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We give two asymptotic results for the empirical distance covariance on separable metric spaces without any iid assumption on the samples. In particular, we show the almost sure convergence of the empirical distance covariance for any…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-01-07 Marius Kroll

We consider non-parametric Bayesian estimation of the drift coefficient of a one-dimensional stochastic differential equation from discrete-time observations on the solution of this equation. Under suitable regularity conditions that are…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-07-15 Shota Gugushvili , Peter Spreij

We study the asymptotics for sparse exponential random graph models where the parameters may depend on the number of vertices of the graph. We obtain exact estimates for the mean and variance of the limiting probability distribution and the…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-04-19 Mei Yin , Lingjiong Zhu

The paper considers the stationary Poisson Boolean model with spherical grains and proposes a family of nonparametric estimators for the radius distribution. These estimators are based on observed distances and radii, weighted in an…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-01-09 Daniel Hug , Günter Last , Zbyněk Pawlas , Wolfgang Weil

The use of non parametric hidden Markov models with finite state space is flourishing in practice while few theoretical guarantees are known in this framework. Here, we study asymptotic guarantees for these models in the Bayesian framework.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-11-30 Elodie Vernet

The aim of this note is to state a couple of general results about the properties of the penalized maximum likelihood estimators (pMLE) and of the posterior distribution for parametric models in a non-asymptotic setup and for possibly large…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-12-13 Vladimir Spokoiny

We consider stochastic optimization under distributional uncertainty, where the unknown distributional parameter is estimated from streaming data that arrive sequentially over time. Moreover, data may depend on the decision of the time when…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2023-10-17 Tianyi Liu , Yifan Lin , Enlu Zhou

In this paper we consider the global stability of solutions of a nonlinear stochastic differential equation. The differential equation is a perturbed version of a globally stable linear autonomous equation with unique zero equilibrium where…

Probability · Mathematics 2013-10-10 John A. D. Appleby , Jian Cheng , Alexandra Rodkina

We develop symbolic methods of asymptotic approximations for solutions of linear ordinary differential equations and use to them stabilize numerical calculations. Our method follows classical analysis for first-order systems and…

Symbolic Computation · Computer Science 2011-10-12 Christopher J. Winfield

We study approximate maximum likelihood estimators (MLEs) for the parameters of the widely used Heston stock and volatility stochastic differential equations (SDEs). We compute explicit closed form estimators maximizing the discretized…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-19 Robert Azencott , Yutheeka Gadhyan

This paper considers a semiparametric approach within the general Bayesian linear model where the innovations consist of a stationary, mean zero Gaussian time series. While a parametric prior is specified for the linear model coefficients,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-09-25 Claudia Kirch , Alexander Meier , Renate Meyer , Yifu Tang

The problem of finite-dimensional asymptotics of infinite-dimensional dynamic systems is studied. A non-linear kinetic system with conservation of supports for distributions has generically finite-dimensional asymptotics. Such systems are…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2008-10-03 A. N. Gorban

Bayesian estimation of a mixed quantum state can be approximated via maximum likelihood (MaxLike) estimation when the likelihood function is sharp around its maximum. Such approximations rely on asymptotic expansions of multi-dimensional…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2016-07-05 Pierre Six , Pierre Rouchon

The limiting stability of invariant probability measures of time homogeneous transition semigroups for autonomous stochastic systems has been extensively discussed in the literature. In this paper we initially initiate a program to study…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2022-03-25 Renhai Wang , Tomas Caraballo , Nguyen Huy Tuan

The superiority of symplectic methods for stochastic Hamiltonian systems has been widely recognized, yet the probabilistic mechanism behind this superiority remains incompletely understood. This paper studies the superiority of symplectic…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2025-05-29 Jialin Hong , Ge Liang , Derui Sheng

When we use the normal mixture model, the optimal number of the components describing the data should be determined. Testing homogeneity is good for this purpose; however, to construct its theory is challenging, since the test statistic…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Natsuki Kariya , Sumio Watanabe

Asymptotic expansions for a wide class of distribution are studied. A simple method for computation of the series coefficients is suggested. The case when regularization parameter of the distribution depends on the asymptotic parameter is…

High Energy Physics - Lattice · Physics 2007-05-23 Vladimir K. Petrov

We investigate the asymptotic risk of a general class of overparameterized likelihood models, including deep models. The recent empirical success of large-scale models has motivated several theoretical studies to investigate a scenario…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-03-16 Ryumei Nakada , Masaaki Imaizumi

Statistical modeling of multivariate and spatial extreme events has attracted broad attention in various areas of science. Max-stable distributions and processes are the natural class of models for this purpose, and many parametric families…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-08-09 Clement Dombry , Sebastian Engelke , Marco Oesting

We investigate distributional properties of a class of spectral spatial statistics under irregular sampling of a random field that is defined on $\mathbb{R}^d$, and use this to obtain a test for isotropy. Within this context, edge effects…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-17 Theresa Eckle , Anne van Delft , Holger Dette