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We introduce a novel class of Bayesian mixtures for normal linear regression models which incorporates a further Gaussian random component for the distribution of the predictor variables. The proposed cluster-weighted model aims to…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-05-26 Panagiotis Papastamoulis , Konstantinos Perrakis

Ideally, a meta-analysis will summarize data from several unbiased studies. Here we consider the less than ideal situation in which contributing studies may be compromised by measurement error. Measurement error affects every study design,…

Nested sampling is an efficient algorithm for the calculation of the Bayesian evidence and posterior parameter probability distributions. It is based on the step-by-step exploration of the parameter space by Monte Carlo sampling with a…

Computation · Statistics 2024-01-30 M. Trassinelli , Pierre Ciccodicola

In this project we are interested in performing clustering of observations such that the cluster membership is influenced by a set of predictors. To that end, we employ the Bayesian nonparameteric Common Atoms Model, which is a nested…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-12-11 Md Yasin Ali Parh , Jeremy T. Gaskins

Recent work on overfitting Bayesian mixtures of distributions offers a powerful framework for clustering multivariate data using a latent Gaussian model which resembles the factor analysis model. The flexibility provided by overfitting…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-29 Panagiotis Papastamoulis

The behavior of Bayesian model averaging (BMA) for the normal linear regression model in the presence of influential observations that contribute to model misfit is investigated. Remedies to attenuate the potential negative impacts of such…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-11-23 Christopher M. Hans , Mario Peruggia , Junyan Wang

Spectral clustering views the similarity matrix as a weighted graph, and partitions the data by minimizing a graph-cut loss. Since it minimizes the across-cluster similarity, there is no need to model the distribution within each cluster.…

Methodology · Statistics 2023-04-14 Leo L. Duan , Arkaprava Roy

We propose a method for estimating the posterior distribution of a standard geostatistical model. After choosing the model formulation and specifying a prior, we use normal mixture densities to approximate the posterior distribution. The…

Methodology · Statistics 2014-09-10 Zepu Zhang

Parametric density estimation, for example as Gaussian distribution, is the base of the field of statistics. Machine learning requires inexpensive estimation of much more complex densities, and the basic approach is relatively costly…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-21 Jarek Duda

Variable clustering is important for explanatory analysis. However, only few dedicated methods for variable clustering with the Gaussian graphical model have been proposed. Even more severe, small insignificant partial correlations due to…

Applications · Statistics 2018-06-18 Daniel Andrade , Akiko Takeda , Kenji Fukumizu

In order to cluster or partition data, we often use Expectation-and-Maximization (EM) or Variational approximation with a Gaussian Mixture Model (GMM), which is a parametric probability density function represented as a weighted sum of…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2013-07-04 Ji Won Yoon

We present a first procedure that can estimate -- with statistical consistency guarantees -- any local-maxima of a density, under benign distributional conditions. The procedure estimates all such local maxima, or $\textit{modal-sets}$, of…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-05-30 Heinrich Jiang , Samory Kpotufe

Boosting methods are widely used in statistical learning to deal with high-dimensional data due to their variable selection feature. However, those methods lack straightforward ways to construct estimators for the precision of the…

Methodology · Statistics 2021-06-10 Boyao Zhang , Colin Griesbach , Cora Kim , Nadia Müller-Voggel , Elisabeth Bergherr

The mixture models have become widely used in clustering, given its probabilistic framework in which its based, however, for modern databases that are characterized by their large size, these models behave disappointingly in setting out the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-02-01 Abdelghafour Talibi , Boujemâa Achchab , Rafik Lasri

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models are common for modeling complex data. While these models are well-suited for density estimation, recent results proved posterior inconsistency of the number of clusters when the true number of…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2024-05-31 Louise Alamichel , Daria Bystrova , Julyan Arbel , Guillaume Kon Kam King

We develop Bayesian models for density regression with emphasis on discrete outcomes. The problem of density regression is approached by considering methods for multivariate density estimation of mixed scale variables, and obtaining…

Methodology · Statistics 2019-08-14 Georgios Papageorgiou

We consider the problem of Bayesian density estimation on the positive semiline for possibly unbounded densities. We propose a hierarchical Bayesian estimator based on the gamma mixture prior which can be viewed as a location mixture. We…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2020-02-25 Natalia Bochkina , Judith Rousseau

Although by now the ensemble-based probabilistic forecasting is the most advanced approach to weather prediction, ensemble forecasts still might suffer from lack of calibration and/or display systematic bias, thus require some…

Applications · Statistics 2024-09-18 Ágnes Baran , Sándor Baran

Ensemble methods combine the predictions of multiple models to improve performance, but they require significantly higher computation costs at inference time. To avoid these costs, multiple neural networks can be combined into one by…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-05-07 Alexia Jolicoeur-Martineau , Emy Gervais , Kilian Fatras , Yan Zhang , Simon Lacoste-Julien

Mixture model-based frameworks are very popular for statistical inference in clustering. While convenient for producing probabilistic estimates of cluster assignments and uncertainty, they are prone to misspecification, which can lead to…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-05-15 Yu Zheng , Leo L. Duan , Arkaprava Roy