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This paper proposes FREEtree, a tree-based method for high dimensional longitudinal data with correlated features. Popular machine learning approaches, like Random Forests, commonly used for variable selection do not perform well when there…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-06-18 Yuancheng Xu , Athanasse Zafirov , R. Michael Alvarez , Dan Kojis , Min Tan , Christina M. Ramirez

Gaussian process is a very promising novel technology that has been applied to both the regression problem and the classification problem. While for the regression problem it yields simple exact solutions, this is not the case for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-18 Amir F. Atiya , Hatem A. Fayed , Ahmed H. Abdel-Gawad

Gaussian processes regression models are an appealing machine learning method as they learn expressive non-linear models from exemplar data with minimal parameter tuning and estimate both the mean and covariance of unseen points. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-08-25 Vladimir Joukov , Dana Kulić

Random forests are a popular class of algorithms used for regression and classification. The algorithm introduced by Breiman in 2001 and many of its variants are ensembles of randomized decision trees built from axis-aligned partitions of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-10-31 Eliza O'Reilly , Ngoc Mai Tran

Random forests are a learning algorithm proposed by Breiman [Mach. Learn. 45 (2001) 5--32] that combines several randomized decision trees and aggregates their predictions by averaging. Despite its wide usage and outstanding practical…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-08-11 Erwan Scornet , Gérard Biau , Jean-Philippe Vert

Random Forest (Breiman, 2001) is a successful and widely used regression and classification algorithm. Part of its appeal and reason for its versatility is its (implicit) construction of a kernel-type weighting function on training data,…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-10-13 Domagoj Ćevid , Loris Michel , Jeffrey Näf , Nicolai Meinshausen , Peter Bühlmann

Gaussian random fields play an important role in many areas of science and engineering. In practice, they are often simulated by sampling from a high-dimensional multivariate normal distribution, which arises from the discretisation of a…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2026-02-12 Yoshihito Kazashi , Eike H. Müller , Robert Scheichl

Data analysis and machine learning have become an integrative part of the modern scientific methodology, offering automated procedures for the prediction of a phenomenon based on past observations, unraveling underlying patterns in data and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-06-04 Gilles Louppe

Gaussian processes provide a powerful probabilistic kernel learning framework, which allows learning high quality nonparametric regression models via methods such as Gaussian process regression. Nevertheless, the learning phase of Gaussian…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2021-01-06 Paz Fink Shustin , Haim Avron

We present a general framework for portfolio risk management in discrete time, based on a replicating martingale. This martingale is learned from a finite sample in a supervised setting. The model learns the features necessary for an…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-09 Lucio Fernandez-Arjona , Damir Filipović

Random forests is a state-of-the-art supervised machine learning method which behaves well in high-dimensional settings although some limitations may happen when $p$, the number of predictors, is much larger than the number of observations…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-02-01 Louis Capitaine , Robin Genuer , Rodolphe Thiébaut

The automated construction of coarse-grained models represents a pivotal component in computer simulation of physical systems and is a key enabler in various analysis and design tasks related to uncertainty quantification. Pertinent methods…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-09-11 Constantin Grigo , Phaedon-Stelios Koutsourelakis

Data-driven turbulence modelling approaches are gaining increasing interest from the CFD community. However, the introduction of a machine learning (ML) model introduces a new source of uncertainty, the ML model itself. Quantification of…

Fluid Dynamics · Physics 2021-01-12 Ashley Scillitoe , Pranay Seshadri , Mark Girolami

We extend decision tree and random forest algorithms to product space manifolds: Cartesian products of Euclidean, hyperspherical, and hyperbolic manifolds. Such spaces have extremely expressive geometries capable of representing many…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-05-08 Philippe Chlenski , Quentin Chu , Itsik Pe'er

Bayesian Decision Trees are known for their probabilistic interpretability. However, their construction can sometimes be costly. In this article we present a general Bayesian Decision Tree algorithm applicable to both regression and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-09-23 Giuseppe Nuti , Lluís Antoni Jiménez Rugama , Andreea-Ingrid Cross

Machine learning methods usually depend on internal parameters -- so called hyperparameters -- that need to be optimized for best performance. Such optimization poses a burden on machine learning practitioners, requiring expert knowledge,…

Chemical Physics · Physics 2020-04-03 Annika Stuke , Patrick Rinke , Milica Todorović

Gaussian process regression is a popular method for non-parametric probabilistic modeling of functions. The Gaussian process prior is characterized by so-called hyperparameters, which often have a large influence on the posterior model and…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2016-11-18 Andreas Svensson , Johan Dahlin , Thomas B. Schön

There are many approaches for training decision trees. This work introduces a novel gradient-based method for constructing decision trees that optimize arbitrary differentiable loss functions, overcoming the limitations of heuristic…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-03-25 Andrei V. Konstantinov , Lev V. Utkin

Most machine learning (ML) algorithms have several stochastic elements, and their performances are affected by these sources of randomness. This paper uses an empirical study to systematically examine the effects of two sources: randomness…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-06-27 Soham Raste , Rahul Singh , Joel Vaughan , Vijayan N. Nair

In this paper an efficient and reliable method for stochastic yield estimation is presented. Since one main challenge of uncertainty quantification is the computational feasibility, we propose a hybrid approach where most of the Monte Carlo…

Computational Engineering, Finance, and Science · Computer Science 2020-10-12 Mona Fuhrländer , Sebastian Schöps