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The Drag-based Model (DBM) is a 2D analytical model for heliospheric propagation of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) in ecliptic plane predicting the CME arrival time and speed at Earth or any other given target in the solar system. It is…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-08-11 Jaša Čalogović , Mateja Dumbović , Davor Sudar , Bojan Vršnak , Karmen Martinić , Manuela Temmer , Astrid Veronig

The drag-based model (DBM) for heliospheric propagation of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is a widely used analytical model which can predict CME arrival time and speed at a given heliospheric location. It is based on the assumption that the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2018-03-14 Mateja Dumbović , Jaša Čalogović , Bojan Vršnak , Manuela Temmer , M. Leila Mays , Astrid Veronig , Isabell Piantschitsch

Forecasting the arrival time of CMEs and their associated shocks is one of the key aspects of space weather research. One of the commonly used models is, due to its simplicity and calculation speed, the analytical drag-based model (DBM) for…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2021-03-29 Mateja Dumbovic , Jasa Calogovic , Karmen Martinic , Bojan Vrsnak , Davor Sudar , Manuela Temmer , Astrid Veronig

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are key drivers of space weather events, posing risks to both space-borne and ground-based systems. Accurate prediction of their arrival time at Earth is critical for impact mitigation. To this end,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-12-23 M. Lampani , M. Rossi , S. Guastavino , M. Piana , A. M. Massone

One of the goals of Space Weather studies is to achieve a better understanding of impulsive phenomena, such as Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs), in order to improve our ability to forecast them and mitigate the risk to our technologically…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2024-02-21 R. Mugatwala , S. Chierichini , G. Francisco , G. Napoletano , R. Foldes , L. Giovannelli , G. De Gasperis , E. Camporeale , R. Erdélyi , D. Del Moro

Forecasting the arrival of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) is vital for protecting satellites, power systems, and human spaceflight. We present HELIOPANDA: Heliospheric Observer for Predicting CME Arrival via Nonlinear Drag Assimilation, a…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-10-01 Zaina Abu-Shaar , Tatiana Podladchikova , Astrid M. Veronig , Mateja Dumbovic , Stefan J. Hofmeister

The solar wind drag-based model is a widely used framework for predicting the propagation of Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) through interplanetary space. This model primarily considers the aerodynamic drag exerted by the solar wind on CMEs.…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2025-02-19 Mattia Rossi , Sabrina Guastavino , Michele Piana , Anna Maria Massone

Accurately predicting the arrival of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) at the Earth based on remote images is of critical significance in the study of space weather. In this paper, we make a statistical study of 21 Earth directed CMEs,…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2015-05-06 Tong Shi , Yikang Wang , Linfeng Wan , Xin Cheng , Mingde Ding , Jie Zhang

The prediction of the arrival time for fast coronal mass ejections (CMEs) and their associated shocks is highly desirable in space weather studies. In this paper, we use two shock propagation models, i.e. Data Guided Shock Time Of Arrival…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2016-10-19 Xinhua Zhao , Ying D. Liu , Bernd Inhester , Xueshang Feng , Thomas Wiegelmann , Lei Lu

Solar Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are large-scale ejections of plasma and magnetic field from the corona, which propagate through interplanetary space. CMEs are the most significant drivers of adverse space weather on Earth, but the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-10-22 Shane Maloney

The forecast of the time of arrival of a coronal mass ejection (CME) to Earth is of critical importance for our high-technology society and for any future manned exploration of the Solar System. As critical as the forecast accuracy is the…

The Fixed-\Phi (F\Phi) and Harmonic Mean (HM) fitting methods are two methods to determine the average direction and velocity of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) from time-elongation tracks produced by Heliospheric Imagers (HIs), such as the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-04-18 N. Lugaz , P. Kintner

Solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are large-scale eruptions of plasma and magnetic field from the Sun into the corona and interplanetary space. They are the most significant drivers of adverse space weather at Earth and other locations in…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2012-02-20 Jason P. Byrne

Solar coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are the most significant drivers of adverse space weather at Earth, but the physics governing their propagation through the heliosphere is not well understood. While stereoscopic imaging of CMEs with the…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2010-11-15 Jason P. Byrne , Shane A. Maloney , R. T. James McAteer , Jose M. Refojo , Peter T. Gallagher

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are large-scale ejections of plasma and magnetic field from the solar corona, which propagate through interplanetary space at velocities of $\sim$100--2500~km~s$^{-1}$. Although plane-of-sky coronagraph…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2011-06-09 Shane A. Maloney , Peter T. Gallagher

Context. In the scope of space weather forecasting, it is crucial to be able to more reliably predict the arrival time, speed, and magnetic field configuration of coronal mass ejections (CMEs). From the time a CME is launched, the dominant…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2023-09-28 K. Martinic , M. Dumbovic , J. Calogovic , B. Vrsnak , N. Al-Haddad , M. Temmer

Coronal Mass Ejections (CMEs) correspond to dramatic expulsions of plasma and magnetic field from the solar corona into the heliosphere. CMEs are scientifically relevant because they are involved in the physical mechanisms characterizing…

Prediction of the effects of coronal mass ejections (CMEs) on Earth strongly depends on knowledge of the interplanetary magnetic field southward component, Bz. Predicting the strength and duration of Bz inside a CME with sufficient accuracy…

Space Physics · Physics 2016-12-28 M. Kubicka , C. Möstl , T. Amerstorfer , P. D. Boakes , L. Feng , J. P. Eastwood , O. Tormanen

We investigate the Sun-Earth dynamics of a set of 38 well-observed Coronal Mass Ejections(CMEs) using data from the STEREO, SOHO missions and WIND instrument. We seek to quantify the relative contributions of Lorentz force and aerodynamic…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2019-07-31 Nishtha Sachdeva

Coronal mass ejections (CMEs) are large scale eruptions observed close to the Sun. They are travelling through the heliosphere and possibly interacting with the Earth environment creating interruptions or even damaging new technology…

Solar and Stellar Astrophysics · Physics 2022-07-08 C. Verbeke , B. Schmieder , P. Démoulin , S. Dasso , B. Grison , E. Samara , C. Scolini , S. Poedts
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