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The Metropolis-Hastings algorithm allows one to sample asymptotically from any probability distribution $\pi$. There has been recently much work devoted to the development of variants of the MH update which can handle scenarios where such…

Computation · Statistics 2018-03-28 Christophe Andrieu , Arnaud Doucet , Sinan Yıldırım , Nicolas Chopin

Metropolis-Hastings estimates intractable expectations - can differentiating the algorithm estimate their gradients? The challenge is that Metropolis-Hastings trajectories are not conventionally differentiable due to the discrete…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Gaurav Arya , Moritz Schauer , Ruben Seyer

Message-passing architectures struggle to sufficiently model long-range dependencies in node and graph prediction tasks. We propose a novel approach exploiting hierarchical graph structures and adaptive random walks to address this…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-09-03 Joël Mathys , Federico Errica

Given a connected graph $G$ with some subset of its vertices excited and a fixed target vertex, in the geodesic-biased random walk on $G$, a random walker moves as follows: from an unexcited vertex, she moves to a uniformly random…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-09-13 Mikhail Beliayeu , Petr Chmel , Bhargav Narayanan , Jan Petr

High-dimensional distributions, especially those with heavy tails, are notoriously difficult for off-the-shelf MCMC samplers: the combination of unbounded state spaces, diminishing gradient information, and local moves results in…

Computation · Statistics 2024-02-22 Jun Yang , Krzysztof Łatuszyński , Gareth O. Roberts

The ability to generate samples of the random effects from their conditional distributions is fundamental for inference in mixed effects models. Random walk Metropolis is widely used to perform such sampling, but this method is known to…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-10-29 Belhal Karimi , Marc Lavielle , Eric Moulines

We propose a method to construct a proposal density for the Metropolis-Hastings algorithm in Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) simulations of the GARCH model. The proposal density is constructed adaptively by using the data sampled by the…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2009-07-14 Tetsuya Takaishi

Ergodicity describes an equivalence between the expectation value and the time average of observables. Applied to human behaviour, ergodic theories of decision-making reveal how individuals should tolerate risk in different environments. To…

The random walk process in a nonhomogeneous medium, characterised by a L\'evy stable distribution of jump length, is discussed. The width depends on a position: either before the jump or after that. In the latter case, the density slope is…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2017-03-29 Tomasz Srokowski

Markov chain Monte Carlo methods such as Gibbs sampling and simple forms of the Metropolis algorithm typically move about the distribution being sampled via a random walk. For the complex, high-dimensional distributions commonly encountered…

bayes-an · Physics 2008-02-03 R. M. Neal

We consider the problem of high-dimensional Gaussian graphical model selection. We identify a set of graphs for which an efficient estimation algorithm exists, and this algorithm is based on thresholding of empirical conditional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2012-03-06 Animashree Anandkumar , Vincent Y. F. Tan , Alan. S. Willsky

We study the phenomenon of weak ergodicity breaking for a class of globally correlated random walk dynamics defined over a finite set of states. The persistence in a given state or the transition to another one depends on the whole previous…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2016-12-28 Adrian A. Budini

Pseudo-marginal Markov chain Monte Carlo methods for sampling from intractable distributions have gained recent interest and have been theoretically studied in considerable depth. Their main appeal is that they are exact, in the sense that…

Computation · Statistics 2015-03-25 Felipe J. Medina-Aguayo , Anthony Lee , Gareth O. Roberts

Although the Metropolis algorithm is simple to implement, it often has difficulties exploring multimodal distributions. We propose the repelling-attracting Metropolis (RAM) algorithm that maintains the simple-to-implement nature of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-08-28 Hyungsuk Tak , Xiao-Li Meng , David A. van Dyk

We derive the characteristic function of stochastic functionals of a random walk whose position is reset to the origin at random times drawn from a general probability distribution. We analyze the long-time behavior and obtain the temporal…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2025-07-09 V. Méndez , R. Flaquer-Galmés

One of the most widely used samplers in practice is the component-wise Metropolis-Hastings (CMH) sampler that updates in turn the components of a vector valued Markov chain using accept-reject moves generated from a proposal distribution.…

Computation · Statistics 2017-03-22 Jinyoung Yang , Evgeny Levi , Radu V. Craiu , Jeffrey S. Rosenthal

High-dimensional limit theorems have been shown useful to derive tuning rules for finding the optimal scaling in random-walk Metropolis algorithms. The assumptions under which weak convergence results are proved are however restrictive: the…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-02-16 Sebastian M Schmon , Philippe Gagnon

Multifractal properties of the distribution of topological invariants for a model of trajectories randomly entangled with a nonsymmetric lattice of obstacles are investigated. Using the equivalence of the model to random walks on a locally…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2009-10-31 R. Voituriez , S. Nechaev

In the simplest sequential decision problem for an ergodic stochastic process X, at each time n a decision u_n is made as a function of past observations X_0,...,X_{n-1}, and a loss l(u_n,X_n) is incurred. In this setting, it is known that…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-02-04 Ramon van Handel

We demonstrate the use of a variational method to determine a quantitative lower bound on the rate of convergence of Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithms as a function of the target density and proposal density. The bound relies on…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-05-29 Fergal P. Casey , Joshua J. Waterfall , Ryan N. Gutenkunst , Christopher R. Myers , James P. Sethna
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