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We study binary state contagion dynamics on a social network where nodes act in response to the average state of their neighborhood. We model the competing tendencies of imitation and non-conformity by incorporating an off-threshold into…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-03-13 Kameron Decker Harris

The spread of an infectious disease is known to change people's behavior, which in turn affects the spread of disease. Adaptive network models that account for both epidemic and behavior change have found oscillations, but in an extremely…

Quantitative Methods · Quantitative Biology 2018-04-16 N. Sherborne , K. B. Blyuss , I. Z. Kiss

We propose a network behavioral-feedback Susceptible-Infected-Recovered (SIR) epidemic model in which the interaction matrix describing the infection rates across subpopulations depends in feedback on the current epidemic state. This model…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2025-07-08 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

Throughout the course of an epidemic, the rate at which disease spreads varies with behavioral changes, the emergence of new disease variants, and the introduction of mitigation policies. Estimating such changes in transmission rates can…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-11-29 Jenny Huang , Raphaël Morsomme , David Dunson , Jason Xu

We extend a recent investigation by Meehan et al. (2019) regarding the global stability properties of the general Kermack-McKendrick (renewal) model to the multi-strain case. We demonstrate that the basic reproduction number of each strain…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2019-07-03 Michael T. Meehan , Daniel G. Cocks , Emma S. McBryde

The spread of an epidemic disease and the population's collective behavioural response are deeply intertwined, influencing each other's evolution. Such a co-evolution typically has been overlooked in mathematical models, limiting their…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-10-24 Kathinka Frieswijk , Lorenzo Zino , Mengbin Ye , Alessandro Rizzo , Ming Cao

This paper examines an epidemic patch model with mass-action transmission mechanism and asymmetric connectivity matrix. Results on the global dynamics of solutions and the spatial structures of endemic solutions are obtained. In particular,…

Classical Analysis and ODEs · Mathematics 2023-11-14 Rachidi Salako , Yixiang Wu

This paper considers a stochastic SIR (susceptible$\to$infective$\to$removed) epidemic model in which individuals may make infectious contacts in two ways, both within `households' (which for ease of exposition are assumed to have equal…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-03-13 Frank Ball , David Sirl , Pieter Trapman

Studies about epidemic modelling have been conducted since before 19th century. Both deterministic and stochastiic model were used to capture the dynamic of infection in the population. The purpose of this project is to investigate the…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2018-03-06 Kurnia Susvitasari

We study the threshold of epidemic models in quenched networks with degree distribution given by a power-law. For the susceptible-infected-susceptible (SIS) model the activity threshold lambda_c vanishes in the large size limit on any…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2010-12-10 Claudio Castellano , Romualdo Pastor-Satorras

We study a susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) epidemic model on a network of $n$ interacting subpopulations. We analyze the transient and asymptotic behavior of the infection dynamics in each node of the network. In contrast to the…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-03-18 Martina Alutto , Leonardo Cianfanelli , Giacomo Como , Fabio Fagnani

Mathematical models are formal and simplified representations of the knowledge related to a phenomenon. In classical epidemic models, a neglected aspect is the heterogeneity of disease transmission and progression linked to the viral load…

Physics and Society · Physics 2022-05-10 Rossella Della Marca , Nadia Loy , Andrea Tosin

In the standard SIR model, infected vertices infect their neighbors at rate $\lambda$ independently across each edge. They also recover at rate $\gamma$. In this work we consider the SIR-$\omega$ model where the graph structure itself…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-05-16 Wenze Chen , Yuewen Hou , Dong Yao

In this paper, we study an analytically tractable SIS model with a non-linear incidence rate for the number of infectious individuals described through a stochastic differential equation (SDE). We guarantee the existence of a positive…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-04-23 J. S. Builes , Cristian F. Coletti , Leon A. Valencia

Current modeling of infectious diseases allows for the study of complex and realistic scenarios that go from the population to the individual level of description. However, most epidemic models assume that the spreading process takes place…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-04-15 Joaquín Sanz , Cheng-Yi Xia , Sandro Meloni , Yamir Moreno

A model for epidemics on an adaptive network is considered. Nodes follow an SIRS (susceptible-infective-recovered-susceptible) pattern. Connections are rewired to break links from non-infected nodes to infected nodes and are reformed to…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2009-11-13 Leah B. Shaw , Ira B. Schwartz

Epidemic spreading and cascading failure are two important dynamical processes over complex networks. They have been investigated separately for a long history. But in the real world, these two dynamics sometimes may interact with each…

Physics and Society · Physics 2015-06-19 Lurong Jiang , Xinyu Jin , Yongxiang Xia , Bo Ouyang , Duanpo Wu

The SIRS model with constant vaccination and immunity waning rates is well known to show a transition from a disease-free to an endemic equilibrium as the basic reproduction number $r_0$ is raised above threshold. It is shown that this…

Populations and Evolution · Quantitative Biology 2024-10-28 Florian Nill

In this paper, an epidemic model with spatial dependence is studied and results regarding its stability and numerical approximation are presented. We consider a generalization of the original Kermack and McKendrick model in which the size…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2022-04-05 Bálint Takács , Yiannis Hadjimichael

We propose a compartmental model for a disease with temporary immunity and secondary infections. From our assumptions on the parameters involved in the model, the system naturally evolves in three time scales. We characterize the equilibria…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2024-04-10 Panagiotis Kaklamanos , Andrea Pugliese , Mattia Sensi , Sara Sottile
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