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Non-parametric estimation of a multivariate density estimation is tackled via a method which combines traditional local smoothing with a form of global smoothing but without imposing a rigid structure. Simulation work delivers encouraging…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-10-10 Adelchi Azzalini

We use statistical mechanics to study model-based Bayesian data clustering. In this approach, each partition of the data into clusters is regarded as a microscopic system state, the negative data log-likelihood gives the energy of each…

Disordered Systems and Neural Networks · Physics 2019-11-19 Alexander Mozeika , Anthony CC Coolen

Prediction of various weather quantities is mostly based on deterministic numerical weather forecasting models. Multiple runs of these models with different initial conditions result ensembles of forecasts which are applied for estimating…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-09 Sándor Baran , Dóra Nemoda , András Horányi

A model-based approach is developed for clustering categorical data with no natural ordering. The proposed method exploits the Hamming distance to define a family of probability mass functions to model the data. The elements of this family…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-02 Raffaele Argiento , Edoardo Filippi-Mazzola , Lucia Paci

We establish concentration rates for estimation of treatment effects in experiments that incorporate prior sources of information -- such as past pilots, related studies, or expert assessments -- whose external validity is uncertain. Each…

Econometrics · Economics 2026-03-24 Frederico Finan , Demian Pouzo

This paper introduces the multivariate beta mixture model (MBMM), a new probabilistic model for soft clustering. MBMM adapts to diverse cluster shapes because of the flexible probability density function of the multivariate beta…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-02-22 Yung-Peng Hsu , Hung-Hsuan Chen

Bayesian nonparametric mixture models are widely used to cluster observations. However, one major drawback of the approach is that the estimated partition often presents unbalanced clusters' frequencies with only a few dominating clusters…

Methodology · Statistics 2026-02-03 Beatrice Franzolini , Giovanni Rebaudo

The nonparametric formulation of density-based clustering, known as modal clustering, draws a correspondence between groups and the attraction domains of the modes of the density function underlying the data. Its probabilistic foundation…

Methodology · Statistics 2020-10-27 Federico Ferraccioli , Giovanna Menardi

This paper applies the Bayesian Model Averaging (BMA) statistical ensemble technique to estimate small molecule solvation free energies. There is a wide range of methods available for predicting solvation free energies, ranging from…

Biomolecules · Quantitative Biology 2016-12-16 Luke J. Gosink , Christopher C. Overall , Sarah M. Reehl , Paul D. Whitney , David L. Mobley , Nathan A. Baker

Divergence is not only an important mathematical concept in information theory, but also applied to machine learning problems such as low-dimensional embedding, manifold learning, clustering, classification, and anomaly detection. We…

Computation · Statistics 2016-11-22 Kun Yang , Hao Su , Wing Hung Wong

Background: We proposed approximate Bayesian computation with single distribution selection (ABC-SD) for estimating mean and standard deviation from other reported summary statistics. The ABC-SD generates pseudo data from a single…

Methodology · Statistics 2016-07-12 Deukwoo Kwon , Isildinha M. Reis

We propose a MAP Bayesian approach to perform and evaluate a co-clustering of mixed-type data tables. The proposed model infers an optimal segmentation of all variables then performs a co-clustering by minimizing a Bayesian model selection…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2019-02-07 Aichetou Bouchareb , Marc Boullé , Fabrice Rossi , Fabrice Clérot

We assess the accuracy of Bayesian polynomial extrapolations from small parameter values, x, to large values of x. We consider a set of polynomials of fixed order, intended as a proxy for a fixed-order effective field theory (EFT)…

Methodology · Statistics 2022-06-17 M. A. Connell , I. Billig , D. R. Phillips

In cluster analysis interest lies in probabilistically capturing partitions of individuals, items or observations into groups, such that those belonging to the same group share similar attributes or relational profiles. Bayesian posterior…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-03-23 Riccardo Rastelli , Nial Friel

Non-Gaussian mixture models are gaining increasing attention for mixture model-based clustering particularly when dealing with data that exhibit features such as skewness and heavy tails. Here, such a mixture distribution is presented,…

Computation · Statistics 2020-05-07 Yuan Fang , Dimitris Karlis , Sanjeena Subedi

Finite mixture models are a useful statistical model class for clustering and density approximation. In the Bayesian framework finite mixture models require the specification of suitable priors in addition to the data model. These priors…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-07-09 Bettina Grün , Gertraud Malsiner-Walli

A model based clustering procedure for data of mixed type, clustMD, is developed using a latent variable model. It is proposed that a latent variable, following a mixture of Gaussian distributions, generates the observed data of mixed type.…

Methodology · Statistics 2015-11-06 Damien McParland , Isobel Claire Gormley

Bayesian model averaging has become a widely used approach to accounting for uncertainty about the structural form of the model generating the data. When data arrive sequentially and the generating model can change over time, Dynamic Model…

Computation · Statistics 2014-10-30 Luca Onorante , Adrian E. Raftery

Mixture models extend the toolbox of clustering methods available to the data analyst. They allow for an explicit definition of the cluster shapes and structure within a probabilistic framework and exploit estimation and inference…

Methodology · Statistics 2025-09-15 Bettina Grün

In this paper, we consider the task of clustering a set of individual time series while modeling each cluster, that is, model-based time series clustering. The task requires a parametric model with sufficient flexibility to describe the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2023-02-23 Ryohei Umatani , Takashi Imai , Kaoru Kawamoto , Shutaro Kunimasa