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Counterfactual inference aims to estimate the counterfactual outcome at the individual level given knowledge of an observed treatment and the factual outcome, with broad applications in fields such as epidemiology, econometrics, and…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-10-06 Peng Wu , Haoxuan Li , Chunyuan Zheng , Yan Zeng , Jiawei Chen , Yang Liu , Ruocheng Guo , Kun Zhang

In this paper we consider finite conditional random quantities and conditional previsions assessments in the setting of coherence. We use a suitable representation for conditional random quantities; in particular the indicator of a…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-04-13 Angelo Gilio , Giuseppe Sanfilippo

Mark Kac gave one of the first results analyzing random polynomial zeros. He considered the case of independent standard normal coefficients and was able to show that the expected number of real zeros for a degree n polynomial is on the…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-07-20 Jeffrey Matayoshi

In this paper, we introduce the notion of a ``pairwise independent correlation gap'' for set functions with random elements. The pairwise independent correlation gap is defined as the ratio of the maximum expected value of a set function…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-02-27 Arjun Ramachandra , Karthik Natarajan

We discuss a new stochastic ordering for the sequence of independent random variables. It generalizes the stochastic precedence order that is defined for two random variables to the case $n>2$. All conventional stochastic orders are…

Applications · Statistics 2018-12-11 Maxim Finkelstein , Nil Kamal Hazra

We consider the problem of learning a counterfactually fair regressor. We adopt a causal uncertainty view in which counterfactual fairness is defined with resampled noise. We focus on obtaining theoretical fairness guarantees for a new…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-05-28 M. Generali Lince , S. Gaucher , J-J. Vie , P. Loiseau

Predictions in the form of sets of probability distributions, so-called credal sets, provide a suitable means to represent a learner's epistemic uncertainty. In this paper, we propose a theoretically grounded approach to credal prediction…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-12-16 Timo Löhr , Paul Hofman , Felix Mohr , Eyke Hüllermeier

Pearson's correlation is one of the most common measures of linear dependence. Recently, Bernardo (2015) introduced a flexible class of priors to study this measure in a Bayesian setting. For this large class of priors we show that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2017-05-01 Alexander Ly , Maarten Marsman , Eric-Jan Wagenmakers

Conformal prediction has been a very popular method of distribution-free predictive inference in recent years in machine learning and statistics. Its popularity stems from the fact that it works as a wrapper around any prediction algorithm…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-07 Arun Kumar Kuchibhotla

Testing the independence between random vectors is a fundamental problem in statistics. Distance correlation, a recently popular dependence measure, is universally consistent for testing independence against all distributions with finite…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-08-22 Yuwei Ke , Hok Kan Ling , Yanglei Song

Conformal prediction is a powerful framework for distribution-free uncertainty quantification. The standard approach to conformal prediction relies on comparing the ranks of prediction scores: under exchangeability, the rank of a future…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2025-05-07 Etienne Gauthier , Francis Bach , Michael I. Jordan

We introduce the concept of forward rank-dependent performance processes, extending the original notion to forward criteria that incorporate probability distortions. A fundamental challenge is how to reconcile the time-consistent nature of…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-04-04 Xue Dong He , Moris S. Strub , Thaleia Zariphopoulou

In this paper we provide a theoretical analysis of counterfactual invariance. We present a variety of existing definitions, study how they relate to each other and what their graphical implications are. We then turn to the current major…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-07-18 Jake Fawkes , Robin J. Evans

In this paper, we investigate the problem of deciding whether two standard normal random vectors $\mathsf{X}\in\mathbb{R}^{n}$ and $\mathsf{Y}\in\mathbb{R}^{n}$ are correlated or not. This is formulated as a hypothesis testing problem,…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2024-07-26 Dor Elimelech , Wasim Huleihel

This article proposes a new index for quantifying the degree of dependence between random vectors. The index takes values in [0,1] and equals zero if and only if the random vectors are sub-independent. Unlike mere uncorrelatedness,…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-19 Chuancun yin

This paper studies a stylized, yet natural, learning-to-rank problem and points out the critical incorrectness of a widely used nearest neighbor algorithm. We consider a model with $n$ agents (users) $\{x_i\}_{i \in [n]}$ and $m$…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2018-07-11 Ao Liu , Qiong Wu , Zhenming Liu , Lirong Xia

We introduce a new concept of rank - relative rank associated to a filtered collection of polynomials. When the filtration is trivial our relative rank coincides with Schmidt rank (also called strength). We also introduce the notion of…

Commutative Algebra · Mathematics 2024-03-07 Amichai Lampert , Tamar Ziegler

Baker (2008) introduced a new class of bivariate distributions based on distributions of order statistics from two independent samples of size n. Lin-Huang (2010) discovered an important property of Baker's distribution and showed that the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2011-03-24 I. Bairamov , K. Bayramoglu

It is known that Hall's sextic residue sequence has some desirable features of pseudorandomness: an ideal two-level autocorrelation and linear complexity of the order of magnitude of its period $p$. Here we study its correlation measure of…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2019-10-31 Hassan Aly , Arne Winterhof

In this paper, a new kind of resultant, called the determinantal resultant, is introduced. This operator computes the projection of a determinantal variety under suitable hypothesis. As a direct generalization of the resultant of a very…

Algebraic Geometry · Mathematics 2007-05-23 Laurent Buse