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The introduction of leverage on prediction-market event contracts raises three structurally distinct questions that have not been addressed jointly: how leverage changes manipulation incentives, how it interacts with informed-trading rents,…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2026-05-12 Maksym Nechepurenko

In macroeconomics, an emerging discussion of alternative monetary systems addresses the dimensions of systemic risk in advanced financial systems. Monetary regime changes with the aim of achieving a more sustainable financial system have…

General Economics · Economics 2023-01-11 Florian Peters , Doris Neuberger , Oliver Reinhardt , Adelinde Uhrmacher

This paper investigates the finite horizon risk-sensitive portfolio optimization in a regime-switching credit market with physical and information-induced default contagion. It is assumed that the underlying regime-switching process has…

Portfolio Management · Quantitative Finance 2021-07-28 Lijun Bo , Huafu Liao , Xiang Yu

The practice of valuation by marking-to-market with current trading prices is seriously flawed. Under leverage the problem is particularly dramatic: due to the concave form of market impact, selling always initially causes the expected…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-28 Fabio Caccioli , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud , J. Doyne Farmer

Notwithstanding the usefulness of system dynamics in analyzing complex policy problems, policy design is far from straightforward and in many instances trial-and-error driven. To address this challenge, we propose to combine system dynamics…

Physics and Society · Physics 2017-11-15 Lukas Schoenenberger , Radu Tanase

Leverage is strongly related to liquidity in a market and lack of liquidity is considered a cause and/or consequence of the recent financial crisis. A repurchase agreement is a financial instrument where a security is sold simultaneously…

General Finance · Quantitative Finance 2010-11-05 Wanfeng Yan , Ryan Woodard , Didier Sornette

This paper studies the dividend and capital injection problem under a diffusion risk model with general discount functions. A proportional cost is imposed when injecting capitals. For exponential discounting as time-consistent benchmark, we…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-05-30 Sang Hu , Zihan Zhou

We study the disequilibrium dynamics of a stylised model of production networks in which firms use perishable and non-substitutable intermediate inputs, so that adverse idiosyncratic productivity shocks can trigger downstream shortages and…

Physics and Society · Physics 2026-02-02 David Martin , José Moran , Debabrata Panja , Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

We are looking for the agent-based treatment of the financial markets considering necessity to build bridges between microscopic, agent based, and macroscopic, phenomenological modeling. The acknowledgment that agent-based modeling…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-01 V. Gontis , A. Kononovicius

In a continuous time stochastic economy, this paper considers the problem of consumption and investment in a financial market in which the representative investor exhibits a change in the discount rate. The investment opportunities are a…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2011-07-12 Traian A. Pirvu , Huayue Zhang

Assessing systemic risk in financial markets is of great importance but it often requires data that are unavailable or available at a very low frequency. For this reason, systemic risk assessment with partial information is potentially very…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2018-08-01 Domenico Di Gangi , Fabrizio Lillo , Davide Pirino

In recent years, it has become apparent that an isolated microprudential approach to capital adequacy requirements of individual institutions is insufficient. It can increase the homogeneity of the financial system and ultimately the cost…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2023-11-27 Jana Hlavinova , Birgit Rudloff , Alexander Smirnow

The article proposes a method of designing a statistically distinguishable rating scale that is not excessive in relation to the existing observation statistics. This allows for more stable validation with a fixed maximum number of…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2025-12-10 Mikhail Pomazanov

This paper presents a novel robust trajectory optimization method for constrained nonlinear dynamical systems subject to unknown bounded disturbances. In particular, we seek optimal control policies that remain robustly feasible with…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-04-08 Arshiya Taj Abdul , Augustinos D. Saravanos , Evangelos A. Theodorou

Auto-deleveraging (ADL) mechanisms are a critical yet understudied component of risk management on cryptocurrency futures exchanges. When available margin and other loss-absorbing resources are insufficient to cover losses following large…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-18 Steven Campbell , Natascha Hey , Ciamac C. Moallemi , Marcel Nutz

We model the trading activity between a broker and her clients (informed and uninformed traders) as an infinite-horizon stochastic control problem. We derive the broker's optimal dealing strategy in closed form and use this to introduce an…

Trading and Market Microstructure · Quantitative Finance 2025-03-25 Álvaro Cartea , Leandro Sánchez-Betancourt

We develop a neural-network framework for multi-period risk--reward stochastic control problems with constrained two-step feedback policies that may be discontinuous in the state. We allow a broad class of objectives built on a…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2026-03-09 Chang Chen , Duy-Minh Dang

Assessing the stability of economic systems is a fundamental research focus in economics, that has become increasingly interdisciplinary in the currently troubled economic situation. In particular, much attention has been devoted to the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2017-02-24 Matteo Serri , Guido Caldarelli , Giulio Cimini

This paper studies the finite-horizon robust optimal control of constrained linear systems subject to model mismatch and additive stochastic disturbances. Utilizing the system level synthesis (SLS) parameterization, we propose a novel SLS…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-10-09 Yun Li , Jicheng Shi , Colin N. Jones , Neil Yorke-Smith , Tamas Keviczky

In practice, the value-at-risk (VaR) for a longer holding period is often scaled using the 'square root of time rule'. The VaR is determined for a shorter holding period and then scaled up according to the desired holding period. For…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2022-05-05 Marita Kuhlmann
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