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We introduce a dynamical spatio-temporal model formalized as a recurrent neural network for forecasting time series of spatial processes, i.e. series of observations sharing temporal and spatial dependencies. The model learns these…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-04-24 Ali Ziat , Edouard Delasalles , Ludovic Denoyer , Patrick Gallinari

Transformations to create more sustainable social-ecological systems are urgently needed. Structural change is a feature of transformations of social-ecological systems that is of critical importance but is little understood. Here, we…

Adaptation and Self-Organizing Systems · Physics 2017-04-21 Steven J. Lade , Örjan Bodin , Jonathan F. Donges , Elin Enfors Kautsky , Diego Galafassi , Per Olsson , Maja Schlüter

The characterization of the "most connected" nodes in static or slowly evolving complex networks has helped in understanding and predicting the behavior of social, biological, and technological networked systems, including their robustness…

Physics and Society · Physics 2010-10-21 Scott A. Hill , Dan Braha

Complex network theory provides a powerful toolbox for studying the structure of statistical interrelationships between multiple time series in various scientific disciplines. In this work, we apply the recently proposed climate network…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2013-11-26 Alexander Radebach , Reik V. Donner , Jakob Runge , Jonathan F. Donges , Jürgen Kurths

In this work, the topologies of networks constructed from time series from an underlying system undergo a period doubling cascade have been explored by means of the prevalence of different motifs using an efficient computational motif…

Chaotic Dynamics · Physics 2014-06-19 Ruoxi Xiang , Michael Small

Accurate weather prediction is essential for many aspects of life, notably the early warning of extreme weather events such as rainstorms. Short-term predictions of these events rely on forecasts from numerical weather models, in which,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-04-05 Guoxing Chen , Wei-Chyung Wang

The structure of real-world networks is usually difficult to characterize owing to the variation of topological scales, the nondyadic complex interactions, and the fluctuations in the network. We aim to address these problems by introducing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-09-25 Quoc Hoan Tran , Van Tuan Vo , Yoshihiko Hasegawa

The evolutionary processes of complex systems contain critical information regarding their functional characteristics. The generation time of edges provides insights into the historical evolution of various networked complex systems, such…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2025-01-14 En Xu , Can Rong , Jingtao Ding , Yong Li

Extreme weather events epitomize high cost: to society through their physical impacts, and to computer servers that simulate them to assess risk and advance physical understanding. It costs hundreds of simulation years to sample a few…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2026-04-14 Justin Finkel , Paul A. O'Gorman

Extreme weather is one of the main mechanisms through which climate change will directly impact human society. Coping with such change as a global community requires markedly improved understanding of how global warming drives extreme…

Computational Physics · Physics 2019-09-18 Adam Rupe , Karthik Kashinath , Nalini Kumar , Victor Lee , Prabhat , James P. Crutchfield

In order to maintain consistent quality of service, computer network engineers face the task of monitoring the traffic fluctuations on the individual links making up the network. However, due to resource constraints and limited access, it…

Applications · Statistics 2010-05-26 Joel Vaughan , Stilian A. Stoev , George Michailidis

Complex network theory provides an important tool for the analysis of complex systems such as the Earth's climate. In this context, functional climate networks can be constructed using a spatiotemporal climate dataset and a suitable time…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2021-09-22 Leonardo N. Ferreira , Nicole C. R. Ferreira , Elbert E. N. Macau , Reik V. Donner

The control and risk assessment in complex information systems require to take into account extremes arising from nodes with large node degrees. Various sampling techniques like a Page Rank random walk, a Metropolis-Hastings Markov chain…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-02-18 Natalia Markovich

Adaptively monitoring the states of nodes in a large complex network is of interest in domains such as national security, public health, and energy grid management. Here, we present an information theoretic adaptive tracking and sampling…

Physics and Society · Physics 2013-07-12 Patrick L Harrington , Alfred O. Hero

Cyclones are amongst the most hazardous extreme weather events on Earth. When two co-rotating cyclones come in close proximity, a possibility of complete merger (CM) arises due to their interactions. However, identifying the transitions in…

Many time-evolving systems in nature, society and technology leave traces of the interactions within them. These interactions form temporal networks that reflect the states of the systems. In this work, we pursue a coarse-grained…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2019-02-07 Naoki Masuda , Petter Holme

Complex networks are usually characterized in terms of their topological, spatial, or information-theoretic properties and combinations of the associated metrics are used to discriminate networks into different classes or categories.…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2017-10-25 Marc Wiedermann , Jonathan F. Donges , Jürgen Kurths , Reik V. Donner

Self-exciting point processes are widely used to model the contagious effects of crime events living within continuous geographic space, using their occurrence time and locations. However, in urban environments, most events are naturally…

Applications · Statistics 2025-10-01 Zheng Dong , Jorge Mateu , Yao Xie

This paper is concerned with the estimation of time-varying networks for high-dimensional nonstationary time series. Two types of dynamic behaviors are considered: structural breaks (i.e., abrupt change points) and smooth changes. To…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-19 Mengyu Xu , Xiaohui Chen , Wei Biao Wu

Understanding the causes and consequences of, and devising countermeasures to, global warming is a profoundly complex problem. Network representations are sometimes the only way forward, and sometimes able to reduce the complexity of the…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-30 Petter Holme , Juan C. Rocha
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