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We propose a rigorous decomposition of predictive error, highlighting that not all 'irreducible' error is genuinely immutable. Many domains stand to benefit from iterative enhancements in measurement, construct validity, and modeling. Our…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2025-02-12 Jiani Yan , Charles Rahal

We consider a distributed edge computing scenario consisting of several wireless nodes that are located over an area of interest. Specifically, some of the "master" nodes are tasked to sense the environment (e.g., by acquiring images or…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2019-10-31 Erdem Koyuncu

Considering the increasing size of available data, the need for statistical methods that control the finite sample bias is growing. This is mainly due to the frequent settings where the number of variables is large and allowed to increase…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2018-10-12 Stéphane Guerrier , Mucyo Karemera , Samuel Orso , Maria-Pia Victoria-Feser

We introduce derivation depth-a computable metric of the reasoning effort needed to answer a query based on a given set of premises. We model information as a two-layered structure linking abstract knowledge with physical carriers, and…

Information Theory · Computer Science 2026-02-24 Jianfeng Xu

In optimization problems, the quality of a candidate solution can be characterized by the optimality gap. For most stochastic optimization problems, this gap must be statistically estimated. We show that for risk-averse problems, standard…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2025-05-05 E. Ruben van Beesten , Nick W. Koning , David P. Morton

The substantial increase in data volume and complexity expected from future experiments will require significant investment to prepare experimental algorithms. These algorithms include physics object reconstruction, calibrations, and…

Across machine learning (ML) sub-disciplines, researchers make explicit mathematical assumptions in order to facilitate proof-writing. We note that, specifically in the area of fairness-accuracy trade-off optimization scholarship, similar…

Computers and Society · Computer Science 2021-09-09 A. Feder Cooper , Ellen Abrams

Estimating and controlling large risks has become one of the main concern of financial institutions. This requires the development of adequate statistical models and theoretical tools (which go beyond the traditionnal theories based on…

Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-10-31 Jean-Philippe Bouchaud

Inferential models (IMs) offer provably reliable, data-driven, possibilistic statistical inference. But despite the IM framework's theoretical and foundational advantages, efficient computation is a challenge. This paper presents a simple…

Computation · Statistics 2025-07-09 Leonardo Cella , Ryan Martin

Data analysis requires translating higher level questions and hypotheses into computable statistical models. We present a mixed-methods study aimed at identifying the steps, considerations, and challenges involved in operationalizing…

Other Computer Science · Computer Science 2021-04-08 Eunice Jun , Melissa Birchfield , Nicole de Moura , Jeffrey Heer , Rene Just

The recent breakthrough in artificial intelligence (AI), especially deep neural networks (DNNs), has affected every branch of science and technology. Particularly, edge AI has been envisioned as a major application scenario to provide…

Machine Learning · Computer Science 2024-10-30 Jiawei Shao , Jun Zhang

We study the optimal sample complexity of variable selection in linear regression under general design covariance, and show that subset selection is optimal while under standard complexity assumptions, efficient algorithms for this problem…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2025-10-07 Ming Gao , Bryon Aragam

Risk management often plays an important role in decision making under uncertainty. In quantitative risk management, assessing and optimizing risk metrics requires efficient computing techniques and reliable theoretical guarantees. In this…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2026-01-01 Zhaolin Hu

Change-point detection studies the problem of detecting the changes in the underlying distribution of the data stream as soon as possible after the change happens. Modern large-scale, high-dimensional, and complex streaming data call for…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2023-06-05 Haoyun Wang , Yao Xie

Uncertainty quantification for estimation through stochastic optimization solutions in an online setting has gained popularity recently. This paper introduces a novel inference method focused on constructing confidence intervals with…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2026-03-24 Wanrong Zhu , Zhipeng Lou , Ziyang Wei , Wei Biao Wu

Decisions on public health interventions to control infectious disease are often informed by computational models. Interpreting the predicted outcomes of a public health decision requires not only high-quality modelling, but also an ethical…

A perfectly rational decision-maker chooses the best action with the highest utility gain from a set of possible actions. The optimality principles that describe such decision processes do not take into account the computational costs of…

Artificial Intelligence · Computer Science 2013-12-25 Jordi Grau-Moya , Daniel A. Braun

Most high-dimensional estimation and prediction methods propose to minimize a cost function (empirical risk) that is written as a sum of losses associated to each data point. In this paper we focus on the case of non-convex losses, which is…

Machine Learning · Statistics 2017-01-17 Song Mei , Yu Bai , Andrea Montanari

Consider a problem where a set of feasible observations are provided by an expert and a cost function is defined that characterizes which of the observations dominate the others and are hence, preferred. Our goal is to find a set of linear…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2020-09-14 Kimia Ghobadi , Houra Mahmoudzadeh

Many high-dimensional statistical inference problems are believed to possess inherent computational hardness. Various frameworks have been proposed to give rigorous evidence for such hardness, including lower bounds against restricted…

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