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The fractional Brownian motion (fBm) is parameterized by the Hurst exponent $H\in(0,1)$, which determines the dependence structure and regularity of sample paths. Empirical findings suggest that the Hurst exponent may be non-constant in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-11-14 Fabian Mies , Benedikt Wilkens

For an arbitrary diffusion process $X$ with time-homogeneous drift and variance parameters $\mu(x)$ and $\sigma^2(x)$, let $V_\varepsilon$ be $1/\varepsilon$ times the total time $X(t)$ spends in the strip…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-03-03 Nils Lid Hjort , Rafail Zalmonovich Khasminskii

The expected signature uniquely determines the law of a random rough path under a moment-growth condition, yet finite-sample bounds for estimating it from a single long dependent trajectory have been lacking. We study a stationary…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-21 Bryson Schenck

In this paper, we show how concentration inequalities for Gaussian quadratic form can be used to propose exact confidence intervals of the Hurst index parametrizing a fractional Brownian motion. Both cases where the scaling parameter of the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2010-06-16 Jean-Christophe Breton , Jean-François Coeurjolly

This article investigates several properties related to densities of solutions X to differential equations driven by a fractional Brownian motion with Hurst parameter H>1/4. We first determine conditions for strict positivity of the density…

Probability · Mathematics 2014-01-16 Fabrice Baudoin , Eulalia Nualart , Cheng Ouyang , Samy Tindel

We study the problem of parametric estimation for continuously observed stochastic processes driven by additive small fractional Brownian motion with Hurst index 0<H<1/2 and 1/2<H<1. Under some assumptions on the drift coefficient, we…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2022-01-04 Shohei Nakajima , Yasutaka Shimizu

This contribution establishes exact tail asymptotics of $\sup_{(s,t)\in\mathbf{E}}$ $X(s,t)$ for a large class of nonhomogeneous Gaussian random fields $X$ on a bounded convex set $\mathbf{E}\subset\mathbb{R}^2$, with variance function that…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-03-16 Krzysztof Dȩbicki , Enkelejd Hashorva , Lanpeng Ji

We study the problem of parameter estimation for the homogenization limit of multiscale systems involving fractional dynamics. In the case of stochastic multiscale systems driven by Brownian motion, it has been shown that in order for the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-05-14 Pablo Ramses Alonso-Martin , Horatio Boedihardjo , Anastasia Papavasiliou

We construct a canonical geometric rough path over $d$-dimensional tempered fractional Brownian motion (tfBm) for any Hurst parameter $H > 1/4$ and tempering parameter $\lambda > 0$. The main challenge stems from the non-homogeneous nature…

Probability · Mathematics 2026-04-28 Atef Lechiheb

We establish large deviations properties valid for almost every sample path of a class of stationary mixing processes $(X_1,..., X_n,...)$. These properties are inherited from those of $S_n=\sum_{i=1}^nX_i$ and describe how the local…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-12-08 Julien Barral , Patrick Loiseau

The main goal of this work is to provide sample-path estimates for the solution of slowly time-dependent SPDEs perturbed by a cylindrical fractional Brownian motion. Our strategy is similar to the approach by Berglund and Nader for…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-02-25 Nils Berglund , Alexandra Blessing

We provide explicit series expansions to certain stochastic path-dependent integral equations in terms of the path signature of the time augmented driving Brownian motion. Our framework encompasses a large class of stochastic linear…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-11-04 Eduardo Abi Jaber , Louis-Amand Gérard , Yuxing Huang

We consider $n$ independent, identically distributed one-dimensional Brownian motions, $B_j(t)$, where $B_j(0)$ has a rapidly decreasing, smooth density function $f$. The empirical quantiles, or pointwise order statistics, are denoted by…

Probability · Mathematics 2010-08-19 Jason Swanson

We consider fractional Brownian motion with the Hurst parameters from (1/2,1). We found that the increment of a fractional Brownian motion can be represented as the sum of a two independent Gaussian processes one of which is smooth in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-10-14 Nikolai Dokuchaev

We study the strong approximation of a rough volatility model, in which the log-volatility is given by a fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process with Hurst parameter $H<1/2$. Our methods are based on an equidistant discretization of the…

Probability · Mathematics 2016-06-14 Andreas Neuenkirch , Taras Shalaiko

This study in centered on models accounting for stochastic deformations of sample paths of random walks, embedded either in $\mathbb{Z}^2$ or in $\mathbb{Z}^3$. These models are immersed in multi-type particle systems with exclusion.…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2007-05-23 Guy Fayolle , Cyril Furtlehner

Under the key assumption of finite {\rho}-variation, {\rho}\in[1,2), of the covariance of the underlying Gaussian process, sharp a.s. convergence rates for approximations of Gaussian rough paths are established. When applied to Brownian…

Probability · Mathematics 2012-05-07 Peter Friz , Sebastian Riedel

Fractional stochastic volatility models have been widely used to capture the non-Markovian structure revealed from financial time series of realized volatility. On the other hand, empirical studies have identified scales in stock price…

Mathematical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2019-01-25 Jean-Pierre Fouque , Ruimeng Hu

We estimate the Hurst parameter $H$ of a fractional Brownian motion from discrete noisy data observed along a high frequency sampling scheme. The presence of systematic experimental noise makes recovery of $H$ more difficult since relevant…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2007-12-18 Arnaud Gloter , Marc Hoffmann

One of the main problem in prediction theory of discrete-time second-order stationary processes $X(t)$ is to describe the asymptotic behavior of the best linear mean squared prediction error in predicting $X(0)$ given $ X(t),$ $-n\le…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-02 Nikolay M. Babayan , Mamikon S. Ginovyan , Murad S. Taqqu
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