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Mean-field limits have been used now as a standard tool in approximations, including for networks with a large number of nodes. Statistical inference on mean-filed models has attracted more attention recently mainly due to the rapid…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-11-21 Ioannis Lambadaris , Ahmed Sid-Ali , Wei Sun , Yiqiang Q. Zhao

We study Markov population processes on large graphs, with the local state transition rates of a single vertex being linear function of its neighborhood. A simple way to approximate such processes is by a system of ODEs called the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-08-30 Dániel Keliger

Consider a dynamic random geometric social network identified by $s_t$ independent points $x_t^1,\ldots,x_t^{s_t}$ in the unit square $[0,1]^2$ that interact in continuous time $t\geq 0$. The generative model of the random points is a…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-10-16 Ahmed Sid-Ali , Khader Khadraoui

The stochastic Kuramoto model defined on a sequence of graphs is analyzed: the emphasis is posed on the relationship between the mean field limit, the connectivity of the underlying graph and the long time behavior. We give an explicit…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-12-24 Fabio Coppini

We study semi-parametric estimation of the population mean when data is observed missing at random (MAR) in the $n < p$ "inconsistency regime", in which neither the outcome model nor the propensity/missingness model can be estimated…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-09-06 Michael Celentano , Martin J. Wainwright

In this paper we study the asymptotic behaviour of empirical processes when parameters are estimated, assuming that the underlying sequence of random variables is long-range dependent. We show completely different phenomena compared to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Rafal Kulik

Nonignorable missingness and noncompliance can occur even in well-designed randomized experiments making the intervention effect that the experiment was designed to estimate nonidentifiable. Nonparametric causal bounds provide a way to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-10-13 Erin E. Gabriel , Arvid Sjölander , Michael C. Sachs

In this paper, we investigate the interaction of two populations with a large number of indistinguishable agents. The problem consists in two levels: the interaction between agents of a same population, and the interaction between the two…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-10-30 Alain Bensoussan , Tao Huang , Mathieu Laurière

Empirical process theory for i.i.d. observations has emerged as a ubiquitous tool for understanding the generalization properties of various statistical problems. However, in many applications where the data exhibit temporal dependencies…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-01-18 Nabarun Deb , Debarghya Mukherjee

This study investigates how the human brain differentiates between intentional human agents and artificial intelligence (AI) agents during real-time social interaction. Using functional near-infrared spectroscopy (fNIRS) hyperscanning, we…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-07-31 Mohammad Ghalavand , Javad Hatami , Seyed Kamaledin Setarehdan , Fatimah Nosrati , Hananeh Ghalavand , Ali Nikhalat-Jahromi

To date, formal models of collective intelligence have lacked a plausible mathematical description of the relationship between local-scale interactions between highly autonomous sub-system components (individuals) and global-scale behavior…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2021-07-21 Rafael Kaufmann , Pranav Gupta , Jacob Taylor

We consider a discrete-time version of a Hawkes process defined as a Poisson auto-regressive process whose parameters depend on the past of the trajectory. We allow these parameters to take on negative values, modelling inhibition. More…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-02-19 Manon Costa , Pascal Maillard , Anthony Muraro

We address the fundamental limits of learning unknown parameters of any stochastic process from time-series data, and discover exact closed-form expressions for how optimal inference scales with observation length. Given a parametrized…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-10-09 Paul M. Riechers

A fundamental functional in nonparametric statistics is the Mann-Whitney functional ${\theta} = P (X < Y )$ , which constitutes the basis for the most popular nonparametric procedures. The functional ${\theta}$ measures a location or…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-30 Jonas Beck , Patrick B. Langthaler , Arne C. Bathke

The random batch method provides an efficient algorithm for computing statistical properties of a canonical ensemble of interacting particles. In this work, we study the error estimates of the fully discrete random batch method, especially…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-01 Xuda Ye , Zhennan Zhou

We consider a system of diffusion processes that interact through their empirical mean and have a stabilizing force acting on each of them, corresponding to a bistable potential. There are three parameters that characterize the system: the…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2012-08-31 Josselin Garnier , George Papanicolaou , Tzu-Wei Yang

We consider the point process \begin{align*} \frac{1}{Z_{n}}\prod_{1 \leq j < k \leq n} |e^{i\theta_{j}}-e^{-i\theta_{k}}|^{\beta}\prod_{j=1}^{n} d\theta_{j}, \qquad \theta_{1},\ldots,\theta_{n} \in (-\pi,\pi], \quad \beta > 0, \end{align*}…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-08 Christophe Charlier

This paper proposes a non-phenomenological model of population growth that is based on the interactions between the individuals that compose the system. It is assumed that the individuals interact cooperatively and competitively. As a…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2014-02-18 Fabiano Lemes Ribeiro

Paired estimation of change in parameters of interest over a population plays a central role in several application domains including those in the social sciences, epidemiology, medicine and biology. In these domains, the size of the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-12-02 Ramya Korlakai Vinayak , Weihao Kong , Sham M. Kakade

We consider a network of interacting agents and we model the process of choice on the adoption of a given innovative product by means of statistical-mechanics tools. The modelization allows us to focus on the effects of direct interactions…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-02-24 Paolo Sgrignoli , Elena Agliari , Raffaella Burioni , Augusto Schianchi