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In the common time series model $X_{i,n} = \mu (i/n) + \varepsilon_{i,n}$ with non-stationary errors we consider the problem of detecting a significant deviation of the mean function $\mu$ from a benchmark $g (\mu )$ (such as the initial…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-05-25 Holger Dette , Florian Heinrichs

Cram\'{e}r-type large deviations for means of samples from a finite population are established under weak conditions. The results are comparable to results for the so-called self-normalized large deviation for independent random variables.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-08-22 Zhishui Hu , John Robinson , Qiying Wang

The DUCK-calculus presented here is a recent approach to cope with probabilistic uncertainty in a sound and efficient way. Uncertain rules with bounds for probabilities and explicit conditional independences can be maintained incrementally.…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-03-25 Helmut Thone , Ulrich Guntzer , Werner Kiessling

Let $(\Omega,{\cal F},P)$ be a probability space and $L^{0}({\cal F},R)$ the algebra of equivalence classes of real-valued random variables on $(\Omega,{\cal F},P)$. When $L^{0}({\cal F},R)$ is endowed with the topology of convergence in…

Functional Analysis · Mathematics 2011-03-22 Guo TieXin , Zeng XiaoLin

We study the upper tail behaviors of the local times of the additive stable processes. Let $X_1(t),...,X_p(t)$ be independent, d-dimensional symmetric stable processes with stable index $0<\alpha\le 2$ and consider the additive stable…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-11-09 Xia Chen

The distribution function of the sum $Z$ of two standard normally distributed random variables $X$ and $Y$ is computed with the concept of copulas to model the dependency between $X$ and $Y$. By using implicit copulas such as the Gauss- or…

Computation · Statistics 2021-07-02 Walter Schneider

For a discrete function $f\left( x\right) $ on a discrete set, the finite difference can be either forward and backward. However, we observe that if $ f\left( x\right) $ is a sum of two functions $f\left( x\right) =f_{1}\left( x\right)…

General Physics · Physics 2021-04-23 Q. H. Liu

Discretely sampled variance and volatility swaps trade actively in OTC markets. To price these swaps, the continuously sampled approximation is often used to simplify the computations. The purpose of this paper is to study the conditions…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-03-08 Robert Jarrow , Younes Kchia , Martin Larsson , Philip Protter

A decoupled standard random walk is a sequence of independent random variables $(\hat{S}_n)_{n \geq 1}$ such that, for each $n \geq 1$, the distribution of $\hat{S}_n$ is the same as that of $S_n = \xi_1 + \ldots + \xi_n$, where $(\xi_k)_{k…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-08-08 Dariusz Buraczewski , Alexander Iksanov , Alexander Marynych

In classic distributed graph problems, each instance on a graph specifies a space of feasible solutions (e.g. all proper ($\Delta+1$)-list-colorings of the graph), and the task of distributed algorithm is to construct a feasible solution…

Data Structures and Algorithms · Computer Science 2018-02-20 Weiming Feng , Yitong Yin

We present novel bounds for estimating discrete probability distributions under the $\ell_\infty$ norm. These are nearly optimal in various precise senses, including a kind of instance-optimality. Our data-dependent convergence guarantees…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-14 Aryeh Kontorovich , Amichai Painsky

The non-smooth finite-sum minimization is a fundamental problem in machine learning. This paper develops a distributed stochastic proximal-gradient algorithm with random reshuffling to solve the finite-sum minimization over time-varying…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2022-10-11 Xia Jiang , Xianlin Zeng , Jian Sun , Jie Chen , Lihua Xie

In this paper, we investigate the large deviations of sums of weighted random variables that are approximately independent, generalizing and improving some of the results of Montgomery and Odlyzko. We are motivated by examples arising from…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-05 Andrew Granville , Youness Lamzouri

We prove large deviation principles (LDPs) for random matrices in the orthogonal group and Stiefel manifold, determining both the speed and good convex rate functions that are explicitly given in terms of certain log-determinants of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-11-04 Zakhar Kabluchko , Joscha Prochno

We use techniques from finite free probability to analyze matrix processes related to eigenvalues, singular values, and generalized singular values of random matrices. The models we use are quite basic and the analysis consists entirely of…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-05-03 Adam W. Marcus

Consider the random graph sampled uniformly from the set of all simple graphs with a given degree sequence. Under mild conditions on the degrees, we establish a Large Deviation Principle (LDP) for these random graphs, viewed as elements of…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-11-25 Souvik Dhara , Subhabrata Sen

The direct Gaussian copula model with discrete marginal distributions is an appealing data-analytic tool but poses difficult computational challenges due to its intractable likelihood. A number of approximations/surrogates for the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-03-08 John Hughes

We study the large deviations of sums of correlated random variables described by a matrix product ansatz, which generalizes the product structure of independent random variables to matrices whose non-commutativity is the source of…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2014-02-18 Florian Angeletti , Hugo Touchette , Eric Bertin , Patrice Abry

Let $\{X_{i}, i\in J\}$ be a family of locally dependent non-negative integer-valued random variables with finite expectations and variances. We consider the sum $W=\sum_{i\in J}X_i$ and use Stein's method to establish general upper error…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-11-26 Zhonggen Su , Xiaolin Wang

Consider the normalized partial sums of a real-valued function $F$ of a Markov chain, \[\phi_n:=n^{-1}\sum_{k=0}^{n-1}F(\Phi(k)),\qquad n\ge1.\] The chain $\{\Phi(k):k\ge0\}$ takes values in a general state space $\mathsf {X}$, with…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Sean P. Meyn