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Guiding behavior requires the brain to make predictions about future sensory inputs. Here we show that efficient predictive computation starts at the earliest stages of the visual system. We estimate how much information groups of retinal…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2013-07-02 Stephanie E. Palmer , Olivier Marre , Michael J. Berry , William Bialek

Human movement prediction is difficult as humans naturally exhibit complex behaviors that can change drastically from one environment to the next. In order to alleviate this issue, we propose a prediction framework that decouples short-term…

Robotics · Computer Science 2020-03-19 Philipp Kratzer , Marc Toussaint , Jim Mainprice

We all are fascinated by the phenomena of intelligent behavior, as generated both by our own brains and by the brains of other animals. As physicists we would like to understand if there are some general principles that govern the structure…

Biological Physics · Physics 2007-05-23 William Bialek

The mammalian brain is a metabolically expensive device, and evolutionary pressures have presumably driven it to make productive use of its resources. For sensory areas, this concept has been expressed more formally as an optimality…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2016-03-02 Deep Ganguli , Eero P. Simoncelli

Predicting human motion in unstructured and dynamic environments is difficult as humans naturally exhibit complex behaviors that can change drastically from one environment to the next. In order to alleviate this issue, we propose to encode…

Robotics · Computer Science 2019-07-01 Philipp Kratzer , Marc Toussaint , Jim Mainprice

Data is scaling exponentially in fields ranging from genomics to neuroscience to economics. A central question is: can modern machine learning methods be applied to construct predictive models of natural systems like cells and brains based…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2018-08-17 Audrey Huang , Benjamin Sheldan , David A. Sivak , Matt Thomson

Does the brain construct an efficient representation of the sensory world? We review progress on this question, focusing on a series of experiments in the last decade which use fly vision as a model system in which theory and experiment can…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2007-12-31 William Bialek , Rob R. de Ruyter van Steveninck , Naftali Tishby

Certain biological neurons demonstrate a remarkable capability to optimally compress the history of sensory inputs while being maximally informative about the future. In this work, we investigate if the same can be said of artificial…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2020-02-12 Zhe Dong , Deniz Oktay , Ben Poole , Alexander A. Alemi

While a great deal is known about the way the retina processes simple stimuli, our understanding of how the retina processes natural stimuli is still limited. Here we highlight some of the challenges that remain to be addressed to…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-09-03 Samuele Virgili , Olivier Marre

Humans and animals have a rich and flexible understanding of the physical world, which enables them to infer the underlying dynamical trajectories of objects and events, plausible future states, and use that to plan and anticipate the…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2023-10-26 Aran Nayebi , Rishi Rajalingham , Mehrdad Jazayeri , Guangyu Robert Yang

Many organisms, from flies to humans, use visual signals to estimate their motion through the world. To explore the motion estimation problem, we have constructed a camera/gyroscope system that allows us to sample, at high temporal…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2021-01-13 Shiva R. Sinha , William Bialek , Rob R. de Ruyter van Steveninck

Generating accurate and efficient predictions for the motion of the humans present in the scene is key to the development of effective motion planning algorithms for robots moving in promiscuous areas, where wrong planning decisions could…

The nervous system solves a wide variety of problems in signal processing. In many cases the performance of the nervous system is so good that it apporaches fundamental physical limits, such as the limits imposed by diffraction and photon…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-22 Marc Potters , William Bialek

In a constantly changing world, animals must account for environmental volatility when making decisions. To appropriately discount older, irrelevant information, they need to learn the rate at which the environment changes. We develop an…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2017-01-12 Adrian E Radillo , Alan Veliz-Cuba , Kresimir Josic , Zachary P Kilpatrick

Natural language provides a widely accessible and expressive interface for robotic agents. To understand language in complex environments, agents must reason about the full range of language inputs and their correspondence to the world.…

Computation and Language · Computer Science 2017-10-03 Stephanie Zhou , Alane Suhr , Yoav Artzi

One of the central aims of neuroscience is to reliably predict the behavioral response of an organism using its neural activity. If possible, this implies we can causally manipulate the neural response and design brain-computer-interface…

Neurons and Cognition · Quantitative Biology 2025-04-01 Jayanth R Taranath

It is increasingly common to encounter time-varying random fields on networks (metabolic networks, sensor arrays, distributed computing, etc.). This paper considers the problem of optimal, nonlinear prediction of these fields, showing from…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-02-17 Cosma Rohilla Shalizi

The ability of predicting the future is important for intelligent systems, e.g. autonomous vehicles and robots to plan early and make decisions accordingly. Future scene parsing and optical flow estimation are two key tasks that help agents…

Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition · Computer Science 2017-11-10 Xiaojie Jin , Huaxin Xiao , Xiaohui Shen , Jimei Yang , Zhe Lin , Yunpeng Chen , Zequn Jie , Jiashi Feng , Shuicheng Yan

Physical reasoning requires forward prediction: the ability to forecast what will happen next given some initial world state. We study the performance of state-of-the-art forward-prediction models in the complex physical-reasoning tasks of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2021-03-31 Rohit Girdhar , Laura Gustafson , Aaron Adcock , Laurens van der Maaten

Agents acting in the natural world aim at selecting appropriate actions based on noisy and partial sensory observations. Many behaviors leading to decision mak- ing and action selection in a closed loop setting are naturally phrased within…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2014-06-30 Alex Susemihl , Ron Meir , Manfred Opper
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