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Bayesian methods are increasingly being applied to parameterize mechanistic process models used in environmental prediction and forecasting. In particular, models describing ecosystem dynamics with multiple states that are linear and…

Applications · Statistics 2021-10-19 John W. Smith , Leah R. Johnson , Robert Q. Thomas

We explore probability modelling of discretization uncertainty for system states defined implicitly by ordinary or partial differential equations. Accounting for this uncertainty can avoid posterior under-coverage when likelihoods are…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-25 Oksana A. Chkrebtii , David A. Campbell , Ben Calderhead , Mark A. Girolami

The paper proposes an adaptive observer of the state vector of a nonlinear time varying system based on measurements of the output variable. The problem is solved under the assumption that the control matrix (vector) and the nonlinear…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2023-05-26 Olga Kozachek , Alexey Bobtsov , Nikolay Nikolaev

In this paper we investigate a problem of state estimation for the dynamical system described by the linear operator equation with unknown parameters in Hilbert space. We present explicit expressions for linear minimax estimation and error…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2008-10-21 Serhiy Zhuk

We consider the problem of determining the mixed quantum state of a large but finite number of identically prepared quantum systems from data obtained in a sequence of ideal (von Neumann) measurements, each performed on an individual copy…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Franz Embacher , Heide Narnhofer

Dynamical systems modeling, particularly via systems of ordinary differential equations, has been used to effectively capture the temporal behavior of different biochemical components in signal transduction networks. Despite the recent…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2023-01-06 Nathaniel J. Linden , Boris Kramer , Padmini Rangamani

Many systems in biology, physics, and engineering are modeled by nonlinear dynamical systems where the states are usually unknown and only a subset of the state variables can be physically measured. Can we understand the full system from…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-05-01 Bhargav Karamched , Jack Schmidt , David Murrugarra

A technique is introduced for estimating unknown parameters when time series of only one variable from a multivariate nonlinear dynamical system is given. The technique employs a combination of two different control methods, a linear…

chao-dyn · Physics 2009-10-31 Anil Maybhate , R. E. Amritkar

A novel approach to the problem of partial state estimation of nonlinear systems is proposed. The main idea is to translate the state estimation problem into one of estimation of constant, unknown parameters related to the systems initial…

Systems and Control · Computer Science 2016-04-08 Ortega Romeo , Bobtsov Alexey , Pyrkin Anton , Aranovskiy Stanislav

We propose a novel iterative algorithm for estimating a deterministic but unknown parameter vector in the presence of model uncertainties. This iterative algorithm is based on a system model where an overall noise term describes both, the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-11-27 Oliver Lang , Michael Lunglmayr , Mario Huemer

We derive sufficient conditions for the solvability of the state estimation problem for a class of nonlinear control time-varying systems which includes those, whose dynamics have triangular structure. The state estimation is exhibited by…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2018-06-07 John Tsinias , Constantinos Kitsos

Providing a metric of uncertainty alongside a state estimate is often crucial when tracking a dynamical system. Classic state estimators, such as the Kalman filter (KF), provide a time-dependent uncertainty measure from knowledge of the…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2022-02-10 Itzik Klein , Guy Revach , Nir Shlezinger , Jonas E. Mehr , Ruud J. G. van Sloun , Yonina. C. Eldar

This paper explores the observability and estimation capability of dynamical systems using predominantly relative measurements of the system's state-space variables, with minimal to no reliance on absolute measurements of these variables.…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-10-29 Ioannis Raptis

Data-driven modeling is useful for reconstructing nonlinear dynamical systems when the underlying process is unknown or too expensive to compute. Having reliable uncertainty assessment of the forecast enables tools to be deployed to predict…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-11-01 Mengyang Gu , Yizi Lin , Victor Chang Lee , Diana Qiu

The analysis of the time evolution of unstable states which are linear superposition of other, observable, states can, in principle, be carried out in two distinct, non-equivalent ways. One of the methods, usually employed for the neutral…

High Energy Physics - Phenomenology · Physics 2009-11-07 Marek Nowakowski

We consider the problem of determining the state of a quantum system given one or more readings of the expectation value of an observable. The system is assumed to be a finite dimensional quantum control system for which we can influence…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2009-11-10 Domenico D'Alessandro

Representing and quantifying uncertainty in physical parameterisations is a central challenge in weather and climate modelling, and approaches are often developed separately for different timescales. Here, we introduce a unified framework…

Atmospheric and Oceanic Physics · Physics 2025-12-01 Laura A. Mansfield , Hannah M. Christensen

In this paper an adaptive state observer and parameter identification algorithm for a linear time-varying system are developed under condition that the state matrix of the system contains unknown time-varying parameters of a known form. The…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2024-02-22 Olga Kozachek , Nikolay Nikolaev , Olga Slita , Alexey Bobtsov

We propose a moving horizon estimation scheme to estimate the states and the unknown constant parameters of general nonlinear uncertain discrete-time systems. The proposed framework and analysis explicitly do not involve the a priori…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-12-22 Julian D. Schiller , Matthias A. Müller

A commonly used approach to study stability in a complex system is by analyzing the Jacobian matrix at an equilibrium point of a dynamical system. The equilibrium point is stable if all eigenvalues have negative real parts. Here, by…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2016-09-02 James P. L. Tan