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This study outlines a comprehensive methodology utilizing copulas to discern inconsistencies in the behavior exhibited by pairs of financial assets. It introduces a robust approach to establishing the interrelationship between the returns…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2023-12-05 Alexander Shulzhenko

A typical situation in competing risks analysis is that the researcher is only interested in a subset of risks. This paper considers a depending competing risks model with the distribution of one risk being a parametric or semi-parametric…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-05-13 Simon M. S. Lo , Ralf A. Wilke

We propose a framework for determining whether the causal dependence of an outcome $Y$ on a covariate $X$ changes at a given time point, given confounders $\boldsymbol{Z}$. For instance, in financial markets, the effect of a market…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-08 Shakeel Gavioli-Akilagun , Kieran Wood , Francesco Quinzan

A framework for quantifying dependence between random vectors is introduced. With the notion of a collapsing function, random vectors are summarized by single random variables, called collapsed random variables in the framework. Using this…

Methodology · Statistics 2018-01-12 Marius Hofert , Wayne Oldford , Avinash Prasad , Mu Zhu

Prior elicitation methods for Bayesian analyses transfigure prior information into quantifiable prior distributions. Recently, methods that leverage copulas have been proposed to accommodate more flexible dependence structures when…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-11-22 Luke Hagar , Nathaniel T. Stevens

Interference occurs when the potential outcomes of a unit depend on the treatment of others. Interference can be highly heterogeneous, where treating certain individuals might have a larger effect on the population's overall outcome. A…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-04-11 Samantha G Dean , Georgia Papadogeorgou , Laura Forastiere

The European insurance sector will soon be faced with the application of Solvency 2 regulation norms. It will create a real change in risk management practices. The ORSA approach of the second pillar makes the capital allocation an…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-15 Véronique Maume-Deschamps , Didier Rullière , Khalil Said

Multi-agent imitation learning aims to train multiple agents to perform tasks from demonstrations by learning a mapping between observations and actions, which is essential for understanding physical, social, and team-play systems. However,…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-07-13 Hongwei Wang , Lantao Yu , Zhangjie Cao , Stefano Ermon

In actuarial research, a task of particular interest and importance is to predict the loss cost for individual risks so that informative decisions are made in various insurance operations such as underwriting, ratemaking, and capital…

Applications · Statistics 2019-10-15 Peng Shi , Zifeng Zhao

Uncertain information on input parameters of reliability models is usually modeled by considering these parameters as random, and described by marginal distributions and a dependence structure of these variables. In numerous real-world…

Applications · Statistics 2018-04-30 Nazih Benoumechiara , Bertrand Michel , Philippe Saint-Pierre , Nicolas Bousquet

Quantitative studies in many fields involve the analysis of multivariate data of diverse types, including measurements that we may consider binary, ordinal and continuous. One approach to the analysis of such mixed data is to use a copula…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-06-13 Peter D. Hoff

When resources are scarce, an allocation policy is needed to decide who receives a resource. This problem occurs, for instance, when allocating scarce medical resources and is often solved using modern ML methods. This paper introduces…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-20 Niclas Boehmer , Yash Nair , Sanket Shah , Lucas Janson , Aparna Taneja , Milind Tambe

This article proposes a bivariate Simplex distribution for modeling continuous outcomes constrained to the interval $(0,1)$, which can represent proportions, rates, or indices. We derive analytical expressions to calculate the dependence…

In this paper we develop a novel methodology for estimation of risk capital allocation. The methodology is rooted in the theory of risk measures. We work within a general, but tractable class of law-invariant coherent risk measures, with a…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2019-11-25 Tomasz R. Bielecki , Igor Cialenco , Marcin Pitera , Thorsten Schmidt

We describe a simple method for making inference on a functional of a multivariate distribution. The method is based on a copula representation of the multivariate distribution and it is based on the properties of an Approximate Bayesian…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-07-18 Clara Grazian , Brunero Liseo

The paper presents a new copula based method for measuring dependence between random variables. Our approach extends the Maximum Mean Discrepancy to the copula of the joint distribution. We prove that this approach has several advantageous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2019-08-15 Barnabas Poczos , Zoubin Ghahramani , Jeff Schneider

Many analyses of resource-allocation problems employ simplistic models of the population. Using the example of a resource-allocation problem of Marecek et al. [arXiv:1406.7639], we introduce rather a general behavioural model, where the…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-09-09 Jonathan Epperlein , Jakub Marecek

Randomized controlled trials are not only the golden standard in medicine and vaccine trials but have spread to many other disciplines like behavioral economics, making it an important interdisciplinary tool for scientists. When designing…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-30 Tassilo Schwarz

Several collective risk models have recently been proposed by relaxing the widely used but controversial assumption of independence between claim frequency and severity. Approaches include the bivariate copula model, random effect model,…

Applications · Statistics 2019-06-11 Rosy Oh , Jae Youn Ahn , Woojoo Lee

In this paper, we derive copula-based and empirical dependency models (DMs) for simulating non-independent variables, and then propose a new way for determining the distribution of the model outputs conditional on every subset of inputs.…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-09-12 Matieyendou Lamboni