfanti

Financial markets are interconnected, with micro-currents propagating across global markets and shaping economic trends. This paper moves beyond traditional stock market indices to examine cross-sectional return distributions-15 in our…

General Economics · Economics 2025-11-27 Ping Wu , Dan Zhu

Lead-lag relationships among assets represent a useful tool for analyzing high frequency financial data. However, research on these relationships predominantly focuses on correlation analyses for the dynamics of stock prices, spots and…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2020-01-08 Lasko Basnarkov , Viktor Stojkoski , Zoran Utkovski , Ljupco Kocarev

We study how the phenomenon of contagion can take place in the network of the world's stock exchanges due to the behavioral trait "blindeness to small changes". On large scale individual, the delay in the collective response may…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2016-02-25 Lucia Bellenzier , Jørgen Vitting Andersen , Giulia Rotundo

We demonstrate using multi-layered networks, the existence of an empirical linkage between the dynamics of the financial network constructed from the market indices and the macroeconomic networks constructed from macroeconomic variables…

General Economics · Economics 2019-03-18 Kiran Sharma , Anindya S. Chakrabarti , Anirban Chakraborti