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We establish dual representations for systemic risk measures based on acceptance sets in a general setting. We deal with systemic risk measures of both "first allocate, then aggregate" and "first aggregate, then allocate" type. In both…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-10-25 Maria Arduca , Pablo Koch-Medina , Cosimo Munari

High precision analytical approximation is proposed for variance-covariance based risk allocation in a portfolio of risky assets. A general case of a single-period multi-factor Merton-type model with stochastic recovery is considered. The…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2009-09-28 Mikhail Voropaev

Current contingency reserve criteria ignore the likelihood of individual contingencies and, thus, their impact on system reliability and risk. This paper develops an iterative approach, inspired by the current security-constrained unit…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-05-10 Robert Mieth , Yury Dvorkin , Miguel A. Ortega-Vazquez

This paper firstly addresses the problem of risk assessment under false data injection attacks on uncertain control systems. We consider an adversary with complete system knowledge, injecting stealthy false data into an uncertain control…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-12-12 Sribalaji C. Anand , André M. H. Teixeira , Anders Ahlén

In this study, we propose a new multi-objective portfolio optimization with idiosyncratic and systemic risks for financial networks. The two risks are measured by the idiosyncratic variance and the network clustering coefficient derived…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-11-23 Yajie Yang , Longfeng Zhao , Lin Chen , Chao Wang , Jihui Han

We axiomatically introduce risk-consistent conditional systemic risk measures defined on multidimensional risks. This class consists of those conditional systemic risk measures which can be decomposed into a state-wise conditional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-09-27 Hannes Hoffmann , Thilo Meyer-Brandis , Gregor Svindland

In this research, starting from a widely accepted definition of risk, we support the idea that risk reduction is a more realistic objective than risk minimization, which represents a theoretical utopia. Furthermore, significant risk…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-01 Pierpaolo Uberti

Risk diversification is the basis of insurance and investment. It is thus crucial to study the effects that could limit it. One of them is the existence of systemic risk that affects all the policies at the same time. We introduce here a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2013-12-03 Marc Busse , Michel Dacorogna , Marie Kratz

We model systemic risk using a common factor that accounts for market-wide shocks and a tail dependence factor that accounts for linkages among extreme stock returns. Specifically, our theoretical model allows for firm-specific impacts of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-07 Wan-Chien Chiu , Juan Ignacio Peña , Chih-Wei Wang

In structural credit risk models, default events and the ensuing losses are both derived from the asset values at maturity. Hence it is of utmost importance to choose a distribution for these asset values which is in accordance with…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2016-01-13 Thilo A. Schmitt , Rudi Schäfer , Thomas Guhr

Risk management often plays an important role in decision making under uncertainty. In quantitative risk management, assessing and optimizing risk metrics requires efficient computing techniques and reliable theoretical guarantees. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Zhaolin Hu

The interconnectedness of financial institutions affects instability and credit crises. To quantify systemic risk we introduce here the PD model, a dynamic model that combines credit risk techniques with a contagion mechanism on the network…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2018-04-10 Daniele Petrone , Vito Latora

Estimating the covariance of asset returns, i.e., the risk model, is a key component of financial portfolio construction and evaluation. Most risk modeling approaches produce a factor model that decomposes the asset variability into two…

The stability of the financial system is associated with systemic risk factors such as the concurrent default of numerous small obligors. Hence it is of utmost importance to study the mutual dependence of losses for different creditors in…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-06-30 Andreas Mühlbacher , Thomas Guhr

The multivariate conditional probability distribution models the effects of a set of variables onto the statistical properties of another set of variables. In the study of systemic risk in a financial system, the multivariate conditional…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-05-05 Tomaso Aste

Capital allocation principles are used in various contexts in which a risk capital or a cost of an aggregate position has to be allocated among its constituent parts. We study capital allocation principles in a performance measurement…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2014-07-15 Eduard Kromer , Ludger Overbeck

We present an historical overview about the connections between the analysis of risk and the control of autonomous systems. We offer two main contributions. Our first contribution is to propose three overlapping paradigms to classify the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2022-07-13 Yuheng Wang , Margaret P. Chapman

Regulation and risk management in banks depend on underlying risk measures. In general this is the only purpose that is seen for risk measures. In this paper we suggest that the reporting of risk measures can be used to determine the loss…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-03-19 Dominique Gu/'egan , Wayne Tarrant

To achieve robustness of risk across different assets, risk parity investing rules, a particular state of risk contributions, have grown in popularity over the previous few decades. To generalize the concept of risk contribution from the…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2022-02-22 Mengjin Zhao , Guangyan Jia

In this research, we introduce a robust metric to identify Systemically Important Financial Institution (SIFI) in a financial network by taking into account both common idiosyncratic shocks and contagion through counterparty exposures. We…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-23 Amirhossein Sadoghi