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Indirect inference requires simulating realisations of endogenous variables from the model under study. When the endogenous variables are discontinuous functions of the model parameters, the resulting indirect inference criterion function…

Economics · Quantitative Finance 2019-07-11 David T. Frazier , Tatsushi Oka , Dan Zhu

Estimation and inference in dynamic discrete choice models often relies on approximation to lower the computational burden of dynamic programming. Unfortunately, the use of approximation can impart substantial bias in estimation and results…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-10-23 Ben Deaner

Discrete choice models are fundamental tools in management science, economics, and marketing for understanding and predicting decision-making. Logit-based models are dominant in applied work, largely due to their convenient closed-form…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-04-06 Easton Huch , Michael Keane

Existing computationally efficient methods for penalized likelihood GAM fitting employ iterative smoothness selection on working linear models (or working mixed models). Such schemes fail to converge for a non-negligible proportion of…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-13 Simon N. Wood

By recasting indirect inference estimation as a prediction rather than a minimization and by using regularized regressions, we can bypass the three major problems of estimation: selecting the summary statistics, defining the distance…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-02-04 Ernesto Carrella , Richard M. Bailey , Jens Koed Madsen

We propose an estimation procedure for discrete choice models of differentiated products with possibly high-dimensional product attributes. In our model, high-dimensional attributes can be determinants of both mean and variance of the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-04-21 Masayuki Sawada , Kohei Kawaguchi

Non-parametric inference for functional data over two-dimensional domains entails additional computational and statistical challenges, compared to the one-dimensional case. Separability of the covariance is commonly assumed to address these…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-19 Tomas Masak , Tomas Rubin , Victor Panaretos

Salient object detection is subjective in nature, which implies that multiple estimations should be related to the same input image. Most existing salient object detection models are deterministic following a point to point estimation…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2022-10-04 Xinyu Tian , Jing Zhang , Yuchao Dai

The focus of modern biomedical studies has gradually shifted to explanation and estimation of joint effects of high dimensional predictors on disease risks. Quantifying uncertainty in these estimates may provide valuable insight into…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-09 Zhe Fei , Yi Li

In variational inference, the benefits of Bayesian models rely on accurately capturing the true posterior distribution. We propose using neural samplers that specify implicit distributions, which are well-suited for approximating complex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-11-10 Anshuk Uppal , Kristoffer Stensbo-Smidt , Wouter Boomsma , Jes Frellsen

Considering the increasing size of available data, the need for statistical methods that control the finite sample bias is growing. This is mainly due to the frequent settings where the number of variables is large and allowed to increase…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-12 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

We propose the use of indirect inference estimation to conduct inference in complex locally stationary models. We develop a local indirect inference algorithm and establish the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator. Due to the…

Econometrics · Economics 2020-12-17 David Frazier , Bonsoo Koo

This paper studies the problem of {\em learning} the probability distribution $P_X$ of a discrete random variable $X$ using indirect and sequential samples. At each time step, we choose one of the possible $K$ functions, $g_1, \ldots, g_K$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-08-17 Samarth Gupta , Gauri Joshi , Osman Yağan

In this paper, we consider gradient methods for minimizing smooth convex functions, which employ the information obtained at the previous iterations in order to accelerate the convergence towards the optimal solution. This information is…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2021-06-02 Yurii Nesterov , Mihai I. Florea

This paper studies the finite sample performance of the flexible estimation approach of Farrell, Liang, and Misra (2021a), who propose to use deep learning for the estimation of heterogeneous parameters in economic models, in the context of…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-08-20 Stephan Hetzenecker , Maximilian Osterhaus

Projection predictive inference is a decision theoretic Bayesian approach that decouples model estimation from decision making. Given a reference model previously built including all variables present in the data, projection predictive…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-15 Alejandro Catalina , Paul-Christian Bürkner , Aki Vehtari

Complex simulator-based models are now routinely used to perform inference across the sciences and engineering, but existing inference methods are often unable to account for outliers and other extreme values in data which occur due to…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-02-18 Ayush Bharti , Charita Dellaporta , Yuga Hikida , François-Xavier Briol

Neural implicit representations have become a popular choice for modeling surfaces due to their adaptability in resolution and support for complex topology. While previous works have achieved impressive reconstruction quality by training on…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2024-08-12 Lu Sang , Abhishek Saroha , Maolin Gao , Daniel Cremers

We analyze a lightweight simulation-based inference method that infers simulator parameters using only a regression-based projection of the observed data. After fitting a surrogate linear regression once, the procedure simulates small…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-04 Arya Farahi , Jonah Rose , Paul Torrey

Implicit models, which allow for the generation of samples but not for point-wise evaluation of probabilities, are omnipresent in real-world problems tackled by machine learning and a hot topic of current research. Some examples include…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2018-04-27 Yingzhen Li , Richard E. Turner
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