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We describe an exact approach for calculating transition probabilities and waiting times in finite-state discrete-time Markov processes. All the states and the rules for transitions between them must be known in advance. We can then…

Other Condensed Matter · Physics 2009-11-11 Semen A. Trygubenko , David J. Wales

Markov chains are fundamental models for stochastic dynamics, with applications in a wide range of areas such as population dynamics, queueing systems, reinforcement learning, and Monte Carlo methods. Estimating the transition matrix and…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-01-26 Lasse Leskelä , Maximilien Dreveton

The aim of this paper is to propose a methodology for testing general hypothesis in a Markovian setting with random sampling. A discrete Markov chain X is observed at random time intervals $\tau$ k, assumed to be iid with unknown…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2015-05-25 Flavia Barsotti , Anne Philippe , Paul Rochet

We extend our previous study of Markov chains on finite commutative rings (arXiv:1605.05089) to arbitrary finite rings with identity. At each step, we either add or multiply by a randomly chosen element of the ring, where the addition…

Representation Theory · Mathematics 2019-01-15 Arvind Ayyer , Pooja Singla

Let X and Y be time-homogeneous Markov processes with common state space E, and assume that the transition kernels of X and Y admit densities with respect to suitable reference measures. We show that if there is a time t>0 such that, for…

Probability · Mathematics 2007-05-23 P. J. Fitzsimmons

We consider a random walk among i.i.d. obstacles on the one dimensional integer lattice under the condition that the walk starts from the origin and reaches a remote location y. The obstacles are represented by a killing potential, which…

Probability · Mathematics 2015-06-12 Elena Kosygina

We study one-sided and $\alpha$-correct sequential hypothesis testing for data generated by an ergodic Markov chain. The null hypothesis is that the unknown transition matrix belongs to a prescribed set $P$ of stochastic matrices, and the…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2026-02-20 Alhad Sethi , Kavali Sofia Sagar , Shubhada Agrawal , Debabrota Basu , P. N. Karthik

Let $Q$ be a probability measure on a finite group $G$, and let $H$ be a subgroup of $G$. We show that a necessary and sufficient condition for the random walk driven by $Q$ on $G$ to induce a Markov chain on the double coset space…

Group Theory · Mathematics 2024-02-28 John R. Britnell , Mark Wildon

The rotor-router model is a deterministic process analogous to a simple random walk on a graph. This paper is concerned with a generalized model, functional-router model, which imitates a Markov chain possibly containing irrational…

Discrete Mathematics · Computer Science 2015-08-12 Takeharu Shiraga , Yukiko Yamauchi , Shuji Kijima , Masafumi Yamashita

The $L^p$ maximal inequalities for martingales are one of the classical results in probability theory. Here we establish the sharp moderate maximal inequalities for upward skip-free Markov chains, which include the $L^p$ maximal…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-03-06 Chen Jia

In this paper, we present a numerical framework for constructing bounds on stationary performance measures of random walks in the positive orthant using the Markov reward approach. These bounds are established in terms of stationary…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-11-22 Xinwei Bai , Jasper Goseling

Proving a 2009 conjecture of Itai Benjamini, we show: For any C there is an $\varepsilon>0$ such that for any simple graph $G$ on $V$ of size $n$, and $X_0,\ldots$ an ordinary random walk on $G$, $P(\{X_0,\dots, X_{Cn}\}= V) <…

Probability · Mathematics 2021-11-23 Quentin Dubroff , Jeff Kahn

We study the problem of identity testing of markov chains. In this setting, we are given access to a single trajectory from a markov chain with unknown transition matrix $Q$ and the goal is to determine whether $Q = P$ for some known matrix…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-02-07 Yeshwanth Cherapanamjeri , Peter L. Bartlett

Consider the random set composed of particles initially distributed on Zd, d >= 2, according to a Poisson point process of intensity u > 0 and moving as independent simple symmetric random walks, the trap particles. We are interested in the…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-07-22 Gonzalo Panizo , Carlos Martínez

To model a complex system intrinsically separated by a barrier, we use two random Hamiltonians, coupled to each other either by a tunneling matrix element or by an intermediate transition state. We study that model in the universal limit of…

Quantum Physics · Physics 2024-04-22 H. A. Weidenmüller

Let $\{X_n\}$ be a Markov chain with transition probability $p_{ij}=a_{j-(i-1)^+},\forall i,j\ge 0$, where $a_j=0$ provided $j<0$, $a_0>0$, $a_0+a_1<1$ and $\sum_{n=0}^\infty a_n=1$. Let $\mu=\sum_{n=1}^\infty na_n$. It's known that…

Probability · Mathematics 2011-01-07 Huizeng Zhang , Minzhi zhao , Lei wang

We study random walk among random conductance (RWRC) on complete graphs with N vertices. The conductances are i.i.d. and the sum of conductances emanating from a single vertex asymptotically has an infinitely divisible distribution…

Probability · Mathematics 2018-09-20 Andrea Collevecchio , Paul Jung

The recurrence features of persistent random walks built from variable length Markov chains are investigated. We observe that these stochastic processes can be seen as L{\'e}vy walks for which the persistence times depend on some internal…

Probability · Mathematics 2017-12-11 Peggy Cénac , Basile De Loynes , Yoann Offret , Arnaud Rousselle

This paper introduces the Attracting Random Walks model, which describes the dynamics of a system of particles on a graph with $n$ vertices. At each step, a single particle moves to an adjacent vertex (or stays at the current one) with…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-06-01 Julia Gaudio , Yury Polyanskiy

Given a sequence $(\mathfrak{X}_i, \mathscr{K}_i)_{i=1}^\infty$ of Markov chains, the cut-off phenomenon describes a period of transition to stationarity which is asymptotically lower order than the mixing time. We study mixing times and…

Number Theory · Mathematics 2021-05-25 Bob Hough
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