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Related papers: Uniformly Valid Confidence Sets Based on the Lasso

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Post-selection inference consists in providing statistical guarantees, based on a data set, that are robust to a prior model selection step on the same data set. In this paper, we address an instance of the post-selection-inference problem,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-06-16 Dominique Bontemps , François Bachoc , Pierre Neuvial

We propose a generalized debiased Lasso estimator based on a stability principle. When a single column of the design matrix is perturbed, the estimator admits a simple update formula that can be computed from the original solution. Under…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-04-14 Jingbo Liu

We propose a new system identification method, called Sign-Perturbed Sums (SPS), for constructing non-asymptotic confidence regions under mild statistical assumptions. SPS is introduced for linear regression models, including but not…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2018-07-24 Balázs Cs. Csáji , Marco C. Campi , Erik Weyer

Using the mathematical framework of information geometry, we introduce a novel method which allows one to efficiently determine the exact shape of simultaneous confidence regions for non-linearly parametrised models. Furthermore, we show…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-08 Rafael Arutjunjan , Bjoern Malte Schaefer , Clemens Kreutz

In this paper we develop inference for high dimensional linear models, with serially correlated errors. We examine Lasso under the assumption of strong mixing in the covariates and error process, allowing for fatter tails in their…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-10-05 Ilias Chronopoulos , Katerina Chrysikou , George Kapetanios

Regression modeling is the workhorse of statistics and there is a vast literature on estimation of the regression function. It is realized in recent years that in regression analysis the ultimate aim may be the estimation of a level set of…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-07-27 Fang Wan , Wei Liu , Frank Bretz

We propose a minimum distance estimation method for robust regression in sparse high-dimensional settings. The traditional likelihood-based estimators lack resilience against outliers, a critical issue when dealing with high-dimensional…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-07-12 Aurélie C. Lozano , Nicolai Meinshausen

Low-rank matrix regression refers to the instances of recovering a low-rank matrix based on specially designed measurements and the corresponding noisy outcomes. In the last decade, numerous statistical methodologies have been developed for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-24 Dong Xia

One of the most prominent methods for uncertainty quantification in high-dimen-sional statistics is the desparsified LASSO that relies on unconstrained $\ell_1$-minimization. The majority of initial works focused on real (sub-)Gaussian…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-09-14 Frederik Hoppe , Felix Krahmer , Claudio Mayrink Verdun , Marion I. Menzel , Holger Rauhut

To estimate a sparse linear model from data with Gaussian noise, consilience from lasso and compressed sensing literatures is that thresholding estimators like lasso and the Dantzig selector have the ability in some situations to identify…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-08-14 Jairo Diaz-Rodriguez , Sylvain Sardy

We consider linear random coefficient regression models, where the regressors are allowed to have a finite support. First, we investigate identifiability, and show that the means and the variances and covariances of the random coefficients…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-16 Philipp Hermann , Hajo Holzmann

Estimating the conditional mean function is a central task in statistical learning. In this paper, we consider estimation and inference for a nonparametric class of real-valued cadlag functions with bounded sectional variation (Gill et al.,…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-10-17 Wenxin Zhang , Junming Shi , Alan Hubbard , Mark van der Laan

This paper is concerned with high-dimensional panel data models where the number of regressors can be much larger than the sample size. Under the assumption that the true parameter vector is sparse we propose a panel-Lasso estimator and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2014-02-14 Anders Bredahl Kock

Consider a linear regression model and suppose that our aim is to find a confidence interval for a specified linear combination of the regression parameters. In practice, it is common to perform a Durbin-Watson pretest of the null…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-06-29 Paul Kabaila , Samer Alhelli , Davide Farchione , Nathan Bragg

An open question in \emph{Imprecise Probabilistic Machine Learning} is how to empirically derive a credal region (i.e., a closed and convex family of probabilities on the output space) from the available data, without any prior knowledge or…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-01-29 Michele Caprio , David Stutz , Shuo Li , Arnaud Doucet

The construction of confidence regions for parameter vectors is a difficult problem in the nonparametric setting, particularly when the sample size is not large. The bootstrap has shown promise in solving this problem, but empirical…

Methodology · Statistics 2013-11-01 Santu Ghosh , Alan M. Polansky

Hypothesis testing methods that do not rely on exact distribution assumptions have been emerging lately. The method of sign-perturbed sums (SPS) is capable of characterizing confidence regions with exact confidence levels for linear…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2017-07-03 Sándor Kolumbán , István Vajk , Johan Schoukens

We consider the problem of estimating the mean of a distribution supported by the $k$-dimensional probability simplex in the setting where an $\varepsilon$ fraction of observations are subject to adversarial corruption. A simple particular…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-04 Amir-Hossein Bateni , Arnak S. Dalalyan

We study prediction intervals based on leave-one-out residuals in a linear regression model where the number of explanatory variables can be large compared to sample size. We establish uniform asymptotic validity (conditional on the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-02-19 Lukas Steinberger , Hannes Leeb

We introduce Volume-Sorted Prediction Set (VSPS), a novel method for uncertainty quantification in multi-target regression that uses conditional normalizing flows with conformal calibration. This approach constructs flexible, non-convex…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-05 Rui Luo , Zhixin Zhou