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A new method of inferencing of coupled stochastic nonlinear oscillators is described. The technique does not require extensive global optimization, provides optimal compensation for noise-induced errors and is robust in a broad range of…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2009-11-10 Vadim N. Smelyanskiy , Dmitry G. Luchinsky

The inherent complexity of biological agents often leads to motility behavior that appears to have random components. Robust stochastic inference methods are therefore required to understand and predict the motion patterns from time…

Soft Condensed Matter · Physics 2024-11-14 Jan Albrecht , Manfred Opper , Robert Großmann

This letter proposes a fast identification algorithm for Wiener-Hammerstein systems. The computational cost of separating the front and the back linear time invariant block dynamics is significantly improved by using discrete optimization.…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-20 M. Schoukens , G. Vandersteen , Y. Rolain , F. Ferranti

In this paper, we further develop the approach, originating in [14 (arXiv:1311.6765),20 (arXiv:1604.02576)], to "computation-friendly" hypothesis testing and statistical estimation via Convex Programming. Specifically, we focus on…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-04-16 Anatoli Juditsky , Arkadi Nemirovski

We model and study the problem of localizing a set of sparse forcing inputs for linear dynamical systems from noisy measurements when the initial state is unknown. This problem is of particular relevance to detecting forced oscillations in…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-01-21 Rajasekhar Anguluri , Lalitha Sankar , Oliver Kosut

A new framework for nonlinear system identification is presented in terms of optimal fitting of stable nonlinear state space equations to input/output/state data, with a performance objective defined as a measure of robustness of the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2016-11-17 Mark M. Tobenkin , Ian R. Manchester , Jennifer Wang , Alexandre Megretski , Russ Tedrake

Extracting dynamic models from data is of enormous importance in understanding the properties of unknown systems. In this work, we employ Lipschitz neural networks, a class of neural networks with a prescribed upper bound on their Lipschitz…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-08-21 Shiqing Wei , Prashanth Krishnamurthy , Farshad Khorrami

Variational system identification is a new formulation of maximum likelihood for estimation of parameters of dynamical systems subject to process and measurement noise, such as aircraft flying in turbulence. This formulation is an…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-31 Dimas Abreu Archanjo Dutra

This work presents the system identification of a variable-pitch propeller (VPP) powertrain, encompassing the full actuation chain from PWM signals to thrust generation, with the aim of developing compact models suitable for real-time…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2026-04-06 David Grasev , Miguel A. Mendez

Identification of nonlinear block-oriented models has been extensively studied. The presence of the process noise, more precisely its location in the block-oriented model influences essentially the development of a consistent identification…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2018-04-27 Erliang Zhang , Maarten Schoukens , Johan Schoukens

The semivarying coefficient models are widely used in the application of finance, economics, medical science and many other areas. The functional coefficients are commonly estimated by local smoothing methods, e.g. local linear estimator.…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-01-01 Heng Peng , Chuanlong Xie , Jingxin Zhao

Levy processes are widely used in financial mathematics, telecommunication, economics, queueing theory and natural sciences for modelling. A typical model is obtained by considering finite dimensional linear stochastic SISO systems driven…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-01-07 Laszlo Gerencser , Mate Manfay

We introduce and study a variational framework for the analysis of empirical risk based inference for dynamical systems and ergodic processes. The analysis applies to a two-stage estimation procedure in which (i) the trajectory of an…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2018-01-24 Kevin McGoff , Andrew B. Nobel

This paper is concerned with robust performance criteria for linear continuous time invariant stochastic systems driven by statistically uncertain random processes. The uncertainty is understood as the deviation of imprecisely known…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2019-03-06 Igor G. Vladimirov

In the present paper, two existing nonlinear system identification methodologies are used to identify data-driven models. The first methodology focuses on identifying the system using steady-state excitations. To accomplish this, a…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-11-18 Maren Scheel , Gleb Kleyman , Ali Tatar , Matthew R. W. Brake , Simon Peter , Jean-Philippe Noël , Matthew S. Allen , Malte Krack

In this paper, we analyze the finite sample complexity of stochastic system identification using modern tools from machine learning and statistics. An unknown discrete-time linear system evolves over time under Gaussian noise without…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-03-22 Anastasios Tsiamis , George J. Pappas

Simulation-based inference enables learning the parameters of a model even when its likelihood cannot be computed in practice. One class of methods uses data simulated with different parameters to infer models of the likelihood-to-evidence…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2022-06-08 Giulio Isacchini , Natanael Spisak , Armita Nourmohammad , Thierry Mora , Aleksandra M. Walczak

We present numerical schemes for the strong solution of linear stochastic differential equations driven by an arbitrary number of Wiener processes. These schemes are based on the Neumann (stochastic Taylor) and Magnus expansions. Firstly,…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Gabriel Lord , Simon J. A. Malham , Anke Wiese

We consider the problem of estimating states and parameters in a model based on a system of coupled stochastic differential equations, based on noisy discrete-time data. Special attention is given to nonlinear dynamics and state-dependent…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-01 Uffe Høgsbro Thygesen , Kasper Kristensen

In the flourishing live streaming industry, accurate recognition of streamers' emotions has become a critical research focus, with profound implications for audience engagement and content optimization. However, precise emotion coding…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-20 Ziqian Lin , Danyang Huang , Ziyu Xiong , Hansheng Wang