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Related papers: Gaussian Process Regression with Location Errors

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Model selection in Gaussian processes scales prohibitively with the size of the training dataset, both in time and memory. While many approximations exist, all incur inevitable approximation error. Recent work accounts for this error in the…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-07-08 Jonathan Wenger , Kaiwen Wu , Philipp Hennig , Jacob R. Gardner , Geoff Pleiss , John P. Cunningham

We propose an extension of the non-homogeneous Gaussian regression (NGR) model by Gneiting et al. (2005) that yields locally calibrated probabilistic forecasts of tem- perature, based on the output of an ensemble prediction system (EPS).…

Applications · Statistics 2014-04-29 Michael Scheuerer , Luca Büermann

The Collective Graphical Model (CGM) models a population of independent and identically distributed individuals when only collective statistics (i.e., counts of individuals) are observed. Exact inference in CGMs is intractable, and previous…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2014-05-21 Li-Ping Liu , Daniel Sheldon , Thomas G. Dietterich

Statistical postprocessing techniques are commonly used to improve the skill of ensembles of numerical weather forecasts. This paper considers spatial extensions of the well-established nonhomogeneous Gaussian regression (NGR)…

Applications · Statistics 2015-06-22 Kira Feldmann , Michael Scheuerer , Thordis L. Thorarinsdottir

This paper presents a novel approach for approximate integration over the uncertainty of noise and signal variances in Gaussian process (GP) regression. Our efficient and straightforward approach can also be applied to integration over…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-12-18 Ville Tolvanen , Pasi Jylänki , Aki Vehtari

Gaussian process is a very promising novel technology that has been applied to both the regression problem and the classification problem. While for the regression problem it yields simple exact solutions, this is not the case for the…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2013-10-18 Amir F. Atiya , Hatem A. Fayed , Ahmed H. Abdel-Gawad

Adaptive sampling based on Gaussian process regression (GPR) has already been applied with considerable success to generate boundary test scenarios for multi-UAV systems (MUS). One of the key techniques in such researches is leveraging the…

Systems and Control · Electrical Eng. & Systems 2025-05-29 Hanxu Jiang , Haiyue Yu , Xiaotong Xie , Qi Gao , Jiang Jiang , Jianbin Sun

Kriging or Gaussian Process Regression is applied in many fields as a non-linear regression model as well as a surrogate model in the field of evolutionary computation. However, the computational and space complexity of Kriging, that is…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2017-02-07 Bas van Stein , Hao Wang , Wojtek Kowalczyk , Michael Emmerich , Thomas Bäck

This chapter presents specific aspects of Gaussian process modeling in the presence of complex noise. Starting from the standard homoscedastic model, various generalizations from the literature are presented: input varying noise variance,…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-12-11 Mickael Binois , Arindam Fadikar , Abby Stevens

Gaussian processes (GPs) are non-parametric probabilistic regression models that are popular due to their flexibility, data efficiency, and well-calibrated uncertainty estimates. However, standard GP models assume homoskedastic Gaussian…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-01-08 Sebastian Ament , Elizabeth Santorella , David Eriksson , Ben Letham , Maximilian Balandat , Eytan Bakshy

This article focuses on drawing computationally-efficient predictive inference from Gaussian process (GP) regressions with a large number of features when the response is conditionally independent of the features given the projection to a…

Methodology · Statistics 2024-09-27 Samuel Gailliot , Rajarshi Guhaniyogi , Roger D. Peng

We propose a few-shot learning method for spatial regression. Although Gaussian processes (GPs) have been successfully used for spatial regression, they require many observations in the target task to achieve a high predictive performance.…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2020-10-12 Tomoharu Iwata , Yusuke Tanaka

We present an efficient method for evaluating random phase errors in phase shifters within photonic integrated circuits, avoiding the computational cost of traditional Monte Carlo simulations. By modeling spatially correlated manufacturing…

Optics · Physics 2025-04-09 Zijian Zhang

We consider the accuracy of an approximate posterior distribution in nonparametric regression problems by combining posterior distributions computed on subsets of the data defined by the locations of the independent variables. We show that…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-04-29 Botond Szabo , Amine Hadji , Aad van der Vaart

The Global Historical Climatology Network-Daily database contains, among other variables, daily maximum and minimum temperatures from weather stations around the globe. It is long known that climatological summary statistics based on daily…

Applications · Statistics 2018-05-30 Maxime Rischard , Natesh Pillai , Karen A. McKinnon

The objective of this work is to quantify the reconstruction error in sparse inverse problems with measures and stochastic noise, motivated by optimal sensor placement. To be useful in this context, the error quantities must be explicit in…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2024-04-19 Phuoc-Truong Huynh , Konstantin Pieper , Daniel Walter

Gaussian process regression is widely used because of its ability to provide well-calibrated uncertainty estimates and handle small or sparse datasets. However, it struggles with high-dimensional data. One possible way to scale this…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2024-02-02 Bernardo Fichera , Viacheslav Borovitskiy , Andreas Krause , Aude Billard

Missing values with mixed data types is a common problem in a large number of machine learning applications such as processing of surveys and in different medical applications. Recently, Gaussian copula models have been suggested as a means…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2021-07-02 Benjamin Christoffersen , Mark Clements , Keith Humphreys , Hedvig Kjellström

Standard Gaussian Process (GP) regression, a powerful machine learning tool, is computationally expensive when it is applied to large datasets, and potentially inaccurate when data points are sparsely distributed in a high-dimensional…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2016-03-08 Z. Zhang , K. Duraisamy , N. A. Gumerov

We develop a fast variational approximation scheme for Gaussian process (GP) regression, where the spectrum of the covariance function is subjected to a sparse approximation. Our approach enables uncertainty in covariance function…

Computation · Statistics 2019-04-24 Linda S. L. Tan , Victor M. H. Ong , David J. Nott , Ajay Jasra
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