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The use of stochastic models, in effect piecewise deterministic Markov processes (PDMP), has become increasingly popular especially for the modeling of chemical reactions and cell biophysics. Yet, exact simulation methods, for the…

Numerical Analysis · Mathematics 2015-04-28 Romain Veltz

For one-dimensional Jump-Drift and Jump-Diffusion processes converging towards some steady state, the large deviations of a long dynamical trajectory are described from two perspectives. Firstly, the joint probability of the empirical…

Statistical Mechanics · Physics 2021-08-17 Cecile Monthus

Jump diffusion processes are widely used to model asset prices over time, mainly for their ability to capture complex discontinuous behavior, but inference on the model parameters remains a challenge. Here our goal is posterior inference on…

Methodology · Statistics 2017-02-23 Ryan Martin , Cheng Ouyang , Francois Domagni

The market weight of a stock is its capitalization (cap) divided by the total market cap. Rank these weights from top to bottom. The capital distribution curve is a plot of weights versus ranks. For the US stock market, it is linear on a…

Probability · Mathematics 2019-07-23 Clayton Barnes , Andrey Sarantsev

In this paper we consider Fourier transform techniques to efficiently compute the Value-at-Risk and the Conditional Value-at-Risk of an arbitrary loss random variable, characterized by having a computable generalized characteristic…

Risk Management · Quantitative Finance 2015-06-01 Alessandro Ramponi

We study multidimensional stochastic volatility models in which the volatility process is a positive continuous function of a continuous multidimensional Volterra process that can be not self-similar. The main results obtained in this paper…

Probability · Mathematics 2022-09-15 Giulia Catalini , Barbara Pacchiarotti

Recent empirical evidence has highlighted the crucial role of jumps in both price and volatility within the cryptocurrency market. In this paper, we integrate price--volatility co-jumps and volatility short-term dependency into a coherent…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2025-06-17 Boyi Li , Weixuan Xia

We analyze the stability properties of equilibrium solutions and periodicity of orbits in a two-dimensional dynamical system whose orbits mimic the evolution of the price of an asset and the excess demand for that asset. The construction of…

Dynamical Systems · Mathematics 2009-09-29 Vladimir Belitsky , Antonio L. Pereira , Fernando P. de Almeida Prado

Joint calibration to SPX and VIX market data is a delicate task that requires sophisticated modeling and incurs significant computational costs. The latter is especially true when pricing of volatility derivatives hinges on nested Monte…

Computational Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-07-15 Fabio Baschetti , Giacomo Bormetti , Pietro Rossi

In this paper, we present a test for the maximal rank of the volatility process in continuous diffusion models observed with noise. Such models are typically applied in mathematical finance, where latent price processes are corrupted by…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2019-04-08 Tobias Fissler , Mark Podolskij

In this paper, we obtain sharp asymptotic formulas with error estimates for the Mellin convolution of functions, and use these formulas to characterize the asymptotic behavior of marginal distribution densities of stock price processes in…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2014-03-24 Archil Gulisashvili , Josep Vives

In this paper we study the effects of noise on the bipower variation (BPV), realized volatility (RV) and testing for co-jumps in high-frequency data under the small noise framework. We first establish asymptotic properties of the BPV in…

Statistics Theory · Mathematics 2016-06-21 Daisuke Kurisu

We consider a pure jump process $\{X_t\}_{t\ge 0}$ with values in a finite state space $S= \{1, \ldots, d\}$ for which the jump rates at time instant $t$ depend on the occupation measure $L_t \doteq t^{-1} \int_0^t \delta_{X_s}\,ds$. Such…

Probability · Mathematics 2025-10-17 Amarjit Budhiraja , Francesco Coghi

This article explores the relationship between the SPX and VIX options markets. High-strike VIX call options are used to hedge tail risk in the SPX, which means that SPX options are a reflection of the extreme-strike asymptotics of VIX…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2021-03-04 Andrew Papanicolaou

This paper is concerned with the relationship between general maximum principle and dynamic programming principle for the stochastic recursive optimal control problem with jumps, where the control domain is not necessarily convex. Relations…

Optimization and Control · Mathematics 2024-06-04 Bin Wang , Jingtao Shi

Advances in experimental techniques allow the collection of high-resolution spatio-temporal data that track individual motile entities over time. These tracking data motivate the use of mathematical models to characterise the motion…

Data Analysis, Statistics and Probability · Physics 2025-03-30 Arianna Ceccarelli , Alexander P. Browning , Ruth E. Baker

We consider stochastic volatility models using piecewise constant parameters. We suggest a hybrid optimization algorithm for fitting the models to a volatility surface and provide some numerical results. Finally, we provide an outlook on…

Pricing of Securities · Quantitative Finance 2010-10-07 Wolfgang Putschoegl

Population dynamics are often affected by sudden environmental perturbations. Parameters of stochastic models are often imprecise due to various uncertainties. In this paper, we formulate a stochastic multimolecular biochemical reaction…

Probability · Mathematics 2020-04-30 Fei Sun

We study a two-dimensional McKean-Vlasov stochastic differential equation, whose volatility coefficient depends on the conditional distribution of the second component with respect to the first component. We prove the strong existence and…

Probability · Mathematics 2024-06-21 Scander Mustapha

Classic stochastic volatility models assume volatility is unobservable. We use the Volatility Index: S&P 500 VIX to observe it, to easier fit the model. We apply it to corporate bonds. We fit autoregression for corporate rates and for risk…

Statistical Finance · Quantitative Finance 2025-01-06 Jihyun Park , Andrey Sarantsev