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We observe the actions of a $K$ sub-sample of $N$ individuals up to time $t$ for some large $K<N$. We model the relationships of individuals by i.i.d. Bernoulli($p$)-random variables, where $p\in (0,1]$ is an unknown parameter. The rate of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-04-15 Chenguang Liu

We observe the actions of a $K$ sub-sample of $N$ individuals up to time $t$ for some large $K\le N$. We model the relationships of individuals by i.i.d. Bernoulli($p$)-random variables, where $p\in (0,1]$ is an unknown parameter. The rate…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-06-20 Chenguang Liu

We consider a system of $N$ Hawkes processes and observe the actions of a subpopulation of size $K \le N$ up to time $t$, where $K$ is large. The influence relationships between each pair of individuals are modeled by i.i.d.Bernoulli($p$)…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-01-06 Chenguang Liu , Liping Xu , An Zhang

Consider the problem of nonparametric estimation of an unknown $\beta$-H\"older smooth density $p_{XY}$ at a given point, where $X$ and $Y$ are both $d$ dimensional. An infinite sequence of i.i.d.\ samples $(X_i,Y_i)$ are generated…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2023-08-29 Jingbo Liu

We study a multivariate, non-linear Hawkes process $Z^N$ on a $q$-Erd\H{o}s-R\'{e}nyi-graph with $N$ nodes. Each vertex is either excitatory (probability $p$) or inhibitory (probability $1-p$). If $p\neq\tfrac12$, we take the mean-field…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-11-27 Jakob Stiefel

We consider finite systems of $N$ interacting neurons described by non-linear Hawkes processes in a mean field frame. Neurons are described by their membrane potential. They spike randomly, at a rate depending on their potential. In between…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-01 Aline Duarte , Kadmo Laxa , Eva Löcherbach , Dasha Loukianova

We study the dynamics of a spin-flip model with a mean field interaction. The system is non reversible, spacially inhomogeneous, and it is designed to model social interactions. We obtain the limiting behavior of the empirical averages in…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-05-14 Francesca Collet , Paolo Dai Pra , Elena Sartori

We generalize multivariate Hawkes processes mainly by including a dependence with respect to the age of the process, i.e. the delay since the last point. Within this class, we investigate the limit behaviour, when n goes to infinity, of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-03-16 Julien Chevallier

This paper studies a general class of stochastic population processes in which agents interact with one another over a network. Agents update their behaviors in a random and decentralized manner according to a policy that depends only on…

Probability · Mathematics 2023-07-21 Anirudh Sridhar , Soummya Kar

We investigate the asymptotic behaviour of networks of interacting non-linear Hawkes processes modeling a homogeneous population of neurons in the large population limit. In particular, we prove a functional central limit theorem for the…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-07-06 Sophie Heesen , Wilhelm Stannat

We study a multivariate, non-linear Hawkes process $Z^N$ on the complete graph with $N$ nodes. Each vertex is either excitatory (probability $p$) or inhibitory (probability $1-p$). We take the mean-field limit of $Z^N$, leading to a…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-10-14 Peter Pfaffelhuber , Stefan Rotter , Jakob Stiefel

Interacting particle systems are known for their ability to generate large-scale self-organized structures from simple local interaction rules between each agent and its neighbors. In addition to studying their emergent behavior, a main…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2024-10-21 Nathalie Ayi , Nastassia Pouradier Duteil , David Poyato

We propose a mean-field model of interacting point processes where each process has a memory of the time elapsed since its last event (age) and its recent past (leaky memory), generalizing Age-dependent Hawkes processes. The model is…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-12-07 Valentin Schmutz

In models of opinion dynamics, many parameters -- either in the form of constants or in the form of functions -- play a critical role in describing, calibrating, and forecasting how opinions change with time. When examining a model of…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2023-10-27 Weiqi Chu , Qin Li , Mason A. Porter

We study the problem of parameter estimation for large exchangeable interacting particle systems when a sample of discrete observations from a single particle is known. We propose a novel method based on martingale estimating functions…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-01-30 Grigorios A. Pavliotis , Andrea Zanoni

In the present work, we introduce a general class of mean-field interacting nonlinear Hawkes processes modelling the reciprocal interactions between two neuronal populations, one excitatory and one inhibitory. The model incorporates two…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Céline Duval , Eric Luçon , Christophe Pouzat

We consider a population of $N$ interacting neurons, represented by a multivariate Hawkes process: the firing rate of each neuron depends on the history of the connected neurons. Contrary to the mean-field framework where the interaction…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-24 Zoé Agathe-Nerine

A class of dynamic threshold models is proposed, for describing the upset of collective actions in social networks. The agents of the network have to decide whether to undertake a certain action or not. They make their decision by comparing…

Social and Information Networks · Computer Science 2016-05-23 Andrea Garulli , Antonio Giannitrapani

The propagation of chaos and associated law of large numbers for mean-field interacting age-dependent Hawkes processes (when the number of processes n goes to +$\infty$) being granted by the study performed in (Chevallier, 2015), the aim of…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-11-08 Julien Chevallier

The processes of interplant competition within a field are still poorly understood. However, they explain a large part of the heterogeneity in a field and may have longer-term consequences, especially in mixed stands. Modeling can help to…

Analysis of PDEs · Mathematics 2019-06-05 Antonin Della Noce , Amélie Mathieu , Paul-Henry Cournède
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