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Linear and Quadratic Discriminant Analysis are well-known classical methods but can heavily suffer from non-Gaussian distributions and/or contaminated datasets, mainly because of the underlying Gaussian assumption that is not robust. To…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2022-01-11 Pierre Houdouin , Frédéric Pascal , Matthieu Jonckheere , Andrew Wang

We develop a novel stochastic derivative estimation framework for sample performance functions that are discontinuous in the parameter of interest, based on the multidimensional Leibniz integral rule. When discontinuities arise from…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-11-04 Xingyu Ren , Michael C. Fu , Pierre L'Ecuyer

Constructing confidence intervals for the coefficients of high-dimensional sparse linear models remains a challenge, mainly because of the complicated limiting distributions of the widely used estimators, such as the lasso. Several methods…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-03-17 Hanzhong Liu , Xin Xu , Jingyi Jessica Li

While most power system small-signal stability assessments rely on the reduced Jacobian, which depends non-linearly on the states, uncertain operating points introduce nontrivial hurdles in certifying the system's stability. In this paper,…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2019-10-04 Parikshit Pareek , Hung D. Nguyen

Researchers frequently test and improve model fit by holding a sample constant and varying the model. We propose methods to test and improve sample fit by holding a model constant and varying the sample. Much as the bootstrap is a…

Econometrics · Economics 2022-09-15 Gabriel Okasa , Kenneth A. Younge

This paper presents a new approach to a robust Gaussian process (GP) regression. Most existing approaches replace an outlier-prone Gaussian likelihood with a non-Gaussian likelihood induced from a heavy tail distribution, such as the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-01-15 Chiwoo Park , David J. Borth , Nicholas S. Wilson , Chad N. Hunter , Fritz J. Friedersdorf

The partially linear binary choice model can be used for estimating structural equations where nonlinearity may appear due to diminishing marginal returns, different life cycle regimes, or hectic physical phenomena. The inference procedure…

Econometrics · Economics 2023-12-01 Wenzheng Gao , Zhenting Sun

Traditional centralized stability analysis struggles with scalability in large complex modern power grids. This two-part paper proposes a compositional and equilibrium-free approach to analyzing power system stability. In Part I, we prove…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-06-16 Peng Yang , Xiaoyu Peng , Xi Ru , Hua Geng , Feng Liu

This paper develops a new approach to the estimation of the degree of boundedness or stability of multidimensional nonlinear systems with time-dependent nonperiodic coefficients-an essential task in various engineering and natural science…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2022-06-16 Mark A. Pinsky

In this brief note, we establish a novel criterion for robustness of global asymptotic stability of zero solution of LTV system $\dot x=A(t)x$ in the presence of possibly unbounded perturbations (external disturbances). To prove the result,…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2021-01-05 Robert Vrabel

We provide the first global model recovery results for the IRLS (iteratively reweighted least squares) heuristic for robust regression problems. IRLS is known to offer excellent performance, despite bad initializations and data corruption,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-06-26 Bhaskar Mukhoty , Govind Gopakumar , Prateek Jain , Purushottam Kar

The latent class model is a powerful unsupervised clustering algorithm for categorical data. Many statistics exist to test the fit of the latent class model. However, traditional methods to evaluate those fit statistics are not always…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-30 Geert H. van Kollenburg , Joris Mulder , Jeroen K. Vermunt

Mixtures of Linear Regressions (MLR) is an important mixture model with many applications. In this model, each observation is generated from one of the several unknown linear regression components, where the identity of the generated…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-03-31 Yuanzhi Li , Yingyu Liang

We propose a novel bootstrap test of a dense model, namely factor regression, against a sparse plus dense alternative augmenting model with sparse idiosyncratic components. The asymptotic properties of the test are established under time…

Econometrics · Economics 2024-07-11 Jad Beyhum , Jonas Striaukas

Gaussian processes (GPs) are non-parametric probabilistic regression models that are popular due to their flexibility, data efficiency, and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, standard GP models assume homoskedastic Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Sebastian Ament , Elizabeth Santorella , David Eriksson , Ben Letham , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

Statistical inference of multiple parameters often involves a preliminary parameter selection stage. The selection stage has an impact on subsequent estimation, for example by introducing a selection bias. The post-selection maximum…

Signal Processing · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2020-04-22 Nadav Harel , Tirza Routtenberg

Bayesian synthetic likelihood (BSL) is now a well established method for performing approximate Bayesian parameter estimation for simulation-based models that do not possess a tractable likelihood function. BSL approximates an intractable…

Computation · Statistics 2019-10-04 Ziwen An , David J. Nott , Christopher Drovandi

We present a new finite-time analysis of the estimation error of the Ordinary Least Squares (OLS) estimator for stable linear time-invariant systems. We characterize the number of observed samples (the length of the observed trajectory)…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-03-27 Yassir Jedra , Alexandre Proutiere

Panel data of our interest consist of a moderate or relatively large number of panels, while the panels contain a small number of observations. This paper establishes testing procedures to detect a possible common change in means of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-08-07 Barbora Peštová , Michal Pešta

Principal component regression (PCR) is a two-stage procedure that selects some principal components and then constructs a regression model regarding them as new explanatory variables. Note that the principal components are obtained from…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2015-05-12 Shuichi Kawano , Hironori Fujisawa , Toyoyuki Takada , Toshihiko Shiroishi